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NCAAF · 2023

NCAAF Week 12 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 12: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
64 finalFavorites 32-28 ATS12 upsetsO/U 29-35Model Favorite 52-12Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games6464 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS32-2853% covered
Upsets12outright
Over / Under29-3545% over
Model Favorite52-1281% won
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Tuesday, Nov 14

3
Final · Conf
Toledo
9-1 · #58
32
Bowling Green
6-4 · #80
31
Spread
TOL -9.5
✓ BGSU W ATS
Total
50
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
29–20
✓ TOL won
Trend: BGSU ATS ✓ Model: BGSU by 3 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Western Michigan
4-6 · #120
0
Northern Illinois
4-6 · #94
24
Spread
NIU -4.5
✓ NIU W ATS
Total
57
▼ Under 24
Projected
26–31
✓ NIU won
Trend: WMU ATS ✗ Model: NIU by 2 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Akron
2-8 · #130
27
Eastern Michigan
4-6 · #126
30
Spread
EMU -3
Push
Total
39.5
▲ Over 57 · OT
Projected
19–22
✓ EMU won
Model: EMU by 0.5 Model: Over 1 ✓

Wednesday, Nov 15

2
Final · Conf
Central Michigan
5-5 · #122
20
Ohio
7-3 · #63
34
Spread
OHIO -10.5
✓ OHIO W ATS
Total
49.5
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
18–29
✓ OHIO won
Model: OHIO by 4 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Buffalo
3-7 · #119
10
Miami (OH)
8-2 · #78
23
Spread
M-OH -7.5
✓ M-OH W ATS
Total
37
▼ Under 33
Projected
18–26
✓ M-OH won
Trend: M-OH ATS ✓ Model: M-OH by 4 ✓ Model: Over 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Thursday, Nov 16

1
Final · Conf
Boston College
6-4 · #75
16
Pittsburgh
2-8 · #77
24
Spread
PITT -2.5
✓ PITT W ATS
Total
46.5
▼ Under 40
Projected
22–24
✓ PITT won
Trend: BC ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: BC by 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Friday, Nov 17

2
Final · Conf
South Florida
5-5 · #95
21
UTSA
7-3 · #56
49
Spread
UTSA -14.5
✓ UTSA W ATS
Total
66.5
▲ Over 70 · Q4
Projected
25–39
✓ UTSA won
Trend: USF ATS ✗ Model: USF by 0 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Colorado
4-6 · #72
14
Washington State
4-6 · #46
56
Spread
WSU -3.5
✓ WSU W ATS
Total
59.5
▲ Over 70 · Q3
Projected
30–34
✓ WSU won
Trend: COLO ATS ✗ Model: WSU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Nov 18

