When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

282 games · 2025 · pick one to list those games
52% went over. Of the 147 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 27% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 19% of games.

All 282 games

2025 · newest first
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2025 · Postseason
SEA -4.5 45.5 391242 U SEA Q2 29–13
2025 · Postseason
SEA -2.5 45.5 13305858 Q3 SEA Q1 27–31
2025 · Postseason
NE -3.5 43.5 7141717 U DEN Q1 10–7
2025 · Postseason
LAR -3.5 49.5 720203437 U CHI Q2
Late cover flip
20–17
2025 · Postseason
NE -3 40.5 10313744 Q4 NE Q1 16–28
2025 · Postseason
SEA -7 44.5 17304047 Q4 SEA Q1 6–41
2025 · Postseason
DEN -1.5 45.5 1030406063 Q4 DEN OT
Late cover flip Lead lost
30–33
2025 · Postseason
HOU -3 38.5 3131336 U HOU Q4 30–6
2025 · Postseason
NE -3.5 45.5 091219 U NE Q3 3–16
2025 · Postseason
PHI -5.5 44.5 13232642 U SF Q4
Lead lost
23–19
2025 · Postseason
JAX -1.5 51.5 3172351 U BUF Q1 27–24
2025 · Postseason
GB -1.5 46.5 10242758 Q4 CHI Q4
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
27–31
2025 · Postseason
LAR -10 44.5 7313765 Q4 CAR Q1 34–31
2025 · Week 18
BAL -4.5 41.5 7132350 Q4 PIT Q3
Late over Lead lost
24–26
2025 · Week 18
BUF -13.5 39.5 7212943 Q4 BUF Q2 8–35
2025 · Week 18
CHI -3 51.5 3131635 U DET Q1 19–16
2025 · Week 18
DEN -15.5 37.5 10131622 U DEN Q4
Late cover flip
3–19
2025 · Week 18
KC -3.5 35.5 391226 U LV Q1 12–14
2025 · Week 18
LAR -14.5 49.5 6224357 Q4 LAR Q4
Late cover flip
20–37
2025 · Week 18
NE -14.5 43.5 14274148 Q4 NE Q3 10–38
2025 · Week 18
PHI -3 38.5 0172741 Q4 WSH Q4
Late over
24–17
2025 · Week 18
ATL -3.5 43.5 7172336 U NO Q2
Late cover flip
17–19
2025 · Week 18
CIN -8.5 47.5 13262938 U CLE Q1 20–18
2025 · Week 18
MIN -13.5 37.5 3131319 U GB Q1 3–16
2025 · Week 18
DAL -3 50.5 16263451 Q4 NYG Q2 17–34
2025 · Week 18
JAX -13.5 46.5 14384148 Q4 JAX Q2 7–41
2025 · Week 18
HOU -9.5 37.5 16405368 Q2 IND Q1 30–38
2025 · Week 18
SEA -2.5 48.5 7131316 U SEA Q1 13–3
2025 · Week 18
TB -3 42.5 10202030 U CAR Q4
Late cover flip
14–16
2025 · Week 17
LAR -7.5 48.5 7214151 Q4 ATL Q1
Late over
24–27
2025 · Week 17
SF -4.5 51.5 28496380 Q3 CHI Q4
Lead lost
38–42
2025 · Week 17
BUF -3.5 45.5 7131325 U PHI Q1 13–12
2025 · Week 17
NYG -3 40.5 7203744 Q4 NYG Q1
Late over
34–10
2025 · Week 17
CIN -7 53.5 7304451 U CIN Q2 14–37
2025 · Week 17
PIT -3.5 34.5 10161619 U CLE Q1 6–13
2025 · Week 17
NO -1.5 38.5 6304360 Q3 NO Q4
Late cover flip
34–26
