When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
874 games · 2023–2026 · pick one to list those games
52% went over. Of the 450 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 25% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 21% of games.
Over cashed in the last 5 minutes: 176 games
2023–2026 · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 7 |
CHI -3 | 50.5 | 10344854 | Q4 | CHI Q1 Late over |
24–30 |
2026 · Week 6 |
BUF -5.5 | 54.5 | 10263663 | Q4 | LV Q4 Late over |
33–30 |
2026 · Week 6 |
IND -6.5 | 43.5 | 0131946 | Q4 | TEN Q4 Late over |
26–20 |
2026 · Week 6 |
NE -7.5 | 42.5 | 10203045 | Q4 | NYJ Q3 Late over |
19–26 |
2026 · Week 6 |
PIT -2.5 | 37.5 | 316193845 | Q4 | PIT OT Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
26–19 |
2026 · Week 5 |
LAR -3.5 | 55.5 | 620336871 | Q4 | BUF Q1 Late over |
37–34 |
2026 · Week 5 |
ATL -3 | 44.5 | 1023324653 | Q4 | BAL Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
30–23 |
2026 · Week 4 |
DET -3.5 | 52.5 | 10324858 | Q4 | CAR Q1 Late over |
26–32 |
2026 · Week 4 |
KC -3.5 | 47.5 | 14232357 | Q4 | LV Q1 Late over |
30–27 |
2026 · Week 4 |
BUF -7 | 49.5 | 7313855 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over |
29–26 |
2026 · Week 4 |
LAR -4.5 | 42.5 | 6303044 | Q4 | PHI Q1 Late over Lead lost |
24–20 |
2026 · Week 4 |
BAL -11.5 | 41.5 | 14313442 | Q4 | TEN Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
18–24 |
2026 · Week 3 |
DEN -1.5 | 44.5 | 7163256 | Q4 | DEN Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
26–30 |
2026 · Week 3 |
BAL -3 | 54.5 | 17304565 | Q4 | Push Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
34–31 |
2026 · Week 3 |
DET -7 | 49.5 | 0172755 | Q4 | Push Late cover flip Late over |
24–31 |
2026 · Week 3 |
GB -4.5 | 43.5 | 14243149 | Q4 | ATL Q1 Late over |
35–14 |
2026 · Week 2 |
DAL -4.5 | 51.5 | 10274057 | Q4 | DAL Q1 Late over |
20–37 |
2026 · Week 2 |
SF -12.5 | 44.5 | 7204148 | Q4 | SF Q3 Late over |
13–35 |
2026 · Week 2 |
PHI -7 | 39.5 | 7243444 | Q4 | TEN Q1 Late over |
24–20 |
2026 · Week 2 |
TB -8.5 | 41.5 | 9153242 | Q4 | CLE Q1 Late over Lead lost |
23–19 |
2026 · Week 1 |
PHI -6 | 43.5 | 3232646 | Q4 | WSH Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
22–24 |
2026 · Week 1 |
DET -7 | 49.5 | 77354861 | OT | NO Q4 Late over |
30–31 |
2026 · Week 1 |
JAX -8.5 | 40.5 | 14243744 | Q4 | JAX Q1 Late over |
10–34 |
2025 · Postseason |
GB -1.5 | 46.5 | 10242758 | Q4 | CHI Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–31 |
2025 · Week 18 |
BAL -4.5 | 41.5 | 7132350 | Q4 | PIT Q3 Late over Lead lost |
24–26 |
2025 · Week 18 |
PHI -3 | 38.5 | 0172741 | Q4 | WSH Q4 Late over |
24–17 |
2025 · Week 17 |
