James Madison @ Coastal Carolina: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2023)

Sat, Nov 25, 2023, 3:30 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Coastal Carolina · Conference game

Weather at kickoff54°F9 mphgusts 18DryWeather watch ›

James Madison

10-1 · Power #28

▲ winner

Final

Coastal Carolina

7-4 · Power #70

final

Closing spread

JMU -4

✓ JMU W

Total

51.5

▲ Over · 70 pts

Model before kickoff

JMU 27–23 CCU

✓ JMU (62%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseJMU -4

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseJMU -4

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close51.5

Line context

Road favorites of 3–5 since 2023: won 55%, covered 37% (51 games)ⓘ

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseJMU -4

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like JMU as a 4-point road favorite at CCU, the favorite won 6, covered 6, and 2 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: JMU won 56–14; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 70 points went over 51.5, as in 2 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 60%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

2 of 1020%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.7 against an average line of 4.1; 40.7 points a game (usually 54.1). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	JMU @ GAST 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & season form	-6	42–14	W	O53
Very close	APP @ UL 2021 · Week 14 · very close · similar total & rest	-2.5	16–24	L	U52
Very close	JMU @ MRSH 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar team ratings & spread	-5	20–9	W	U49.25
Very close	NCST @ FSU 2021 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & rest	-3	28–14	W	U55
Very close	PSU @ MSU 2021 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & rest	-4.5	27–30	L	O51.5
Very close	MSU @ RUTG 2021 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & rest	-4	31–13	W	U50
Very close	OKST @ WVU 2021 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	24–3	W	U49
Very close	UCLA @ ARIZ 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & situation	-2.5	10–27	L	U49.5
Very close	TOL @ CMU 2021 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & total	-5	23–26	L	U53
Very close	UK @ SC 2021 · Week 4 · very close · similar rest & spread	-4.5	16–10	W	U49

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
JMU WLWWL	7-4	64%	4-1	6-4
CCU WWWWL	8-3	73%	4-1	5-1

Venue/role: JMU away, as favorite; CCU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
JMU UOOOU	6-5	55%	10-1
CCU UUOUO	3-7	30%	7-4

Went over in Q4. Of 183 earlier overs in games with totals 47.5–55.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
JMU	9-1 90%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%
CCU	7-3 70%	7-3 70%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

JMU+5.1 →+6.4▲ 1.3#32

CCU−2.7 →−0.3▲ 2.4#64

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

JMU

Longer bar = better

CCU

#39

Offense

◀ JMU better

#54

#12

Defense

◀ JMU better

#61

+0.5 #29

Turnovers

Even

+0.5 #25

68 plays #49

Pace

Even

68 plays #53

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When JMU has the ball

Advantage: JMU offense

	JMU off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	33.3 #28	21.8 #42	Even
Yards / play	6.22 #37	5.60 #72	JMU
PPA / play	+0.16 #54	+0.06 #43	Even
Success rate	45% #36	43% #86	JMU

When CCU has the ball

Advantage: JMU defense

	CCU off	JMU def	Edge
Points / game	29.3 #55	18.9 #20	JMU
Yards / play	6.35 #33	4.80 #15	Even
PPA / play	+0.16 #52	−0.04 #10	JMU
Success rate	42% #74	32% #2	JMU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

JMU scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
JMU scored	7.7 #33	8.5 #56	16.2 #43	8.6 #17	8.2 #32	16.8 #20
CCU allowed	4.0 #31	6.7 #47	10.7 #35	5.6 #63	5.5 #43	11.1 #47

CCU scoring against the JMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	7.2 #42	9.2 #46	16.4 #40	6.9 #56	6.0 #87	12.9 #67
JMU allowed	1.8 #4	5.8 #33	7.6 #8	5.8 #70	4.9 #31	10.7 #40

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.