2025 · Week 17
JAX -4.5 48.5 3173440 U JAX Q4
Late cover flip
23–17
2025 · Week 17
TB -5.5 44.5 14242737 U MIA Q1 17–20
2025 · Week 17
NE -12.5 42.5 14384552 Q3 NE Q1 42–10
2025 · Week 17
SEA -6.5 42.5 362037 U SEA Q3 27–10
2025 · Week 17
GB -2.5 37.5 14415165 Q2 BAL Q1 41–24
2025 · Week 17
LAC -1.5 40.5 14172736 U HOU Q1 20–16
2025 · Week 17
DEN -13.5 37.5 3132333 U KC Q1 20–13
2025 · Week 17
DET -7.5 45.5 7142033 U MIN Q1 10–23
2025 · Week 17
DAL -8.5 50.5 10344753 Q4 WSH Q3
Late over
30–23
2025 · Week 16
SF -4.5 46.5 21415475 Q3 SF Q1 48–27
2025 · Week 16
BAL -3.5 47.5 7203052 Q4 NE Q4
Late over Lead lost
28–24
2025 · Week 16
DET -7.5 52.5 3202253 Q4 PIT Q1
Late over
29–24
2025 · Week 16
HOU -14.5 39.5 7203044 Q4 LV Q1 21–23
2025 · Week 16
DEN -3.5 46.5 7274854 Q3 JAX Q1 34–20
2025 · Week 16
ATL -2.5 48.5 13323545 U ATL Q3 26–19
2025 · Week 16
BUF -10.5 41.5 14304043 Q4 CLE Q1 23–20
2025 · Week 16
DAL -1.5 50.5 14384151 Q4 LAC Q1
Late over
34–17
2025 · Week 16
KC -3.5 37.5 0152535 U TEN Q1 9–26
2025 · Week 16
CIN -3.5 48.5 14315266 Q3 CIN Q3 45–21
2025 · Week 16
NO -7 39.5 6152235 U NO Q3 6–29
2025 · Week 16
MIN -2.5 41.5 3232329 U MIN Q1
Late cover flip
16–13
2025 · Week 16
TB -3 44.5 10233743 U CAR Q2 20–23
2025 · Week 16
CHI -1.5 44.5 06163238 U CHI OT
Late cover flip Lead lost
16–22
2025 · Week 16
PHI -7 43.5 10172447 Q4 PHI Q4
Late over
29–18
2025 · Week 16
SEA -1.5 42.5 1020376075 Q4 LAR Q2 37–38
2025 · Week 15
PIT -3 43.5 0102443 U PIT Q2 15–28
2025 · Week 15
DAL -5.5 47.5 14344760 Q4 MIN Q1 34–26
2025 · Week 15
GB -1.5 42.5 3305060 Q3 DEN Q3 26–34
2025 · Week 15
LAR -5.5 54.5 14415875 Q3 LAR Q3 34–41
2025 · Week 15
CAR -2.5 41.5 7172737 U NO Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
17–20
2025 · Week 15
SF -12.5 44.5 10274161 Q4 SF Q3
Late cover flip
24–37
2025 · Week 15
SEA -12.5 41.5 6192234 U IND Q1
Lead lost
16–18
2025 · Week 15
CHI -7.5 38.5 14143134 U CHI Q1 3–31
2025 · Week 15
BAL -2.5 51.5 0141724 U BAL Q2 24–0
2025 · Week 15
KC -5.5 41.5 10232929 U LAC Q1 16–13
2025 · Week 15
BUF -2.5 49.5 14314566 Q4 BUF Q4 35–31
2025 · Week 15
NYG -3 45.5 3293650 Q4 WSH Q1
Late over
29–21
2025 · Week 15
PHI -12.5 36.5 7172431 U PHI Q2 0–31
2025 · Week 15
JAX -13.5 40.5 21415468 Q2 JAX Q2 20–48
2025 · Week 15
HOU -10.5 42.5 17304460 Q3 HOU Q1 20–40
2025 · Week 15
TB -6 43.5 7273457 Q4 ATL Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
29–28
2025 · Week 14
PHI -1.5 41.5 1016223841 U LAC Q1 19–22
2025 · Week 14
KC -4.5 41.5 3102030 U HOU Q1 20–10