LAR -7.5 | 48.5 | 7214151 | Q4 | ATL Q1 Late over |
24–27 |
2025 · Week 17 |
NYG -3 | 40.5 | 7203744 | Q4 | NYG Q1 Late over |
34–10 |
2025 · Week 17 |
DAL -8.5 | 50.5 | 10344753 | Q4 | WSH Q3 Late over |
30–23 |
2025 · Week 16 |
BAL -3.5 | 47.5 | 7203052 | Q4 | NE Q4 Late over Lead lost |
28–24 |
2025 · Week 16 |
DET -7.5 | 52.5 | 3202253 | Q4 | PIT Q1 Late over |
29–24 |
2025 · Week 16 |
DAL -1.5 | 50.5 | 14384151 | Q4 | LAC Q1 Late over |
34–17 |
2025 · Week 16 |
PHI -7 | 43.5 | 10172447 | Q4 | PHI Q4 Late over |
29–18 |
2025 · Week 15 |
NYG -3 | 45.5 | 3293650 | Q4 | WSH Q1 Late over |
29–21 |
2025 · Week 14 |
GB -6.5 | 44.5 | 0173549 | Q4 | GB Q2 Late cover flip Late over |
21–28 |
2025 · Week 14 |
DEN -8.5 | 40.5 | 14212841 | Q4 | LV Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
24–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MIA -2.5 | 41.5 | 28313144 | Q4 | MIA Q1 Late over |
34–10 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TB -7.5 | 41.5 | 14173444 | Q4 | NO Q1 Late over |
24–20 |
2025 · Week 13 |
NE -7 | 46.5 | 17373748 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over |
15–33 |
2025 · Week 13 |
DEN -6.5 | 43.5 | 320344053 | OT | WSH Q1 Late over |
27–26 |
2025 · Week 13 |
LAC -9.5 | 40.5 | 7142845 | Q4 | LAC Q3 Late over |
14–31 |
2025 · Week 12 |
JAX -1.5 | 46.5 | 1424314851 | Q4 | JAX OT Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–24 |
2025 · Week 11 |
BAL -7.5 | 37.5 | 6262639 | Q4 | CLE Q1 Late over Lead lost |
23–16 |
2025 · Week 11 |
ATL -4.5 | 41.5 | 1431405457 | Q4 | CAR Q3 Late over Lead lost |
30–27 |
2025 · Week 11 |
GB -7.5 | 42.5 | 7263247 | Q4 | NYG Q1 Late over Lead lost |
27–20 |
2025 · Week 10 |
TB -2.5 | 48.5 | 14243751 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over |
28–23 |
2025 · Week 10 |
IND -5.5 | 48.5 | 2027305056 | Q4 | IND OT Late cover flip Late over |
25–31 |
2025 · Week 9 |
JAX -1.5 | 44.5 | 09154659 | Q4 | LV Q1 Late over Lead lost |
30–29 |
2025 · Week 9 |
DET -9.5 | 47.5 | 21314151 | Q4 | MIN Q1 Late over |
27–24 |
2025 · Week 9 |
LAC -9.5 | 44.5 | 21373747 | Q4 | TEN Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
27–20 |
2025 · Week 9 |
NE -5.5 | 45.5 | 14353847 | Q4 | ATL Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
23–24 |
2025 · Week 9 |
SF -2.5 | 47.5 | 14243058 | Q4 | SF Q2 Late over |
34–24 |
2025 · Week 8 |
IND -14.5 | 47.5 | 10243852 | Q4 | IND Q3 Late over |
14–38 |
2025 · Week 8 |
BAL -2.5 | 44.5 | 6162246 | Q4 | BAL Q2 Late over |
16–30 |
2025 · Week 8 |
LAC -3.5 | 44.5 | 7243447 | Q4 | LAC Q1 Late over |
10–37 |
2025 · Week 7 |
SEA -3.5 | 41.5 | 14203946 | Q4 | SEA Q1 Late over |
19–27 |
2025 · Week 7 |
GB -6.5 | 44.5 | 3193350 | Q4 | ARI Q1 Late over Lead lost |