56
Final · Conf
Michigan
10-0 · #3
31
Maryland
6-4 · #27
24
Spread
MICH -18
✓ MD W ATS
Total
51
▲ Over 55 · Q3
Projected
34–16
✓ MICH won
Trend: MICH ATS ✗ Model: MD by 1 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Louisville
9-1 · #21
38
Miami
6-4 · #25
31
Spread
Pick’em
✓ LOU W ATS
Total
46
▲ Over 69 · Q3
Projected
25–25
✓ LOU won
Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Rutgers
6-4 · #51
6
Penn State
8-2 · #5
27
Spread
PSU -19.5
✓ PSU W ATS
Total
40
▼ Under 33
Projected
11–31
✓ PSU won
Trend: PSU ATS ✓ Model: PSU by 2 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
UL Monroe
2-8 · #129
3
Ole Miss
8-2 · #16
35
Spread
MISS -36.5
✓ ULM W ATS
Total
61.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
11–47
✓ MISS won
Trend: MISS ATS ✗ Model: ULM by 3 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Oklahoma
8-2 · #9
31
BYU
5-5 · #86
24
Spread
OU -25.5
✓ BYU W ATS
Total
58.5
▼ Under 55
Projected
40–16
✓ OU won
Model: BYU by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Tulane
9-1 · #55
24
Florida Atlantic
4-6 · #105
8
Spread
TULN -9
✓ TULN W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 32
Projected
28–20
✓ TULN won
Trend: TULN ATS ✓ Model: FAU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Coastal Carolina
7-3 · #70
21
Army
4-6 · #104
28
Spread
CCU -1
✓ ARMY W ATS
Total
40.5
▲ Over 49 · Q3
Projected
23–20
✗ CCU lost
Trend: CCU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: CCU by 5.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Michigan State
3-7 · #98
24
Indiana
3-7 · #89
21
Spread
IU -3.5
✓ MSU W ATS
Total
47
▼ Under 45
Projected
22–26
✗ IU lost
Model: MSU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Southern Miss
3-7 · #121
20
Mississippi State
4-6 · #64
41
Spread
MSST -18
✓ MSST W ATS
Total
48
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
15–32
✓ MSST won
Trend: USM ATS ✗ Model: USM by 4.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Purdue
3-7 · #66
15
Northwestern
5-5 · #65
23
Spread
NU -2.5
✓ NU W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
24–26
✓ NU won
Model: PUR by 2 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
East Carolina
2-8 · #110
0
Navy
4-5 · #108
10
Spread
NAVY -2.5
✓ NAVY W ATS
Total
30.5
▼ Under 10
Projected
16–18
✓ NAVY won
Trend: ECU ATS ✗ Model: ECU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
SMU
8-2 · #22
38
Memphis
8-2 · #50
34
Spread
SMU -9.5
✓ MEM W ATS
Total
64
▲ Over 72 · Q4
Projected
34–25
✓ SMU won
Trend: SMU ATS ✗ Model: MEM by 2 ✓ Model: Under 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Massachusetts
3-7 · #127
25
Liberty
10-0 · #32
49
Spread
LIB -26.5
✓ MASS W ATS
Total
63.5
▲ Over 74 · Q4
Projected
18–45
✓ LIB won
Trend: LIB ATS ✗ Model: MASS by 1 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Louisiana Tech
3-8 · #116
17
Jacksonville State
7-3 · #69
56
Spread
JXST -10
✓ JXST W ATS
Total
55
▲ Over 73 · Q3
Projected
22–32
✓ JXST won
Trend: JXST ATS ✓ Model: LT by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UTEP
3-7 · #115
30
Middle Tennessee
3-7 · #99
34
Spread
MTSU -8.5
✓ UTEP W ATS
Total
48
▲ Over 64 · Q3
Projected
20–29
✓ MTSU won
Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Rice
4-6 · #90
28
Charlotte
3-7 · #124
7
Spread
Pick’em
✓ RICE W ATS
Total
46.5
▼ Under 35
Projected
25–25
✓ RICE won
Trend: RICE ATS ✓ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
App State
6-4 · #61
26
James Madison
10-0 · #28
23
Spread
JMU -10
✓ APP W ATS
Total
56.5
▼ Under 49
Projected
22–32
✗ JMU lost
Trend: JMU ATS ✗ Model: JMU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Kent State
1-9 · #133
3
Ball State
3-7 · #113
34
Spread
BALL -10.5
✓ BALL W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 37
Projected
17–28
✓ BALL won
Trend: BALL ATS ✓ Model: BALL by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Hawai'i
4-7 · #123
9
Wyoming
6-4 · #74
42
Spread
WYO -13.5
✓ WYO W ATS
Total
45
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
17–31
