Coastal Carolina vs San José State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (EasyPost Hawaiʻi Bowl, 2023)

Sat, Dec 23, 2023, 10:30 PM ESTEasyPost Hawaiʻi Bowl · Neutral site

Weather at kickoff72°F11 mphgusts 25DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Coastal Carolina

7-5 · Power #70

▲ winner

Final

San José State

7-5 · Power #60

final

Closing spread

SJSU -7.5

✓ CCU W

Total

▼ Under · 38 pts

Model before kickoff

CCU 23–30 SJSU

✗ SJSU (68%) lost

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseSJSU -7.5

Total48

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseSJSU -7.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close48

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseSJSU -7.5

Total48

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SJSU as a 7.5-point neutral-site favorite against CCU, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: CCU won 24–14 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 38 points stayed under 48, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 69%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 11.4 against an average line of 7; 49 points a game (usually 54). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	SDSU vs MTSU 2022 · Postseason · very close · similar rest & spread	-7	23–25	L	O47
Very close	GASO vs LT 2020 · Postseason · very close · similar spread & total	-7.25	38–3	W	U48
Close	ORST vs FLA 2022 · Postseason · close · similar spread & rest	-7.5	30–3	W	U51.75
Close	GAST vs BALL 2021 · Postseason · close · similar situation & spread	-6	51–20	W	O53
Close	TOL vs MTSU 2021 · Postseason · close · similar rest & situation	-10.5	24–31	L	O50
Close	TOL vs LIB 2022 · Postseason · close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	21–19	L	U51
Close	MEM vs FAU 2020 · Postseason · close · similar situation & spread	-9	25–10	W	U52.75
Close	USM vs RICE 2022 · Postseason · close · similar rest & spread	-6.5	38–24	W	O45.5
Close	BYU vs UAB 2021 · Postseason · close · similar rest & situation	-6	28–31	L	O54.25
Close	ARMY vs MIZ 2021 · Postseason · close · similar spread & situation	-7	24–22	L	U54

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
CCU WWWLL	8-4	67%	—	5-2
SJSU WWWLW	8-3-1	73%	—	5-1

Venue/role: CCU neutral, as underdog; SJSU neutral, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CCU UOUOO	4-7	36%	7-5
SJSU UUOUO	6-4	60%	7-5

Stayed under: it needed 35 in the 4th quarter and got 24. 56% of games with totals 44–52 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CCU	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%
SJSU	7-3 70%	7-2-1 78%	5-4 56%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CCU−2.7 →−2.0▲ 0.7#72

SJSU−9.4 →+1.1▲ 10.5#58

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW15

CCU

Longer bar = better

SJSU

#57

Offense

SJSU better ▶

#27

#72

Defense

Even

#76

+0.3 #37

Turnovers

SJSU better ▶

+1.1 #4

67 plays #65

Pace

◀ CCU faster

63 plays #113

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CCU has the ball

Even matchup

	CCU off	SJSU def	Edge
Points / game	28.0 #62	25.8 #64	Even
Yards / play	6.33 #33	5.51 #62	CCU
PPA / play	+0.15 #53	+0.16 #94	CCU
Success rate	41% #80	43% #82	Even

When SJSU has the ball

Advantage: SJSU offense

	SJSU off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	33.3 #29	24.7 #59	SJSU
Yards / play	6.50 #24	5.71 #76	SJSU
PPA / play	+0.23 #24	+0.08 #56	SJSU
Success rate	46% #29	44% #96	SJSU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

CCU scoring against the SJSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	6.6 #50	8.4 #58	15.0 #61	6.9 #57	6.1 #84	13.0 #64
SJSU allowed	3.1 #13	8.9 #94	12.0 #46	5.3 #55	8.5 #108	13.8 #91

SJSU scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SJSU scored	8.0 #25	10.3 #31	18.3 #19	8.7 #16	6.4 #79	15.1 #36
CCU allowed	4.3 #33	7.9 #75	12.2 #52	6.3 #82	6.2 #61	12.5 #66

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.