27–23 |
2025 · Week 6 |
WSH -5.5 | 48.5 | 6203349 | Q4 | CHI Q1 Late over Lead lost |
25–24 |
2025 · Week 6 |
GB -13.5 | 44.5 | 0101745 | Q4 | CIN Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
18–27 |
2025 · Week 6 |
TB -3.5 | 46.5 | 10364649 | Q4 | TB Q1 Late over |
19–30 |
2025 · Week 5 |
KC -3.5 | 45.5 | 7213559 | Q4 | JAX Q3 Late over |
28–31 |
2025 · Week 5 |
ARI -7.5 | 41.5 | 17272743 | Q4 | TEN Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
22–21 |
2025 · Week 5 |
NYJ -2.5 | 47.5 | 6263659 | Q4 | DAL Q1 Late over |
37–22 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MIA -1.5 | 44.5 | 3273051 | Q4 | CAR Q4 Late over |
24–27 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MIN -3.5 | 35.5 | 14173138 | Q4 | MIN Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
21–17 |
2025 · Week 5 |
LAR -8.5 | 43.5 | 724344649 | Q4 | SF Q1 Late over |
26–23 |
2025 · Week 4 |
MIA -2.5 | 43.5 | 3133448 | Q4 | MIA Q1 Late over |
21–27 |
2025 · Week 4 |
LV -2.5 | 46.5 | 10233749 | Q4 | CHI Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
25–24 |
2025 · Week 4 |
BUF -14.5 | 48.5 | 21243750 | Q4 | NO Q1 Late over |
19–31 |
2025 · Week 4 |
MIN -2.5 | 41.5 | 10202745 | Q4 | PIT Q1 Late over |
21–24 |
2025 · Week 3 |
TB -6.5 | 42.5 | 6262956 | Q4 | NYJ Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
27–29 |
2025 · Week 3 |
BUF -11.5 | 50.5 | 14283552 | Q4 | MIA Q1 Late over |
21–31 |
2025 · Week 2 |
ARI -6.5 | 45.5 | 13233649 | Q4 | CAR Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
22–27 |
2025 · Week 2 |
BAL -12.5 | 46.5 | 3133058 | Q4 | BAL Q4 Late over |
17–41 |
2025 · Week 1 |
CHI -1.5 | 43.5 | 7162351 | Q4 | MIN Q4 Late over |
27–24 |
2025 · Week 1 |
KC -3.5 | 47.5 | 7193248 | Q4 | LAC Q1 Late over |
21–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
KC -1.5 | 48.5 | 7244062 | Q4 | PHI Q1 Late over |
22–40 |
2024 · Postseason |
BAL -1.5 | 51.5 | 14314052 | Q4 | BUF Q1 Late over |
25–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
PHI -7.5 | 43.5 | 20233150 | Q4 | LAR Q1 Late over |
22–28 |
2024 · Postseason |
LAC -2.5 | 41.5 | 6162644 | Q4 | HOU Q2 Late over |
12–32 |
2024 · Week 18 |
LAC -6.5 | 41.5 | 6273354 | Q4 | LAC Q2 Late over |
34–20 |
2024 · Week 18 |
GB -10.5 | 41.5 | 10272746 | Q4 | CHI Q1 Late over |
24–22 |
2024 · Week 18 |
TEN -2.5 | 36.5 | 7192237 | Q4 | HOU Q1 Late over |
23–14 |
2024 · Week 18 |
IND -3.5 | 45.5 | 1433334649 | Q4 | JAX Q4 Late over |
23–26 |
2024 · Week 18 |
BUF -3.5 | 36.5 | 7243339 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over |
16–23 |
2024 · Week 18 |
TB -14.5 | 44.5 | 6223246 | Q4 | NO Q1 Late over |
19–27 |
2024 · Week 18 |