2025 · Week 14
GB -6.5 44.5 0173549 Q4 GB Q2
Late cover flip Late over
21–28
2025 · Week 14
LAR -9.5 49.5 17344862 Q4 LAR Q2 45–17
2025 · Week 14
DEN -8.5 40.5 14212841 Q4 LV Q4
Late cover flip Late over
24–17
2025 · Week 14
SEA -7 44.5 6122946 Q4 SEA Q3 37–9
2025 · Week 14
BUF -6 54.5 10323973 Q4 CIN Q1 34–39
2025 · Week 14
CLE -4.5 33.5 17313860 Q3 TEN Q1 31–29
2025 · Week 14
MIN -1.5 43.5 7142431 U MIN Q1 0–31
2025 · Week 14
MIA -2.5 41.5 28313144 Q4 MIA Q1
Late over
34–10
2025 · Week 14
TB -7.5 41.5 14173444 Q4 NO Q1
Late over
24–20
2025 · Week 14
IND -2.5 44.5 21384155 Q4 JAX Q1 19–36
2025 · Week 14
BAL -5.5 43.5 10264349 Q4 PIT Q1 27–22
2025 · Week 14
DET -3.5 55.5 13294674 Q4 DET Q1 30–44
2025 · Week 13
NE -7 46.5 17373748 Q4 NE Q1
Late over
15–33
2025 · Week 13
DEN -6.5 43.5 320344053 OT WSH Q1
Late over
27–26
2025 · Week 13
BUF -3 44.5 0102333 U BUF Q3 26–7
2025 · Week 13
LAC -9.5 40.5 7142845 Q4 LAC Q3
Late over
14–31
2025 · Week 13
SEA -12.5 42.5 0131926 U SEA Q2 0–26
2025 · Week 13
SF -5.5 35.5 7182534 U SF Q3 26–8
2025 · Week 13
JAX -6 42.5 10212828 U JAX Q2 25–3
2025 · Week 13
IND -3.5 43.5 3162636 U HOU Q1 20–16
2025 · Week 13
ATL -3 38.5 0143151 Q4 NYJ Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
24–27
2025 · Week 13
TB -4.5 45.5 0132737 U ARI Q4
Late cover flip
17–20
2025 · Week 13
LAR -10 44.5 21384559 Q3 CAR Q1 28–31
2025 · Week 13
PHI -7 43.5 7131939 U CHI Q1 24–15
2025 · Week 13
BAL -7 52.5 10194046 U CIN Q1 32–14
2025 · Week 12
SF -7 48.5 7132629 U SF Q3 9–20
2025 · Week 12
LAR -7.5 50.5 14383841 U LAR Q1 7–34
2025 · Week 12
PHI -2.5 48.5 14283545 U DAL Q4 21–24
2025 · Week 12
NO -1.5 40.5 3232334 U ATL Q1 24–10
2025 · Week 12
LV -3.5 36.5 14171734 U CLE Q1 24–10
2025 · Week 12
JAX -1.5 46.5 1424314851 Q4 JAX OT
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
27–24
2025 · Week 12
CHI -2.5 47.5 14384559 Q4 CHI Q3 28–31
2025 · Week 12
NE -7.5 50.5 3303346 U CIN Q1
Late cover flip
26–20
2025 · Week 12
DET -14.5 50.5 1037375461 Q4 NYG Q1
Lead lost
27–34
2025 · Week 12
GB -6.5 41.5 10162329 U GB Q3 6–23
2025 · Week 12
SEA -11.5 41.5 6194754 Q3 TEN Q4
Late cover flip
30–24
2025 · Week 12
KC -4.5 49.5 723294043 U IND Q1
Lead lost
20–23
2025 · Week 12
BAL -14.5 44.5 0102433 U NYJ Q1 10–23
2025 · Week 12
BUF -4.5 44.5 9363942 U HOU Q1 19–23
2025 · Week 11
DAL -3.5 48.5 9334049 Q4 DAL Q2 33–16
2025 · Week 11
PHI -2.5 45.5 3191925 U PHI Q1 9–16
2025 · Week 11
BAL -7.5 37.5 6262639 Q4 CLE Q1
Late over Lead lost
23–16
