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NCAAF · 2023

NCAAF Bowls & playoff games

FinalCurrentUpcomingBowls & playoff: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
42 finalFavorites 19-21 ATS17 upsetsO/U 23-19Model Favorite 25-17Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games4242 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS19-2148% covered
Upsets17outright
Over / Under23-1955% over
Model Favorite25-1760% won
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Saturday, Dec 16

6
Final · Myrtle Beach Bowl
Georgia Southern
6-6 · #92
21
Ohio
9-3 · #63
41
Spread
GASO -2
✓ OHIO W ATS
Total
48.5
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
27–27
✗ GASO lost
Model: OHIO by 6.5 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Jacksonville State
8-4 · #69
34
Louisiana
6-6 · #87
31
Spread
JXST -3
Push
Total
59
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
29–26
✓ JXST won
Trend: JXST ATS Model: JXST by 0 Model: Under 3 ✗
Final · Avocados From Mexico Cure Bowl
Miami (OH)
11-2 · #78
9
App State
8-5 · #61
13
Spread
APP -6.5
✓ M-OH W ATS
Total
41
▼ Under 22
Projected
21–26
✓ APP won
Trend: M-OH ATS ✓ Model: M-OH by 3 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Isleta New Mexico Bowl
New Mexico State
10-4 · #84
10
Fresno State
8-4 · #71
37
Spread
NMSU -3
✓ FRES W ATS
Total
52
▼ Under 47
Projected
27–25
✗ NMSU lost
Trend: NMSU ATS ✗ Model: FRES by 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Starco Brands LA Bowl
UCLA
7-5 · #26
35
Boise State
8-5 · #48
22
Spread
UCLA -6.5
✓ UCLA W ATS
Total
46
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
28–22
✓ UCLA won
Model: BOIS by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl
California
6-6 · #57
14
Texas Tech
6-6 · #45
34
Spread
TTU -3.5
✓ TTU W ATS
Total
54.5
▼ Under 48
Projected
27–30
✓ TTU won
Model: CAL by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Monday, Dec 18

1
Final · Famous Toastery Bowl
Western Kentucky
7-5 · #83
38
Old Dominion
6-6 · #97
35
Spread
ODU -4.5
✓ WKU W ATS
Total
49.5
▲ Over 73 · Q4
Projected
25–28
✗ ODU lost
Model: WKU by 7.5 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Tuesday, Dec 19

1
Final · Scooter's Coffee Frisco Bowl
UTSA
8-4 · #56
35
Marshall
6-6 · #96
17
Spread
UTSA -7
✓ UTSA W ATS
Total
47
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
28–21
✓ UTSA won
Trend: UTSA ATS ✓ Model: UTSA by 0 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Thursday, Dec 21

1
Final · RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl
South Florida
6-6 · #95
45
Syracuse
6-6 · #82
0
Spread
SYR -3
✓ USF W ATS
Total
55.5
▼ Under 45
Projected
27–31
✗ SYR lost
Trend: SYR ATS ✗ Model: SYR by 5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Dec 22

1
Final · Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl
Georgia Tech
6-6 · #53
30
UCF
6-6 · #31
17
Spread
UCF -6
✓ GT W ATS
Total
66
▼ Under 47
Projected
28–34
✗ UCF lost
Model: GT by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2