BAL -20.5 | 41.5 | 7172445 | Q4 | BAL Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
10–35 |
2024 · Week 17 |
WSH -3.5 | 46.5 | 1424314854 | Q4 | WSH OT Late over |
24–30 |
2024 · Week 17 |
GB -0.5 | 48.5 | 3163752 | Q4 | MIN Q2 Late over |
25–27 |
2024 · Week 17 |
CIN -3.5 | 50.5 | 310204854 | OT | CIN OT Late cover flip Late over |
24–30 |
2024 · Week 16 |
TB -4.5 | 47.5 | 10374350 | Q4 | DAL Q1 Late over |
24–26 |
2024 · Week 16 |
SF -1.5 | 44.5 | 3232946 | Q4 | MIA Q1 Late over |
17–29 |
2024 · Week 16 |
MIN -2.5 | 43.5 | 7313751 | Q4 | MIN Q1 Late over |
27–24 |
2024 · Week 15 |
ARI -5.5 | 46.5 | 10161947 | Q4 | ARI Q1 Late over |
17–30 |
2024 · Week 15 |
NYJ -3.5 | 41.5 | 14203357 | Q4 | NYJ Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
32–25 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ARI -3.5 | 45.5 | 24344548 | Q4 | SEA Q1 Late over |
30–18 |
2024 · Week 13 |
TB -6.5 | 46.5 | 1023264649 | OT | CAR Q1 Late over |
26–23 |
2024 · Week 13 |
IND -2.5 | 41.5 | 13303349 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over Lead lost |
25–24 |
2024 · Week 12 |
BAL -2.5 | 50.5 | 7273353 | Q4 | BAL Q4 Late over |
30–23 |
2024 · Week 12 |
PHI -2.5 | 47.5 | 10204157 | Q4 | PHI Q2 Late over |
37–20 |
2024 · Week 12 |
GB -6.5 | 44.5 | 10243448 | Q4 | GB Q1 Late over |
10–38 |
2024 · Week 12 |
WSH -10.5 | 44.5 | 361960 | Q4 | DAL Q1 Late over |
34–26 |
2024 · Week 11 |
HOU -7.5 | 41.5 | 14273044 | Q4 | HOU Q3 Late over |
34–10 |
2024 · Week 11 |
BUF -2.5 | 47.5 | 6303051 | Q4 | BUF Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
21–30 |
2024 · Week 11 |
MIA -8.5 | 43.5 | 10162953 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late over |
19–34 |
2024 · Week 11 |
CLE -1.5 | 43.5 | 13202849 | Q4 | NO Q1 Late over |
14–35 |
2024 · Week 10 |
LAC -8.5 | 40.5 | 10203044 | Q4 | LAC Q3 Late over |
17–27 |
2024 · Week 10 |
BUF -4.5 | 46.5 | 13333350 | Q4 | BUF Q1 Late over |
30–20 |
2024 · Week 9 |
KC -8.5 | 45.5 | 317274854 | Q4 | TB Q1 Late over |
24–30 |
2024 · Week 9 |
PHI -7.5 | 46.5 | 7163851 | Q4 | JAX Q3 Late cover flip Late over |
23–28 |
2024 · Week 9 |
BUF -6.5 | 49.5 | 6163357 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
27–30 |
2024 · Week 9 |
WSH -3.5 | 42.5 | 7283449 | Q4 | WSH Q1 Late over |
27–22 |
2024 · Week 9 |
NO -7.5 | 43.5 | 6233345 | Q4 | CAR Q1 Late over Lead lost |
22–23 |
2024 · Week 8 |
SF -5.5 | 47.5 | 3163754 | Q4 | SF Q3 Late over |
24–30 |
2024 · Week 8 |
DEN -12.5 | 40.5 | 7283542 | Q4 | DEN Q2 Late over |
14–28 |
2024 · Week 8 |
KC -8.5 | 42.5 | 14273047 | Q4 | LV Q1 Late over |
27–20 |
2024 · Week 8 |
CIN -2.5 | 47.5 | 7204154 | Q4 | PHI Q2 Late over |
37–17 |
2024 · Week 8 |
BAL -7.5 | 44.5 | 3163753 | Q4 | CLE Q1 Late over |
24–29 |
