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NCAAF · 2023

NCAAF Week 4 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 4: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
63 finalFavorites 32-27 ATS12 upsetsO/U 31-31Model Favorite 51-12Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games6363 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS32-2754% covered
Upsets12outright
Over / Under31-3150% over
Model Favorite51-1281% won
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Thursday, Sep 21

1
Final · Conf
Georgia State
3-0 · #91
30
Coastal Carolina
2-1 · #70
17
Spread
CCU -4.5
✓ GAST W ATS
Total
62.5
▼ Under 47
Projected
26–31
✗ CCU lost
Model: CCU by 2 ✗ Model: Under 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Sep 22

4
Final · Conf
Wisconsin
2-1 · #42
38
Purdue
1-2 · #66
17
Spread
WIS -6
✓ WIS W ATS
Total
53.5
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
31–25
✓ WIS won
Model: WIS by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
NC State
2-1 · #38
24
Virginia
0-3 · #85
21
Spread
NCSU -8.5
✓ UVA W ATS
Total
47
▼ Under 45
Projected
30–20
✓ NCSU won
Model: NCSU by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Boise State
1-2 · #48
34
San Diego State
2-2 · #112
31
Spread
BOIS -5
✓ SDSU W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
27–23
✓ BOIS won
Model: SDSU by 3 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Air Force
3-0 · #52
45
San José State
1-3 · #60
20
Spread
AFA -6.5
✓ AFA W ATS
Total
45
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
27–20
✓ AFA won
Trend: SJSU ATS ✗ Model: AFA by 4 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Saturday, Sep 23