✓ WYO won
Trend: WYO ATS ✓ Model: WYO by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Utah
7-3 · #33
18
Arizona
7-3 · #18
42
Spread
ARIZ -2.5
✓ ARIZ W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
19–22
✓ ARIZ won
Trend: ARIZ ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: UTAH by 1 ✗ Model: Under 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Cincinnati
3-7 · #76
21
West Virginia
6-4 · #39
42
Spread
WVU -5
✓ WVU W ATS
Total
52.5
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
24–29
✓ WVU won
Trend: WVU ATS ✓ Model: WVU by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Duke
6-4 · #37
27
Virginia
2-8 · #85
30
Spread
DUKE -3
✓ UVA W ATS
Total
46
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
26–21
✗ DUKE lost
Trend: UVA ATS ✓ Model: DUKE by 6 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
North Texas
3-7 · #103
35
Tulsa
3-7 · #118
28
Spread
UNT -2
✓ UNT W ATS
Total
69
▼ Under 63
Projected
34–33
✓ UNT won
Model: TLSA by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Temple
3-7 · #128
24
UAB
3-7 · #102
34
Spread
UAB -7.5
✓ UAB W ATS
Total
61.5
▼ Under 58
Projected
25–34
✓ UAB won
Trend: UAB ATS ✓ Model: UAB by 5.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Texas State
6-4 · #73
31
Arkansas State
5-5 · #107
77
Spread
TXST -3
✓ ARST W ATS
Total
60
▲ Over 108 · Q3
Projected
32–28
✗ TXST lost
Model: TXST by 5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Nevada
2-8 · #132
20
Colorado State
4-6 · #109
30
Spread
CSU -12
✓ NEV W ATS
Total
45
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
19–31
✓ CSU won
Trend: NEV ATS ✓ Model: NEV by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Georgia
10-0 · #1
38
Tennessee
7-3 · #15
10
Spread
UGA -9
✓ UGA W ATS
Total
59
▼ Under 48
Projected
32–24
✓ UGA won
Trend: TENN ATS ✗ Model: TENN by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Illinois
5-5 · #67
13
Iowa
8-2 · #54
15
Spread
IOWA -3
✓ ILL W ATS
Total
33.5
▼ Under 28
Projected
17–20
✓ IOWA won
Trend: IOWA ATS ✗ Model: IOWA by 4 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Wake Forest
4-6 · #81
7
Notre Dame
7-3 · #6
45
Spread
ND -24
✓ ND W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
13–37
✓ ND won
Trend: ND ATS ✓ Model: ND by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
North Carolina
8-2 · #34
20
Clemson
6-4 · #19
31
Spread
CLEM -7.5
✓ CLEM W ATS
Total
59.5
▼ Under 51
Projected
25–32
✓ CLEM won
Model: UNC by 3 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Sam Houston
2-8 · #114
23
Western Kentucky
5-5 · #83
28
Spread
WKU -10
✓ SHSU W ATS
Total
53
▼ Under 51
Projected
21–31
✓ WKU won
Trend: SHSU ATS ✓ Model: WKU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UCLA
6-4 · #26
38
USC
7-4 · #23
20
Spread
USC -5
✓ UCLA W ATS
Total
63
▼ Under 58
Projected
29–34
✗ USC lost
Trend: UCLA ATS ✓ Model: USC by 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
NC State
7-3 · #38
35
Virginia Tech
5-5 · #41
28
Spread
VT -2.5
✓ NCSU W ATS
Total
41
▲ Over 63 · Q3
Projected
21–24
✗ VT lost
Trend: VT ATS ✗ Model: VT by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Baylor
3-7 · #93
17
TCU
4-6 · #30
42
Spread
TCU -13
✓ TCU W ATS
Total
61
▼ Under 59
Projected
23–36
✓ TCU won
Trend: TCU ATS ✓ Model: TCU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Louisiana
5-5 · #87
24
Troy
8-2 · #29
31
Spread
TROY -16
✓ UL W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
17–33
✓ TROY won
Trend: TROY ATS ✗ Model: TROY by 1 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UNLV
8-2 · #68
31
Air Force
8-2 · #52
27
Spread
AFA -3
✓ UNLV W ATS
Total
47
▲ Over 58 · Q3
Projected
24–28
✗ AFA lost
Trend: UNLV ATS ✓ Model: AFA by 5 ✗ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Minnesota
5-5 · #79
3
Ohio State
10-0 · #4
37
Spread
OSU -27.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 40
Projected
10–38
✓ OSU won
Trend: OSU ATS ✓ Model: OSU by 1 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Oregon
9-1 · #2
49
Arizona State