2024 · Week 8 |
NYJ -7.5 | 41.5 | 13203047 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over |
22–25 |
2024 · Week 8 |
GB -3.5 | 49.5 | 0233757 | Q4 | JAX Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
30–27 |
2024 · Week 7 |
BUF -9.5 | 41.5 | 3172744 | Q4 | BUF Q4 Late over |
10–34 |
2024 · Week 7 |
JAX -6.5 | 41.5 | 7323548 | Q4 | JAX Q2 Late over |
16–32 |
2024 · Week 7 |
DEN -2.5 | 37.5 | 3192943 | Q4 | DEN Q1 Late over |
33–10 |
2024 · Week 6 |
BUF -1.5 | 42.5 | 17374043 | Q4 | BUF Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
23–20 |
2024 · Week 6 |
LAC -2.5 | 37.5 | 10202339 | Q4 | LAC Q1 Late over |
23–16 |
2024 · Week 6 |
PIT -3.5 | 36.5 | 10192945 | Q4 | PIT Q2 Late over |
32–13 |
2024 · Week 6 |
BAL -7.5 | 50.5 | 6274053 | Q4 | WSH Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
23–30 |
2024 · Week 6 |
SF -3.5 | 48.5 | 3194060 | Q4 | SF Q2 Late over |
36–24 |
2024 · Week 5 |
SEA -7.5 | 41.5 | 7203349 | Q4 | NYG Q1 Late over |
29–20 |
2024 · Week 4 |
MIA -2.5 | 37.5 | 0122543 | Q4 | TEN Q1 Late over |
31–12 |
2024 · Week 4 |
SF -10.5 | 41.5 | 6233743 | Q4 | SF Q2 Late over |
13–30 |
2024 · Week 4 |
ATL -2.5 | 42.5 | 14313750 | Q4 | NO Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
24–26 |
2024 · Week 3 |
BAL -1.5 | 47.5 | 17273453 | Q4 | BAL Q1 Late over |
28–25 |
2024 · Week 3 |
SF -6.5 | 44.5 | 14213551 | Q4 | LAR Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
24–27 |
2024 · Week 2 |
SEA -3.5 | 39.5 | 1430304043 | Q4 | NE Q4 Late over Lead lost |
23–20 |
2024 · Week 2 |
BAL -8.5 | 42.5 | 3152949 | Q4 | LV Q1 Late over Lead lost |
26–23 |
2024 · Week 1 |
SF -3.5 | 43.5 | 10233951 | Q4 | SF Q2 Late over |
19–32 |
2024 · Week 1 |
SEA -6.5 | 42.5 | 6223246 | Q4 | DEN Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
20–26 |
2024 · Week 1 |
HOU -3.5 | 48.5 | 13192856 | Q4 | IND Q3 Late over |
29–27 |
2024 · Week 1 |
KC -2.5 | 45.5 | 14233047 | Q4 | KC Q2 Late over |
20–27 |
2023 · Postseason |
SF -7.5 | 53.5 | 14314865 | Q4 | DET Q1 Late over |
31–34 |
2023 · Postseason |
DET -6 | 50 | 6203454 | Q4 | DET Q4 Late over |
23–31 |
2023 · Week 18 |
SF -5.5 | 40 | 14273341 | Q4 | LAR Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
21–20 |
2023 · Week 18 |
DAL -13 | 47 | 7314548 | Q4 | DAL Q3 Late over |
38–10 |
2023 · Week 17 |
IND -3.5 | 42.5 | 10172743 | Q4 | LV Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
20–23 |
2023 · Week 16 |
CHI -4.5 | 42 | 7283443 | Q4 | CHI Q1 Late over |
16–27 |
2023 · Week 16 |
BUF -13 | 44 | 3243446 | Q4 | LAC Q1 Late over Lead lost |
24–22 |
2023 · Week 16 |
LAR -4 | 45.5 | 7243452 | Q4 | LAR Q1 Late over |
22–30 |
2023 · Week 15 |
IND -1 | 41.5 | 6273743 | Q4 | IND Q3 Late over |
13–30 |