Saturday, Dec 23

7
Final · 76 Birmingham Bowl
Troy
11-2 · #29
10
Duke
7-5 · #37
17
Spread
TROY -6.5
✓ DUKE W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 27
Projected
25–20
✗ TROY lost
Model: DUKE by 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Camellia Bowl
Arkansas State
6-6 · #107
19
Northern Illinois
6-6 · #94
21
Spread
ARST -2.5
✓ NIU W ATS
Total
53.5
▼ Under 40
Projected
27–26
✗ ARST lost
Trend: NIU ATS ✓ Model: NIU by 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
James Madison
11-1 · #28
21
Air Force
8-4 · #52
31
Spread
AFA -2.5
✓ AFA W ATS
Total
44
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
20–21
✓ AFA won
Model: JMU by 9.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Georgia State
6-6 · #91
45
Utah State
6-6 · #100
22
Spread
USU -2.5
✓ GAST W ATS
Total
58.5
▲ Over 67 · Q4
Projected
29–31
✗ USU lost
Model: GAST by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · 68 Ventures Bowl
Eastern Michigan
6-6 · #126
10
South Alabama
6-6 · #49
59
Spread
EMU -17.5
✓ USA W ATS
Total
42.5
▲ Over 69 · Q3
Projected
27–18
✗ EMU lost
Trend: EMU ATS ✗ Model: USA by 40 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl
Utah
8-4 · #33
7
Northwestern
7-5 · #65
14
Spread
UTAH -7
✓ NU W ATS
Total
44
▼ Under 21
Projected
24–16
✗ UTAH lost
Model: UTAH by 3 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · EasyPost Hawaiʻi Bowl
Coastal Carolina
7-5 · #70
24
San José State
7-5 · #60
14
Spread
SJSU -7.5
✓ CCU W ATS
Total
48
▼ Under 38
Projected
23–30
✗ SJSU lost
Trend: SJSU ATS ✗ Model: CCU by 4 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Tuesday, Dec 26

3
Final · Quick Lane Bowl
Bowling Green
7-5 · #80
24
Minnesota
5-7 · #79
30
Spread
MINN -2.5
✓ MINN W ATS
Total
44.5
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
22–24
✓ MINN won
Trend: BGSU ATS ✗ Model: BGSU by 2 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · SERVPRO First Responder Bowl
Texas State
7-5 · #73
45
Rice
6-6 · #90
21
Spread
TXST -3.5
✓ TXST W ATS
Total
59.5
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
32–29
✓ TXST won
Trend: RICE ATS ✗ Model: RICE by 3 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Guaranteed Rate Bowl
Kansas
8-4 · #24
49
UNLV
9-4 · #68
36
Spread
KU -7.5
✓ KU W ATS
Total
65
▲ Over 85 · Q4
Projected
36–28
✓ KU won
Trend: UNLV ATS ✗ Model: KU by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Wednesday, Dec 27

4
Final · Military Bowl
Virginia Tech
6-6 · #41
41
Tulane
11-2 · #55
20
Spread
VT -13
✓ VT W ATS
Total
43.5
▲ Over 61 · Q3
Projected
28–18
✓ VT won
Trend: VT ATS ✓ Model: TULN by 12 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Duke's Mayo Bowl
North Carolina
8-4 · #34
10
West Virginia
8-4 · #39
30
Spread
WVU -4.5
✓ WVU W ATS
Total
62
▼ Under 40
Projected
30–33
✓ WVU won
Model: UNC by 8.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · DirecTV Holiday Bowl
Louisville
10-3 · #21
28
USC
7-5 · #23
42
Spread
LOU -5
✓ USC W ATS
Total
58
▲ Over 70 · Q4
Projected
35–30
✗ LOU lost
Trend: LOU ATS ✗ Model: USC by 2 ✓ Model: Over 7 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · TaxAct Texas Bowl
Texas A&M
7-5 · #17
23
Oklahoma State
9-4 · #43
31
Spread
OKST -4
✓ OKST W ATS
Total
56
▼ Under 54
Projected
27–28
✓ OKST won
Model: TA&M by 15 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Thursday, Dec 28

4
Final · Wasabi Fenway Bowl
SMU
11-2 · #22
14
Boston College
6-6 · #75
23
Spread
SMU -13.5
✓ BC W ATS
Total
49.5
▼ Under 37
Projected
33–19
✗ SMU lost
Model: SMU by 3 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl
Rutgers
6-6 · #51
31
Miami
7-5 · #25
24
Spread
RUTG -2.5
✓ RUTG W ATS
Total
41.5
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
23–22
✓ RUTG won
Model: MIA by 11 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Pop-Tarts Bowl
NC State
9-3 · #38
19
Kansas State
8-4 · #11
28
Spread
KSU -3
✓ KSU W ATS
Total
49
▼ Under 47
Projected
23–28
✓ KSU won
Model: KSU by 7.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Valero Alamo Bowl
Arizona
9-3 · #18
38
Oklahoma
10-2 · #9
24
Spread
ARIZ -2.5
✓ ARIZ W ATS
Total
60
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
32–32
✓ ARIZ won
Trend: ARIZ ATS ✓ Model: OU by 11.5 ✗ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Friday, Dec 29

