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NCAAF · 2023

NCAAF Week 10 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 10: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
63 finalFavorites 25-32 ATS18 upsetsO/U 33-29Model Favorite 46-17Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games6363 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS25-3244% covered
Upsets18outright
Over / Under33-2953% over
Model Favorite46-1773% won
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Tuesday, Oct 31

2
Final · Conf
Northern Illinois
4-4 · #94
31
Central Michigan
4-4 · #122
37
Spread
NIU -6.5
✓ CMU W ATS
Total
48
▲ Over 68 · Q3
Projected
28–22
✗ NIU lost
Trend: NIU ATS ✗ Model: CMU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Buffalo
3-5 · #119
13
Toledo
7-1 · #58
31
Spread
TOL -15.5
✓ TOL W ATS
Total
49.5
▼ Under 44
Projected
18–34
✓ TOL won
Trend: BUFF ATS ✗ Model: TOL by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Wednesday, Nov 1

2
Final · Conf
Ball State
2-6 · #113
21
Bowling Green
4-4 · #80
24
Spread
BGSU -5
✓ BALL W ATS
Total
40
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
18–24
✓ BGSU won
Trend: BGSU ATS ✗ Model: BGSU by 6.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Kent State
1-7 · #133
27
Akron
1-7 · #130
31
Spread
AKR -3.5
✓ AKR W ATS
Total
40
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
20–24
✓ AKR won
Trend: KENT ATS ✗ Model: AKR by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Thursday, Nov 2

3
Final · Conf
TCU
4-4 · #30
28
Texas Tech
3-5 · #45
35
Spread
TTU -2.5
✓ TTU W ATS
Total
58.5
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
28–30
✓ TTU won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: TCU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Wake Forest
4-4 · #81
21
Duke
5-3 · #37
24
Spread
DUKE -6.5
✓ WAKE W ATS
Total
41
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
19–27
✓ DUKE won
Trend: DUKE ATS ✗ Model: DUKE by 10 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
South Alabama
4-4 · #49
10
Troy
6-2 · #29
28
Spread
TROY -7
✓ TROY W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
20–26
✓ TROY won
Trend: USA ATS ✗ Model: USA by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Friday, Nov 3

2
Final · Conf
Boston College
5-3 · #75
17
Syracuse
4-4 · #82
10
Spread
BC -1
✓ BC W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 27
Projected
27–27
✓ BC won
Model: SYR by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 6 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Colorado State
3-5 · #109
15
Wyoming
5-3 · #74
24
Spread
WYO -6
✓ WYO W ATS
Total
44
▼ Under 39
Projected
22–28
✓ WYO won
Trend: CSU ATS ✗ Model: WYO by 1 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3