2025 · Week 11
KC -4.5 45.5 9122641 U DEN Q1
Lead lost
19–22
2025 · Week 11
LAR -3.5 49.5 17232640 U SEA Q3
Late cover flip
19–21
2025 · Week 11
SF -3.5 48.5 20354563 Q4 SF Q1 41–22
2025 · Week 11
ATL -4.5 41.5 1431405457 Q4 CAR Q3
Late over Lead lost
30–27
2025 · Week 11
BUF -6.5 44.5 10415776 Q3 BUF Q4
Late cover flip
32–44
2025 · Week 11
HOU -5.5 37.5 331629 U TEN Q1
Late cover flip
16–13
2025 · Week 11
MIN -3 47.5 3131936 U CHI Q2 19–17
2025 · Week 11
GB -7.5 42.5 7263247 Q4 NYG Q1
Late over Lead lost
27–20
2025 · Week 11
PIT -5.5 47.5 13162946 U PIT Q3 12–34
2025 · Week 11
LAC -2.5 42.5 10202741 U JAX Q1 6–35
2025 · Week 11
MIA -2.5 46.5 612192629 U MIA OT
Late cover flip
13–16
2025 · Week 11
NE -12.5 42.5 7213541 U NE Q4 14–27
2025 · Week 10
GB -1.5 44.5 00317 U PHI Q1 10–7
2025 · Week 10
LAC -3.5 45.5 5151835 U LAC Q2 10–25
2025 · Week 10
LAR -6.5 49.5 14284268 Q4 LAR Q1 42–26
2025 · Week 10
DET -7.5 48.5 17355166 Q3 DET Q1 44–22
2025 · Week 10
SEA -7.5 44.5 21455366 Q2 SEA Q1 22–44
2025 · Week 10
CHI -4.5 44.5 7172744 U NYG Q2
Lead lost
20–24
2025 · Week 10
BUF -8.5 50.5 7161643 U MIA Q1 13–30
2025 · Week 10
BAL -4.5 49.5 10193246 U BAL Q3 27–19
2025 · Week 10
CLE -2.5 37.5 21343447 Q4 NYJ Q1 20–27
2025 · Week 10
TB -2.5 48.5 14243751 Q4 NE Q1
Late over
28–23
2025 · Week 10
CAR -5.5 38.5 10171724 U NO Q1 17–7
2025 · Week 10
HOU -2.5 38.5 10303965 Q3 HOU Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
29–36
2025 · Week 10
IND -5.5 48.5 2027305056 Q4 IND OT
Late cover flip Late over
25–31
2025 · Week 10
DEN -9.5 41.5 7141717 U LV Q1 7–10
2025 · Week 9
DAL -3.5 53.5 3243744 U ARI Q1 27–17
2025 · Week 9
SEA -2.5 47.5 7384552 Q4 SEA Q1 38–14
2025 · Week 9
KC -2.5 53.5 7344149 U BUF Q1 21–28
2025 · Week 9
JAX -1.5 44.5 09154659 Q4 LV Q1
Late over Lead lost
30–29
2025 · Week 9
LAR -14.5 45.5 7303744 U LAR Q3 10–34
2025 · Week 9
CHI -2.5 51.5 17375889 Q3 CHI Q3 47–42
2025 · Week 9
DET -9.5 47.5 21314151 Q4 MIN Q1
Late over
27–24
2025 · Week 9
GB -13.5 43.5 0131929 U CAR Q1 16–13
2025 · Week 9
LAC -9.5 44.5 21373747 Q4 TEN Q1
Late cover flip Late over
27–20
2025 · Week 9
NE -5.5 45.5 14353847 Q4 ATL Q4
Late cover flip Late over
23–24
2025 · Week 9
SF -2.5 47.5 14243058 Q4 SF Q2
Late over
34–24
2025 · Week 9
IND -3.5 51.5 7242447 U PIT Q2 20–27
2025 · Week 9
HOU -2.5 41.5 3192233 U DEN Q4 18–15
2025 · Week 9
BAL -7.5 51.5 10203434 U BAL Q2 28–6
2025 · Week 8
KC -11.5 48.5 0142835 U KC Q3 7–28
2025 · Week 8
GB -2.5 45.5 10233360 Q4 GB Q4 35–25
2025 · Week 8