4
Final · TaxSlayer Gator Bowl
Clemson
8-4 · #19
38
Kentucky
7-5 · #44
35
Spread
CLEM -3.5
✓ UK W ATS
Total
44
▲ Over 73 · Q4
Projected
24–20
✓ CLEM won
Trend: CLEM ATS ✗ Model: CLEM by 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl
Oregon State
8-4 · #20
8
Notre Dame
9-3 · #6
40
Spread
ND -5.5
✓ ND W ATS
Total
40.5
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
24–30
✓ ND won
Trend: ND ATS ✓ Model: ND by 1 ✓ Model: Over 14 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Iowa State
7-5 · #35
26
Memphis
9-3 · #50
36
Spread
MEM -10
Push
Total
58
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
22–29
✓ MEM won
Model: ISU by 14.5 Model: Under 7 ✗
Final · Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic
Missouri
10-2 · #12
14
Ohio State
11-1 · #4
3
Spread
OSU -4
✓ MIZ W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 17
Projected
24–28
✗ OSU lost
Trend: MIZ ATS ✓ Model: OSU by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Dec 30

4
Final · Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl
Ole Miss
10-2 · #16
38
Penn State
10-2 · #5
25
Spread
PSU -5.5
✓ MISS W ATS
Total
53
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
24–30
✗ PSU lost
Trend: PSU ATS ✗ Model: PSU by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · TransPerfect Music City Bowl
Auburn
6-6 · #40
13
Maryland
7-5 · #27
31
Spread
AUB -4.5
✓ MD W ATS
Total
48
▼ Under 44
Projected
26–23
✗ AUB lost
Model: MD by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Capital One Orange Bowl
Georgia
12-1 · #1
63
Florida State
13-0 · #14
3
Spread
UGA -23.5
✓ UGA W ATS
Total
47
▲ Over 66 · Q3
Projected
37–17
✓ UGA won
Model: FSU by 19.5 ✗ Model: Over 6.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl
Toledo
11-2 · #58
15
Wyoming
8-4 · #74
16
Spread
WYO -5.5
✓ TOL W ATS
Total
44
▼ Under 31
Projected
22–25
✓ WYO won
Model: TOL by 11 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Jan 1

5
Final · ReliaQuest Bowl
Wisconsin
7-5 · #42
31
LSU
9-3 · #10
35
Spread
LSU -9.5
✓ WIS W ATS
Total
60
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
27–38
✓ LSU won
Model: LSU by 6.5 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Vrbo Fiesta Bowl
Liberty
13-0 · #32
6
Oregon
11-2 · #2
45
Spread
ORE -18.5
✓ ORE W ATS
Total
71
▼ Under 51
Projected
25–43
✓ ORE won
Trend: ORE ATS ✓ Model: LIB by 2 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Cheez-It Citrus Bowl
Iowa
10-3 · #54
0
Tennessee
8-4 · #15
35
Spread
TENN -5
✓ TENN W ATS
Total
37
▼ Under 35
Projected
17–23
✓ TENN won
Model: TENN by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · CFP Semifinal at the Rose Bowl Game Pres. by Prudential
Alabama
12-1 · #7
20
Michigan
13-0 · #3
27
Spread
MICH -2
✓ MICH W ATS
Total
46
▲ Over 47 · OT
Projected
23–26
✓ MICH won
Model: MICH by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: OT
Final · CFP Semifinal at the Allstate Sugar Bowl
Texas
12-1 · #8
31
Washington
13-0 · #13
37
Spread
TEX -3.5
✓ WASH W ATS
Total
61.5
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
32–28
✗ TEX lost
Model: TEX by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Jan 8

1
Final · CFP National Championship Pres. by AT&T
Washington
14-0 · #13
13
Michigan
14-0 · #3
34
Spread
MICH -5.5
✓ MICH W ATS
Total
56
▼ Under 47
Projected
26–32
✓ MICH won
Trend: WASH ATS ✗ Model: MICH by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total