Saturday, Nov 4

54
Final · Conf
Ohio State
8-0 · #4
35
Rutgers
6-2 · #51
16
Spread
OSU -19
Push
Total
44
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
31–13
✓ OSU won
Trend: RUTG ATS Model: RUTG by 2 Model: Under 0.5 ✗
Final · Conf
Kansas State
6-2 · #11
30
Texas
7-1 · #8
33
Spread
TEX -3
Push
Total
50
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
25–28
✓ TEX won
Trend: KSU ATS Model: TEX by 1.5 Model: Over 3.5 ✓
Final · Conf
Texas A&M
5-3 · #17
35
Ole Miss
7-1 · #16
38
Spread
MISS -3
Push
Total
52
▲ Over 73 · Q4
Projected
26–30
✓ MISS won
Trend: MISS ATS Model: MISS by 1.5 Model: Over 4 ✓
Final · Non-conf
Notre Dame
7-2 · #6
23
Clemson
4-4 · #19
31
Spread
ND -3.5
✓ CLEM W ATS
Total
43
▲ Over 54 · Q3
Projected
27–23
✗ ND lost
Trend: ND ATS ✗ Model: ND by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 7.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UConn
1-7 · #125
3
Tennessee
6-2 · #15
59
Spread
TENN -34.5
✓ TENN W ATS
Total
55
▲ Over 62 · Q3
Projected
9–42
✓ TENN won
Trend: TENN ATS ✓ Model: CONN by 4 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Arkansas
2-6 · #59
39
Florida
5-3 · #36
36
Spread
FLA -3
✓ ARK W ATS
Total
49
▲ Over 75 · Q4
Projected
23–26
✗ FLA lost
Trend: ARK ATS ✓ Model: FLA by 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Wisconsin
5-3 · #42
14
Indiana
2-6 · #89
20
Spread
WIS -7.5
✓ IU W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 34
Projected
27–19
✗ WIS lost
Model: WIS by 3 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Nebraska
5-3 · #62
17
Michigan State
2-6 · #98
20
Spread
NEB -3
✓ MSU W ATS
Total
35.5
▲ Over 37 · Q4
Projected
21–18
✗ NEB lost
Trend: NEB ATS ✗ Model: NEB by 1 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Jacksonville State
7-2 · #69
28
South Carolina
2-6 · #47
38
Spread
SC -14
✓ JXST W ATS
Total
55
▲ Over 66 · Q3
Projected
20–33
✓ SC won
Trend: JXST ATS ✓ Model: JXST by 6 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Kennesaw State
0-0
21
Sam Houston
0-8 · #114
24
Spread
SHSU -16.5
✓ KENN W ATS
Total
42.5
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
16–29
✓ SHSU won
Model: KENN by 15.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Arizona State
2-6 · #101
3
Utah
6-2 · #33
55
Spread
UTAH -10
✓ UTAH W ATS
Total
39
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
13–24
✓ UTAH won
Trend: UTAH ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: UTAH by 6.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Georgia Tech
4-4 · #53
45
Virginia
2-6 · #85
17
Spread
Pick’em
✓ GT W ATS
Total
56
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
30–30
✓ GT won
Trend: UVA ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Navy
3-4 · #108
18
Temple
2-6 · #128
32
Spread
NAVY -6.5
✓ TEM W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
26–19
✗ NAVY lost
Trend: NAVY ATS ✗ Model: NAVY by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Neutral
Army
2-6 · #104
23
Air Force
8-0 · #52
3
Spread
AFA -18.5
✓ ARMY W ATS
Total
32.5
▼ Under 26
Projected
11–30
✗ AFA lost
Trend: AFA ATS ✗ Model: AFA by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 8.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida Atlantic
4-4 · #105
42
UAB
2-6 · #102
45
Spread
Pick’em
✓ UAB W ATS
Total
59
▲ Over 87 · Q3
Projected
29–30
✓ UAB won
Trend: FAU ATS ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UTSA
5-3 · #56
37
North Texas
3-5 · #103
29
Spread
UTSA -8
Push
Total
70
▼ Under 66
Projected
37–29
✓ UTSA won
Trend: UNT ATS Model: UNT by 3.5 Model: Under 4 ✓
Final · Conf
South Florida
4-4 · #95
50
Memphis
6-2 · #50
59
Spread
MEM -13.5
✓ USF W ATS
Total
68
▲ Over 109 · Q3
Projected
25–39
✓ MEM won
Trend: USF ATS ✓ Model: MEM by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Louisiana
5-3 · #87
17
Arkansas State
4-4 · #107
37
Spread
UL -7
✓ ARST W ATS
Total
61
▼ Under 54
Projected
33–25
✗ UL lost
Trend: ARST ATS ✓ Model: UL by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Missouri
