MACPower #755-2 SU3-3-1 ATS5-2 O/U
Toledo is 5-2 straight up, 3-3-1 against the spread (50% covers, average cover margin +1.3 points), 5-2 on over/unders in 2026, including 3-3 ATS as a favorite.
Next: vs Western Michigan, Oct 24 · TOL -3 · total 47.5 · Game card, trends & data signal
Last 5 (result · ATS · O/U):WLO·WWO·WLO·LLU·WWU
Season at a glance5-2 SU · 3-3-1 ATS
Straight up
5-2
71% wins
Power rating
-2.6 #75
SOS -15.4 · left -13.8
Against the spread
3-3-1
50% covers
Avg cover margin
+1.3
points vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs
Points for / against
36.3 / 23.6
per game
Toledo 2026 schedule, lines & results
7 played · 5 to go
| Week | Date | Opponent | Line | Total | Result | ATS | O/U | Game details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 |  @ Michigan State non-conf |
+10 | 48.5 | L 20-30 | P 0 | O Q4 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 |  Central Connecticut non-conf |
-36.5 | 52.5 | W 63-10 | W +16.5 | O Q3 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 |  Temple non-conf |
-4.5 | 48.5 | W 49-48 | L -3.5 | O Q4 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 |  San Diego State non-conf |
-2.5 | 50.5 | W 41-16 | W +22.5 | O Q4 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 |  @ Ball State |
-20.5 | 52.5 | W 39-24 | L -5.5 | O Q4 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 |  Buffalo |
-18.5 | 54.5 | L 8-23 | L -33.5 | U | |
| 7 | Oct 17 |  @ Eastern Michigan |
-7.5 | 51.5 | W 34-14 | W +12.5 | U | |
| 8 | Oct 24 Next |  Western Michigan |
-3DK · 7:32 PMSourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed OpenTOL -1.5 CurrentTOL -3 Total44.5 → 47.5 Last update7:32 PM ET Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting. |
47.5 | — | — | — | |
| 10 | Nov 4 |  @ Sacramento State |
— | — | — | — | — | |
| 11 | Nov 11 |  Massachusetts |
— | — | — | — | — | |
| 12 | Nov 20 |  Bowling Green |
— | — | — | — | — | |
| 13 | Nov 27 |  @ Ohio |
— | — | — | — | — |
Toledo 2026 ATS and over/under splits
Home, away, favorite, underdog and conference
| Situation | SU | ATS | Cover % | Avg margin | O/U | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 5-2 | 3-3-1 | 50% | +1.3 | 5-2 | 36.3 | 23.6 |
| Home | 3-1 | 2-2 | 50% | +0.5 | 3-1 | 40.3 | 24.3 |
| Away | 2-1 | 1-1-1 | 50% | +2.3 | 2-1 | 31.0 | 22.7 |
| As favorite | 5-1 | 3-3 | 50% | +1.5 | 4-2 | 39.0 | 22.5 |
| As underdog | 0-1 | 0-0-1 | — | 0.0 | 1-0 | 20.0 | 30.0 |
| Conference games | 2-1 | 1-2 | 33% | -8.8 | 1-2 | 27.0 | 20.3 |
| Non-conference games | 3-1 | 2-1-1 | 67% | +8.9 | 4-0 | 43.3 | 26.0 |
How Toledo’s 2026 games played out
Quarter the total was passed, when covers were settled, halftime leads
5 of 7 games went over · quarter the total was passed
Q3 14% 1
Q4 57% 4
Stayed under 29% 2
3 covers: 0 settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime
Led at halftime 4: won 4, covered 3
Trailed at halftime 3: won 1, covered 0
Research Toledo games by quarter ›