Georgia Southern vs Ohio: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Myrtle Beach Bowl, 2023)

Sat, Dec 16, 2023, 11:00 AM ESTMyrtle Beach Bowl · Neutral site

Weather at kickoff57°F8 mphgusts 17DryWeather watch ›

Georgia Southern

6-6 · Power #92

final

Final

Ohio

9-3 · Power #63

▲ winner

Closing spread

GASO -2

✓ OHIO W

Total

48.5

▲ Over · 62 pts

Model before kickoff

GASO 27–27 OHIO

✗ GASO (52%) lost

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseGASO -2

Total48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseGASO -2

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close48.5

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseGASO -2

Total48.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like GASO as a 2-point neutral-site favorite against OHIO, the favorite won 8, covered 6, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: OHIO won 41–21 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 62 points went over 48.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

6 of 967%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 47%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 9.3 against an average line of 2.9; 49.7 points a game (usually 54.1). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TOL vs LIB 2022 · Postseason · very close · similar situation & rest	-3.5	21–19	L	U51
Close	GAST vs WKU 2020 · Postseason · close · similar rest & situation	-3.25	39–21	W	O50.5
Close	MSST vs TLSA 2020 · Postseason · close · similar spread & situation	-1	28–26	W	O45.5
Close	SDSU vs UTSA 2021 · Postseason · close · similar total & situation	-3	38–24	W	O48
Close	FRES vs WSU 2022 · Postseason · close · similar rest & situation	-5.5	29–6	W	U54
Close	OHIO vs WYO 2022 · Postseason · close · similar spread & situation	-3	30–27	P	O43
Close	UTSA vs TROY 2022 · Postseason · close · similar situation & rest	-3	12–18	L	U56.5
Loose	HOU vs AUB 2021 · Postseason · loose · similar total & spread	-1.25	17–13	W	U49.25
Loose	MD vs VT 2021 · Postseason · loose · similar situation & season form	-4.5	54–10	W	O55.5
Loose	TULN vs NEV 2020 · Postseason · loose · similar spread	-1.25	27–38	L	O56.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
GASO WLLLL	4-7-1	36%	—	3-3-1
OHIO LLWWL	5-7	42%	—	2-1

Venue/role: GASO neutral, as favorite; OHIO neutral, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
GASO OOOUO	6-6	50%	6-6
OHIO UOUOU	2-8	20%	9-3

Went over in Q4. Of 167 earlier overs in games with totals 44.5–52.5, 32% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
GASO	4-6 40%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%
OHIO	8-2 80%	5-5 50%	2-7 22%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

GASO+2.5 →−5.0▼ 7.5#90

OHIO+0.9 →−1.0▼ 1.9#65

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW15

GASO

Longer bar = better

OHIO

#59

Offense

◀ GASO better

#76

#105

Defense

OHIO better ▶

−0.4 #113

Turnovers

OHIO better ▶

+0.3 #33

74 plays #6

Pace

◀ GASO faster

67 plays #61

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When GASO has the ball

Advantage: OHIO defense

	GASO off	OHIO def	Edge
Points / game	30.9 #46	15.4 #5	OHIO
Yards / play	5.69 #72	4.72 #12	OHIO
PPA / play	+0.11 #76	−0.09 #2	OHIO
Success rate	45% #42	34% #7	OHIO

When OHIO has the ball

Advantage: OHIO offense

	OHIO off	GASO def	Edge
Points / game	22.9 #101	29.6 #99	Even
Yards / play	5.18 #105	6.09 #108	Even
PPA / play	+0.13 #65	+0.17 #100	OHIO
Success rate	46% #34	45% #111	OHIO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

GASO scoring against the OHIO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GASO scored	7.2 #38	11.3 #18	18.4 #19	5.9 #74	6.6 #73	12.5 #76
OHIO allowed	0.8 #1	5.3 #24	6.2 #4	3.3 #11	5.9 #52	9.3 #23

OHIO scoring against the GASO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OHIO scored	4.6 #97	6.3 #97	10.8 #100	7.6 #41	4.5 #119	12.1 #80
GASO allowed	4.6 #43	9.5 #102	14.1 #83	9.6 #131	5.9 #52	15.5 #112

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.