DEN -4.5 51.5 17374768 Q4 DEN Q1 24–44
2025 · Week 8
IND -14.5 47.5 10243852 Q4 IND Q3
Late over
14–38
2025 · Week 8
TB -3.5 45.5 0102026 U TB Q2 23–3
2025 · Week 8
ATL -6.5 43.5 7202744 Q4 MIA Q1 34–10
2025 · Week 8
CIN -5.5 43.5 10374777 Q3 NYJ Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
39–38
2025 · Week 8
NE -6.5 40.5 10163745 Q4 NE Q3 13–32
2025 · Week 8
PHI -7.5 43.5 14313758 Q4 PHI Q2 20–38
2025 · Week 8
BUF -7.5 48.5 3224349 Q4 BUF Q2 40–9
2025 · Week 8
BAL -2.5 44.5 6162246 Q4 BAL Q2
Late over
16–30
2025 · Week 8
HOU -3.5 41.5 3233841 U HOU Q2 15–26
2025 · Week 8
LAC -3.5 44.5 7243447 Q4 LAC Q1
Late over
10–37
2025 · Week 7
SEA -3.5 41.5 14203946 Q4 SEA Q1
Late over
19–27
2025 · Week 7
DET -6.5 54.5 7173033 U DET Q1 9–24
2025 · Week 7
ATL -1.5 46.5 0132330 U SF Q1 10–20
2025 · Week 7
DAL -2.5 54.5 25426366 Q3 DAL Q1 22–44
2025 · Week 7
GB -6.5 44.5 3193350 Q4 ARI Q1
Late over Lead lost
27–23
2025 · Week 7
DEN -7.5 40.5 7131965 Q4 NYG Q1
Lead lost
32–33
2025 · Week 7
LAC -2.5 48.5 9265562 Q3 IND Q1 38–24
2025 · Week 7
CHI -3.5 43.5 3273740 U CHI Q2 14–26
2025 · Week 7
CLE -2.5 35.5 3233037 Q4 CLE Q1 6–31
2025 · Week 7
NE -6.5 41.5 13304444 Q3 NE Q3 31–13
2025 · Week 7
KC -13.5 45.5 7213131 U KC Q2 0–31
2025 · Week 7
PHI -2.5 44.5 10203750 Q4 PHI Q1 28–22
2025 · Week 7
NYJ -1.5 39.5 3131619 U CAR Q1 13–6
2025 · Week 7
LAR -3.5 43.5 14212142 U LAR Q1 35–7
2025 · Week 7
PIT -5.5 44.5 7273764 Q4 CIN Q2 31–33
2025 · Week 6
WSH -5.5 48.5 6203349 Q4 CHI Q1
Late over Lead lost
25–24
2025 · Week 6
BUF -3.5 49.5 21283538 U ATL Q1 14–24
2025 · Week 6
KC -2.5 51.5 9233047 U KC Q1 17–30
2025 · Week 6
GB -13.5 44.5 0101745 Q4 CIN Q1
Late cover flip Late over
18–27
2025 · Week 6
TB -3.5 46.5 10364649 Q4 TB Q1
Late over
19–30
2025 · Week 6
LV -4.5 41.5 3102030 U LV Q2 10–20
2025 · Week 6
IND -8.5 46.5 14244158 Q4 ARI Q1
Lead lost
27–31
2025 · Week 6
LAC -3.5 45.5 13223656 Q4 MIA Q4
Late cover flip
29–27
2025 · Week 6
NE -3.5 46.5 20384144 U NE Q1 25–19
2025 · Week 6
PIT -6.5 37.5 3122232 U PIT Q3 9–23
2025 · Week 6
DAL -2.5 45.5 6304457 Q4 CAR Q4 27–30
2025 · Week 6
SEA -1.5 47.5 6192632 U SEA Q2 20–12
2025 · Week 6
LAR -6.5 44.5 362020 U LAR Q3 17–3
2025 · Week 6
DEN -6.5 43.5 16162124 U NYJ Q1 13–11
2025 · Week 6
PHI -7.5 41.5 23374451 Q3 NYG Q1 17–34
2025 · Week 5
KC -3.5 45.5 7213559 Q4 JAX Q3
Late over
28–31
2025 · Week 5
BUF -7.5 48.5 392343 U NE Q1 23–20
2025 · Week 5
DET -9.5 48.5 7173161 Q4 DET Q2 37–24
2025 · Week 5
LAC -3.5 48.5 10203037 U WSH Q2 27–10