2023 · Week 15 |
CIN -3 | 41.5 | 1010204851 | Q4 | Push Late cover flip Late over |
24–27 |
2023 · Week 14 |
MIA -13.5 | 44.5 | 7172355 | Q4 | TEN Q1 Late over Lead lost |
28–27 |
2023 · Week 14 |
GB -5.5 | 37 | 7173446 | Q4 | NYG Q2 Late over |
22–24 |
2023 · Week 14 |
ATL -1.5 | 41.5 | 6222954 | Q4 | TB Q1 Late over |
29–25 |
2023 · Week 14 |
CIN -3 | 45 | 7284248 | Q4 | CIN Q3 Late over |
14–34 |
2023 · Week 14 |
HOU -3 | 33.5 | 002036 | Q4 | NYJ Q1 Late over |
6–30 |
2023 · Week 13 |
KC -6 | 44 | 10203346 | Q4 | GB Q1 Late over |
19–27 |
2023 · Week 13 |
LAR -3.5 | 39.5 | 17233355 | Q4 | LAR Q3 Late cover flip Late over |
19–36 |
2023 · Week 12 |
DEN -2 | 37.5 | 7202941 | Q4 | DEN Q1 Late over |
12–29 |
2023 · Week 12 |
IND -2.5 | 44.5 | 13273047 | Q4 | IND Q1 Late over |
20–27 |
2023 · Week 12 |
MIA -8.5 | 40 | 3232647 | Q4 | MIA Q2 Late over |
34–13 |
2023 · Week 12 |
DAL -13 | 48 | 7303055 | Q4 | DAL Q4 Late over |
10–45 |
2023 · Week 12 |
DET -8.5 | 47 | 26294351 | Q4 | GB Q1 Late over |
29–22 |
2023 · Week 11 |
DET -8 | 48 | 7243457 | Q4 | CHI Q1 Late over Lead lost |
26–31 |
2023 · Week 11 |
WSH -7.5 | 39 | 10232650 | Q4 | NYG Q1 Late over |
31–19 |
2023 · Week 11 |
BAL -3.5 | 46.5 | 10314054 | Q4 | BAL Q1 Late over |
20–34 |
2023 · Week 10 |
SEA -6 | 44 | 9182855 | Q4 | WSH Q1 Late over |
26–29 |
2023 · Week 10 |
ATL -2 | 43.5 | 3263948 | Q4 | ARI Q3 Late over |
23–25 |
2023 · Week 10 |
CIN -5.5 | 45.5 | 7173757 | Q4 | HOU Q2 Late over |
30–27 |
2023 · Week 8 |
BAL -9.5 | 45 | 14212855 | Q4 | ARI Q4 Late over |
31–24 |
2023 · Week 8 |
SF -4.5 | 44 | 21242748 | Q4 | CIN Q1 Late over |
31–17 |
2023 · Week 8 |
SEA -4 | 38.5 | 24313744 | Q4 | Push Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
20–24 |
2023 · Week 8 |
MIA -7.5 | 46.5 | 14243448 | Q4 | MIA Q2 Late cover flip Late over |
17–31 |
2023 · Week 7 |
KC -5.5 | 47.5 | 6414148 | Q4 | KC Q2 Late over |
17–31 |
2023 · Week 7 |
LV -1.5 | 37.5 | 7172442 | Q4 | CHI Q1 Late over |
12–30 |
2023 · Week 7 |
BUF -7.5 | 39.5 | 10162654 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over |
25–29 |
2023 · Week 6 |
SF -9.5 | 35.5 | 7172336 | Q4 | CLE Q1 Late over Lead lost |
17–19 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 49% 431
Q2 17% 152
Q3 11% 97
Q4 19% 168
OT 2% 15
Push 1% 11
The team leading at halftime won 77% and covered 71% of 816 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 76% of 833 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 111 | 100% 111 |
| 1–3 | 44 | 95% 42 |
| 4–7 | 102 | 87% 89 |
| 8–10 | 101 | 64% 65 |
| 11–14 | 117 | 60% 70 |
| 15–17 | 108 | 33% 36 |
| 18–21 | 121 | 19% 23 |
| 22+ | 170 | 8% 14 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.