7-1 · #12
21
Georgia
8-0 · #1
30
Spread
UGA -14
✓ MIZ W ATS
Total
54
▼ Under 51
Projected
20–34
✓ UGA won
Trend: MIZ ATS ✓ Model: MIZ by 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida State
8-0 · #14
24
Pittsburgh
2-6 · #77
7
Spread
FSU -20.5
✓ PITT W ATS
Total
49.5
▼ Under 31
Projected
35–14
✓ FSU won
Trend: FSU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: PITT by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Oklahoma
7-1 · #9
24
Oklahoma State
6-2 · #43
27
Spread
OU -6
✓ OKST W ATS
Total
62
▼ Under 51
Projected
33–26
✗ OU lost
Model: OU by 6 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Penn State
7-1 · #5
51
Maryland
5-3 · #27
15
Spread
PSU -7.5
✓ PSU W ATS
Total
49.5
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
30–22
✓ PSU won
Trend: PSU ATS ✓ Model: PSU by 2 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Virginia Tech
4-4 · #41
3
Louisville
7-1 · #21
34
Spread
LOU -9
✓ LOU W ATS
Total
46.5
▼ Under 37
Projected
20–30
✓ LOU won
Trend: LOU ATS ✓ Model: LOU by 3 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Tulane
7-1 · #55
13
East Carolina
1-7 · #110
10
Spread
TULN -17
✓ ECU W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 23
Projected
30–14
✓ TULN won
Trend: TULN ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: ECU by 6 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Illinois
3-5 · #67
27
Minnesota
5-3 · #79
26
Spread
MINN -2.5
✓ ILL W ATS
Total
44
▲ Over 53 · Q4
Projected
22–25
✗ MINN lost
Trend: MINN ATS ✗ Model: MINN by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Neutral
Iowa
6-2 · #54
10
Northwestern
4-4 · #65
7
Spread
IOWA -6
✓ NU W ATS
Total
31.5
▼ Under 17
Projected
20–14
✓ IOWA won
Model: IOWA by 1 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Houston
3-5 · #88
25
Baylor
3-5 · #93
24
Spread
BAY -2
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
58.5
▼ Under 49
Projected
26–28
✗ BAY lost
Trend: HOU ATS ✓ Model: HOU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UCF
3-5 · #31
28
Cincinnati
2-6 · #76
26
Spread
UCF -3.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
60
▼ Under 54
Projected
31–28
✓ UCF won
Trend: UCF ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: CIN by 2 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
James Madison
8-0 · #28
42
Georgia State
6-2 · #91
14
Spread
JMU -6
✓ JMU W ATS
Total
52
▲ Over 56 · Q4
Projected
29–24
✓ JMU won
Trend: JMU ATS ✓ Model: GAST by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Coastal Carolina
5-3 · #70
28
Old Dominion
4-4 · #97
24
Spread
ODU -1
✓ CCU W ATS
Total
51.5
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
27–26
✓ CCU won
Trend: CCU ATS ✓ Model: CCU by 7.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Auburn
4-4 · #40
31
Vanderbilt
2-7 · #111
15
Spread
AUB -12.5
✓ AUB W ATS
Total
49.5
▼ Under 46
Projected
31–18
✓ AUB won
Trend: AUB ATS ✓ Model: AUB by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Charlotte
2-6 · #124
33
Tulsa
3-5 · #118
26
Spread
TLSA -4
✓ CLT W ATS
Total
48
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
23–27
✗ TLSA lost
Trend: CLT ATS ✓ Model: CLT by 2 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
UL Monroe
2-6 · #129
7
Southern Miss
1-7 · #121
24
Spread
USM -3
✓ USM W ATS
Total
55.5
▼ Under 31
Projected
25–28
✓ USM won
Trend: ULM ATS ✗ Model: USM by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Hawai'i
2-7 · #123
27
Nevada
2-6 · #132
14
Spread
NEV -3
✓ HAW W ATS
Total
50
▼ Under 41
Projected
24–28
✗ NEV lost
Trend: NEV ATS ✗ Model: NEV by 5.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Georgia Southern
6-2 · #92
24
Texas State
5-3 · #73
45
Spread
TXST -2.5
✓ TXST W ATS
Total
68.5
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
32–34
✓ TXST won
Trend: GASO ATS ✗ Model: GASO by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
California
3-5 · #57
19
Oregon
7-1 · #2
63
Spread
ORE -26.5
✓ ORE W ATS
Total
61
▲ Over 82 · Q4
Projected