2025 · Week 5
ARI -7.5 41.5 17272743 Q4 TEN Q4
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
22–21
2025 · Week 5
SEA -3.5 45.5 3204973 Q3 TB Q1 38–35
2025 · Week 5
IND -7.5 46.5 3234346 U IND Q2 6–40
2025 · Week 5
NO -2.5 42.5 10303340 U NO Q3 14–26
2025 · Week 5
NYJ -2.5 47.5 6263659 Q4 DAL Q1
Late over
37–22
2025 · Week 5
PHI -4.5 44.5 6132038 U DEN Q4 21–17
2025 · Week 5
MIA -1.5 44.5 3273051 Q4 CAR Q4
Late over
24–27
2025 · Week 5
HOU -2.5 41.5 10274454 Q3 HOU Q1 44–10
2025 · Week 5
MIN -3.5 35.5 14173138 Q4 MIN Q4
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
21–17
2025 · Week 5
LAR -8.5 43.5 724344649 Q4 SF Q1
Late over
26–23
2025 · Week 4
DEN -7.5 44.5 10242431 U DEN Q2 3–28
2025 · Week 4
MIA -2.5 43.5 3133448 Q4 MIA Q1
Late over
21–27
2025 · Week 4
GB -6.5 46.5 729437480 Q4 DAL Q2
Lead lost
40–40
2025 · Week 4
BAL -2.5 49.5 10304357 Q4 KC Q2 20–37
2025 · Week 4
LV -2.5 46.5 10233749 Q4 CHI Q4
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
25–24
2025 · Week 4
LAR -3.5 49.5 6232347 U LAR Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
20–27
2025 · Week 4
SF -3.5 46.5 3234047 Q4 JAX Q1 26–21
2025 · Week 4
ATL -2.5 44.5 10274761 Q3 ATL Q1 27–34
2025 · Week 4
BUF -14.5 48.5 21243750 Q4 NO Q1
Late over
19–31
2025 · Week 4
DET -10.5 44.5 14273044 U DET Q4 10–34
2025 · Week 4
NE -3 42.5 13344155 Q4 NE Q2 13–42
2025 · Week 4
LAC -5.5 43.5 7233939 U NYG Q1 18–21
2025 · Week 4
PHI -3.5 43.5 17305156 Q3 PHI Q1 31–25
2025 · Week 4
HOU -7.5 39.5 36626 U HOU Q4 0–26
2025 · Week 4
MIN -2.5 41.5 10202745 Q4 PIT Q1
Late over
21–24
2025 · Week 4
SEA -1.5 43.5 10172343 U SEA Q1 23–20
2025 · Week 3
BAL -4.5 53.5 14284268 Q4 DET Q1 38–30
2025 · Week 3
KC -5.5 44.5 3152231 U KC Q3 22–9
2025 · Week 3
DAL -1.5 50.5 17384545 U CHI Q1 14–31
2025 · Week 3
SF -1.5 43.5 091231 U ARI Q3 15–16
2025 · Week 3
LAC -2.5 45.5 3173043 U LAC Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
20–23
2025 · Week 3
SEA -6.5 41.5 21445057 Q2 SEA Q1 13–44
2025 · Week 3
GB -7.5 40.5 031023 U CLE Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
10–13
2025 · Week 3
IND -5.5 42.5 20264761 Q3 IND Q1 41–20
2025 · Week 3
MIN -3.5 42.5 14375158 Q3 MIN Q1 10–48
2025 · Week 3
PIT -1.5 44.5 7212135 U PIT Q1
Late cover flip
21–14
2025 · Week 3
PHI -3.5 45.5 17264759 Q3 PHI Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
26–33
2025 · Week 3
TB -6.5 42.5 6262956 Q4 NYJ Q4
Late cover flip Late over
27–29
2025 · Week 3
WSH -2.5 44.5 10304465 Q4 WSH Q1 24–41
