Colts @ Chiefs: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2026)

Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 8:20 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Kansas City Chiefs

Weather at kickoff70°F6 mphgusts 12DryWeather watch ›

Indianapolis Colts

0-1 · Power #21

final

Final

Kansas City Chiefs

1-0 · Power #2

▲ winner

Closing spread

KC -6

✓ IND W

Total

46.5

▲ Over · 63 pts

Model before kickoff

IND 20–26 KC

✓ KC (69%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenKC -5.5

CloseKC -6

Total47.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
IND L	0-1	0%	—	0-1
KC W	1-0	100%	1-0	1-0

Venue/role: IND away, as underdog; KC home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
IND O	1-0	100%	0-1
KC U	0-1	0%	1-0

Went over in Q4. Of 218 earlier overs in games with totals 43.5–49.5, 22% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
IND	1-9 10%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
KC	2-8 20%	2-7 22%	1-9 10%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

IND 12–6 KC IND leads · 18 games since 1999 · KC has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 23 2025	Indianapolis Colts 20 @ Kansas City Chiefs 23	KC -4.5	IND W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

IND+0.7 →−1.3▼ 2.0#25

KC+0.7 →+2.4▲ 1.7#5

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

IND

Longer bar = better

#23

Offense

KC better ▶

#31

Defense

KC better ▶

−1.0 #24

Turnovers

KC better ▶

+1.0 #5

53 plays #27

Pace

KC faster ▶

67 plays #7

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When IND has the ball

Advantage: KC defense

	IND off	KC def	Edge
Points / game	23.0 #16	10.0 #3	KC
Yards / play	4.74 #27	3.74 #1	KC
EPA / play	−0.24 #28	−0.34 #1	KC
Success rate	42% #22	37% #5	KC

When KC has the ball

Advantage: KC offense

	KC off	IND def	Edge
Points / game	31.0 #3	41.0 #32	KC
Yards / play	5.85 #6	7.91 #32	KC
EPA / play	+0.16 #6	+0.32 #32	KC
Success rate	42% #20	50% #29	KC

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.