18–44
✓ ORE won
Trend: ORE ATS ✓ Model: CAL by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Louisiana Tech
3-6 · #116
30
Liberty
8-0 · #32
56
Spread
LIB -14
✓ LIB W ATS
Total
59
▲ Over 86 · Q3
Projected
22–37
✓ LIB won
Trend: LT ATS ✗ Model: LIB by 4 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Middle Tennessee
2-6 · #99
7
New Mexico State
6-3 · #84
13
Spread
NMSU -3
✓ NMSU W ATS
Total
55.5
▼ Under 20
Projected
24–28
✓ NMSU won
Trend: NMSU ATS ✓ Model: NMSU by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Marshall
4-4 · #96
9
App State
4-4 · #61
31
Spread
APP -3
✓ APP W ATS
Total
58.5
▼ Under 40
Projected
27–30
✓ APP won
Model: APP by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
UNLV
6-2 · #68
56
New Mexico
3-5 · #117
14
Spread
UNLV -14.5
✓ UNLV W ATS
Total
58
▲ Over 70 · Q4
Projected
36–24
✓ UNLV won
Trend: UNLV ATS ✓ Model: UNM by 9 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Kansas
6-2 · #24
28
Iowa State
5-3 · #35
21
Spread
ISU -2.5
✓ KU W ATS
Total
54
▼ Under 49
Projected
26–28
✗ ISU lost
Trend: ISU ATS ✗ Model: KU by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
BYU
5-3 · #86
7
West Virginia
5-3 · #39
37
Spread
WVU -12.5
✓ WVU W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 44
Projected
18–30
✓ WVU won
Trend: WVU ATS ✓ Model: BYU by 4.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Utah State
3-5 · #100
32
San Diego State
3-5 · #112
24
Spread
USU -2
✓ USU W ATS
Total
56
Push 56
Projected
29–26
✓ USU won
Trend: SDSU ATS ✗ Model: USU by 3 ✓ Model: Under 1 Cover settled: OT
Final · Conf
Purdue
2-6 · #66
13
Michigan
8-0 · #3
41
Spread
MICH -31
✓ PUR W ATS
Total
53.5
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
12–43
✓ MICH won
Trend: MICH ATS ✗ Model: PUR by 2 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Washington
8-0 · #13
52
USC
7-2 · #23
42
Spread
WASH -3
✓ WASH W ATS
Total
75.5
▲ Over 94 · Q3
Projected
37–35
✓ WASH won
Trend: WASH ATS ✓ Model: USC by 2 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Kentucky
5-3 · #44
24
Mississippi State
4-4 · #64
3
Spread
UK -5.5
✓ UK W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 27
Projected
26–22
✓ UK won
Trend: UK ATS ✓ Model: MSST by 7.5 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
SMU
6-2 · #22
36
Rice
4-4 · #90
31
Spread
SMU -12.5
✓ RICE W ATS
Total
58.5
▲ Over 67 · Q3
Projected
35–22
✓ SMU won
Trend: RICE ATS ✓ Model: SMU by 2 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
LSU
6-2 · #10
28
Alabama
7-1 · #7
42
Spread
ALA -3
✓ ALA W ATS
Total
61
▲ Over 70 · Q3
Projected
30–32
✓ ALA won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: LSU by 3 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Miami
6-2 · #25
6
NC State
5-3 · #38
20
Spread
MIA -6.5
✓ NCSU W ATS
Total
44
▼ Under 26
Projected
28–21
✗ MIA lost
Model: NCSU by 1 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Western Kentucky
4-4 · #83
21
UTEP
3-6 · #115
13
Spread
WKU -9.5
✓ UTEP W ATS
Total
54
▼ Under 34
Projected
33–24
✓ WKU won
Trend: UTEP ATS ✓ Model: UTEP by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Stanford
2-6 · #106
10
Washington State
4-4 · #46
7
Spread
WSU -14
✓ STAN W ATS
Total
58
▼ Under 17
Projected
22–36
✗ WSU lost
Trend: STAN ATS ✓ Model: WSU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Oregon State
6-2 · #20
26
Colorado
4-4 · #72
19
Spread
ORST -13
✓ COLO W ATS
Total
60
▼ Under 45
Projected
38–27
✓ ORST won
Trend: COLO ATS ✓ Model: COLO by 7.5 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Boise State
4-4 · #48
30
Fresno State
7-1 · #71
37
Spread
FRES -2.5
✓ FRES W ATS
Total
54
▲ Over 67 · Q4
Projected
26–30
✓ FRES won
Model: FRES by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UCLA
6-2 · #26
10
Arizona
5-3 · #18
27
Spread
UCLA -2.5
✓ ARIZ W ATS
Total
49
▼ Under 37
Projected
27–25
✗ UCLA lost
Trend: ARIZ ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: ARIZ by 2 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total