Research

How the model’s spread and total edges, line moves and total moves did across seasons: hit rate against break-even, by season, by edge size and stage, with the games behind every number.

When games went over (Q1–Q4 or OT), when the cover was settled, and how often games that needed so many points in the 4th quarter got there. 874 NFL and 3,141 college games from the past four seasons.

Ask in plain English: “home underdogs that covered last week”, “best ATS teams since 2024”.

1st-half lines, halftime results, 1st-half ATS and over/under records by team.

Season stats, efficiency and ATS / over-under records for every team.

How the model works, what has and hasn’t beaten the market, and every backtest.