2025 · Week 3
ATL -4.5 43.5 7102030 U CAR Q1 0–30
2025 · Week 3
JAX -1.5 42.5 7101327 U JAX Q1
Late cover flip
10–17
2025 · Week 3
BUF -11.5 50.5 14283552 Q4 MIA Q1
Late over
21–31
2025 · Week 2
LAC -3.5 46.5 13232629 U LAC Q1 20–9
2025 · Week 2
HOU -2.5 42.5 17242439 U TB Q2 20–19
2025 · Week 2
MIN -3.5 44.5 6151828 U ATL Q1 22–6
2025 · Week 2
PHI -1.5 46.5 7202337 U PHI Q3 20–17
2025 · Week 2
DEN -1.5 43.5 13415157 Q3 IND Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
28–29
2025 · Week 2
ARI -6.5 45.5 13233649 Q4 CAR Q4
Late cover flip Late over
22–27
2025 · Week 2
CIN -3.5 50.5 14274858 Q4 CIN Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
27–31
2025 · Week 2
DAL -4.5 44.5 623337477 Q4 NYG Q1 37–40
2025 · Week 2
DET -6.5 45.5 21425273 Q3 DET Q1 21–52
2025 · Week 2
LAR -5.5 40.5 7233652 Q4 LAR Q4 33–19
2025 · Week 2
MIA -2.5 42.5 12294360 Q3 NE Q1 33–27
2025 · Week 2
SF -2.5 40.5 6233347 Q4 SF Q1 26–21
2025 · Week 2
BUF -5.5 46.5 10232640 U BUF Q1 30–10
2025 · Week 2
PIT -3.5 40.5 13212848 Q4 SEA Q3 31–17
2025 · Week 2
BAL -12.5 46.5 3133058 Q4 BAL Q4
Late over
17–41
2025 · Week 2
GB -3.5 47.5 7172045 U GB Q1 18–27
2025 · Week 1
CHI -1.5 43.5 7162351 Q4 MIN Q4
Late over
27–24
2025 · Week 1
BAL -1.5 51.5 10335381 Q3 BUF Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
40–41
2025 · Week 1
GB -1.5 48.5 10202340 U GB Q1 13–27
2025 · Week 1
LAR -3.5 43.5 3162323 U LAR Q3 9–14
2025 · Week 1
DEN -9.5 43.5 6192532 U TEN Q1 12–20
2025 · Week 1
SF -1.5 44.5 7171730 U SF Q4
Late cover flip
17–13
2025 · Week 1
ATL -1.5 47.5 7203043 U TB Q2 23–20
2025 · Week 1
CIN -5.5 47.5 7243333 U CLE Q2 17–16
2025 · Week 1
IND -1.5 47.5 3202341 U IND Q1 8–33
2025 · Week 1
NE -2.5 44.5 14172733 U LV Q3 20–13
2025 · Week 1
ARI -5.5 44.5 3273033 U ARI Q2 20–13
2025 · Week 1
PIT -2.5 38.5 16364366 Q3 NYJ Q1
Lead lost
34–32
2025 · Week 1
WSH -5.5 45.5 7172027 U WSH Q1 6–21
2025 · Week 1
JAX -4.5 44.5 6232336 U JAX Q2 10–26
2025 · Week 1
KC -3.5 47.5 7193248 Q4 LAC Q1
Late over
21–27
2025 · Week 1
PHI -7.5 47.5 14414444 U DAL Q1 20–24

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 51% 144
Q2 16% 46
Q3 13% 38
Q4 17% 49
OT 2% 5
The team leading at halftime won 76% and covered 72% of 258 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 76% of 270 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over39100% 39
1–314100% 14
4–73376% 25
8–103181% 25
11–142966% 19
15–172548% 12
18–214418% 8
22+677% 5
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.