3-7 · #101
13
Spread
ORE -24.5
✓ ORE W ATS
Total
54.5
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
39–14
✓ ORE won
Trend: ORE ATS ✓ Model: ORE by 2 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Oklahoma State
7-3 · #43
43
Houston
4-6 · #88
30
Spread
OKST -6.5
✓ OKST W ATS
Total
57.5
▲ Over 73 · Q4
Projected
31–24
✓ OKST won
Model: HOU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
New Mexico State
8-3 · #84
31
Auburn
6-4 · #40
10
Spread
AUB -25
✓ NMSU W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 41
Projected
11–35
✗ AUB lost
Trend: NMSU ATS ✓ Model: NMSU by 7.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UCF
5-5 · #31
23
Texas Tech
5-5 · #45
24
Spread
TTU -2
✓ UCF W ATS
Total
58.5
▼ Under 47
Projected
27–30
✓ TTU won
Trend: TTU ATS ✗ Model: TTU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Marshall
5-5 · #96
0
South Alabama
5-5 · #49
28
Spread
USA -10
✓ USA W ATS
Total
45.5
▼ Under 28
Projected
19–30
✓ USA won
Trend: USA ATS ✓ Model: USA by 2 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Old Dominion
4-6 · #97
20
Georgia Southern
6-4 · #92
17
Spread
GASO -5.5
✓ ODU W ATS
Total
62.5
▼ Under 37
Projected
27–33
✗ GASO lost
Model: GASO by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
California
4-6 · #57
27
Stanford
3-7 · #106
15
Spread
CAL -6.5
✓ CAL W ATS
Total
53
▼ Under 42
Projected
32–25
✓ CAL won
Trend: STAN ATS ✗ Model: CAL by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Kansas State
7-3 · #11
31
Kansas
7-3 · #24
27
Spread
KSU -7
✓ KU W ATS
Total
60.5
▼ Under 58
Projected
34–26
✓ KSU won
Trend: KSU ATS ✗ Model: KSU by 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Boise State
5-5 · #48
45
Utah State
5-5 · #100
10
Spread
BOIS -4
✓ BOIS W ATS
Total
64
▼ Under 55
Projected
33–30
✓ BOIS won
Trend: USU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: USU by 3 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Washington
10-0 · #13
22
Oregon State
8-2 · #20
20
Spread
ORST -1
✓ WASH W ATS
Total
63
▼ Under 42
Projected
32–33
✗ ORST lost
Trend: ORST ATS ✗ Model: WASH by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida
5-5 · #36
31
Missouri
8-2 · #12
33
Spread
MIZ -12.5
✓ FLA W ATS
Total
56.5
▲ Over 64 · Q4
Projected
21–33
✓ MIZ won
Trend: MIZ ATS ✗ Model: FLA by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Florida International
4-6 · #131
20
Arkansas
3-7 · #59
44
Spread
ARK -26.5
✓ FIU W ATS
Total
50
▲ Over 64 · Q3
Projected
11–37
✓ ARK won
Trend: FIU ATS ✓ Model: FIU by 2 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Kentucky
6-4 · #44
14
South Carolina
4-6 · #47
17
Spread
SC -2
✓ SC W ATS
Total
52
▼ Under 31
Projected
26–28
✓ SC won
Trend: SC ATS ✓ Model: SC by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Nebraska
5-5 · #62
17
Wisconsin
5-5 · #42
24
Spread
WIS -7
Push
Total
36.5
▲ Over 41 · OT
Projected
16–23
✓ WIS won
Model: WIS by 0 Model: Over 2 ✓
Final · Conf
Texas
9-1 · #8
26
Iowa State
6-4 · #35
16
Spread
TEX -7
✓ TEX W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 42
Projected
27–20
✓ TEX won
Model: TEX by 3 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Georgia State
6-4 · #91
14
LSU
7-3 · #10
56
Spread
LSU -32.5
✓ LSU W ATS
Total
74
▼ Under 70
Projected
19–51
✓ LSU won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: GAST by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Syracuse
5-5 · #82
22
Georgia Tech
5-5 · #53
31
Spread
GT -6
✓ GT W ATS
Total
51.5
▲ Over 53 · Q4
Projected
26–31
✓ GT won
Model: SYR by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
New Mexico
3-7 · #117
25
Fresno State
8-2 · #71
17
Spread
FRES -22
✓ UNM W ATS
Total
58
▼ Under 42
Projected
18–39
✗ FRES lost
Trend: Over ✗ Model: UNM by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
San Diego State
3-7 · #112
13
San José State
5-5 · #60
24
Spread
SJSU -16
✓ SDSU W ATS
Total
48
▼ Under 37
Projected
18–34
✓ SJSU won
Trend: SJSU ATS ✗ Model: SJSU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total