58
Final · Conf
Rutgers
3-0 · #51
7
Michigan
3-0 · #3
31
Spread
MICH -24
Push
Total
44.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
10–32
✓ MICH won
Trend: RUTG ATS Model: RUTG by 8 Model: Under 2.5 ✓
Final · Conf
Florida State
3-0 · #14
31
Clemson
2-1 · #19
24
Spread
FSU -2
✓ FSU W ATS
Total
56
▼ Under 55
Projected
29–27
✓ FSU won
Model: CLEM by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: OT
Final · Conf
Oklahoma
3-0 · #9
20
Cincinnati
2-1 · #76
6
Spread
OU -13.5
✓ OU W ATS
Total
57
▼ Under 26
Projected
37–22
✓ OU won
Trend: OU ATS ✓ Model: OU by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Army
2-1 · #104
16
Syracuse
3-0 · #82
29
Spread
SYR -13
Push
Total
50
▼ Under 45
Projected
18–31
✓ SYR won
Trend: SYR ATS Model: ARMY by 2.5 Model: Under 1 ✓
Final · Conf
Auburn
3-0 · #40
10
Texas A&M
2-1 · #17
27
Spread
TA&M -10
✓ TA&M W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 37
Projected
22–32
✓ TA&M won
Model: AUB by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Western Kentucky
2-1 · #83
24
Troy
1-2 · #29
27
Spread
TROY -4
✓ WKU W ATS
Total
58
▼ Under 51
Projected
27–31
✓ TROY won
Model: WKU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Kentucky
3-0 · #44
45
Vanderbilt
2-2 · #111
28
Spread
UK -13
✓ UK W ATS
Total
50
▲ Over 73 · Q4
Projected
33–20
✓ UK won
Trend: UK ATS ✓ Model: VAN by 3 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Virginia Tech
1-2 · #41
17
Marshall
2-0 · #96
24
Spread
MRSH -6.5
✓ MRSH W ATS
Total
43
▼ Under 41
Projected
19–24
✓ MRSH won
Model: VT by 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
SMU
2-1 · #22
17
TCU
2-1 · #30
34
Spread
TCU -7
✓ TCU W ATS
Total
62
▼ Under 51
Projected
26–32
✓ TCU won
Model: SMU by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Tulsa
1-2 · #118
22
Northern Illinois
1-2 · #94
14
Spread
NIU -3.5
✓ TLSA W ATS
Total
54.5
▼ Under 36
Projected
25–27
✗ NIU lost
Model: TLSA by 3 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Western Michigan
1-2 · #120
31
Toledo
2-1 · #58
49
Spread
TOL -21.5
✓ WMU W ATS
Total
51.5
▲ Over 80 · Q3
Projected
16–36
✓ TOL won
Model: WMU by 4 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Georgia Southern
2-1 · #92
40
Ball State
1-2 · #113
3
Spread
GASO -5.5
✓ GASO W ATS
Total
60
▼ Under 43
Projected
30–24
✓ GASO won
Model: GASO by 3 ✓ Model: Under 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Colorado
3-0 · #72
6
Oregon
3-0 · #2
42
Spread
ORE -21.5
✓ ORE W ATS
Total
70.5
▼ Under 48
Projected
25–45
✓ ORE won
Trend: ORE ATS ✓ Model: COLO by 8 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
UCLA
3-0 · #26
7
Utah
3-0 · #33
14
Spread
UTAH -3.5
✓ UTAH W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 21
Projected
22–25
✓ UTAH won
Trend: UTAH ATS ✓ Model: UCLA by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Ole Miss
3-0 · #16
10
Alabama
2-1 · #7
24
Spread
ALA -7
✓ ALA W ATS
Total
56
▼ Under 34
Projected
26–32
✓ ALA won
Model: MISS by 4 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Duke
3-0 · #37
41
UConn
0-3 · #125
7
Spread
DUKE -22
✓ DUKE W ATS
Total
46
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
34–13
✓ DUKE won
Model: CONN by 3 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Miami
3-0 · #25
41
Temple
2-1 · #128
7
Spread
MIA -23
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
36–14
✓ MIA won
Model: TEM by 5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Florida Atlantic
1-2 · #105
17
Illinois
1-2 · #67
23
Spread
ILL -16
✓ FAU W ATS
Total
45.5
▼ Under 40
Projected
19–33
✓ ILL won
Model: FAU by 7.5 ✓ Model: Over 7 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Maryland
3-0 · #27
31
Michigan State
2-1 · #98
9
Spread
MD -7
✓ MD W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 40
Projected
28–21
✓ MD won
Model: MD by 0 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Louisiana Tech
2-2 · #116
14
Nebraska
1-2 · #62
28
Spread
NEB -20.5
✓ LT W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 42
Projected
15–33
✓ NEB won
Trend: NEB ATS ✗ Model: LT by 12 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Boston College
1-2 · #75
28
Louisville
3-0 · #21
56
Spread
LOU -14
✓ LOU W ATS
Total
53.5
▲ Over 84 · Q2
Projected
19–34
✓ LOU won
Model: LOU by 2 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
BYU
3-0 · #86
27
Kansas
3-0 · #24
38
Spread
KU -9.5
✓ KU W ATS
Total
55.5
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
21–29
✓ KU won
Model: BYU by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Texas Tech
1-2 · #45
13
West Virginia
2-1 · #39
20
Spread
TTU -6
✓ WVU W ATS
Total
53
▼ Under 33
Projected
31–26
✗ TTU lost
Model: WVU by 7 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New Mexico
1-2 · #117
34
Massachusetts
1-3 · #127
31
Spread
MASS -3
✓ UNM W ATS
Total
49
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
25–27
✗ MASS lost
Model: UNM by 4 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Ohio
3-1 · #63
38
Bowling Green
1-2 · #80
7
Spread
OHIO -13
✓ OHIO W ATS
Total
45.5
▼ Under 45
Projected
26–16
✓ OHIO won
Model: BGSU by 12.5 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UTSA
1-2 · #56
14
Tennessee
2-1 · #15
45
Spread
TENN -20.5
✓ TENN W ATS
Total
59
Push 59
Projected
18–37
✓ TENN won
Model: UTSA by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 4 Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Oklahoma State
2-1 · #43
27
Iowa State
1-2 · #35
34
Spread
ISU -3.5
✓ ISU W ATS
Total
36
▲ Over 61 · Q2
Projected
16–20
✓ ISU won
Model: ISU by 0 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Rice
2-1 · #90
29
South Florida
1-2 · #95
42
Spread
RICE -2.5
✓ USF W ATS
Total
57
▲ Over 71 · Q4
Projected
29–27
✗ RICE lost
Model: USF by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Eastern Michigan
2-1 · #126
0
Jacksonville State
2-1 · #69
21
Spread
JXST -6.5
✓ JXST W ATS
Total
51
▼ Under 21
Projected
21–28
✓ JXST won
Model: JXST by 2 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Central Michigan
1-2 · #122
34
South Alabama
2-1 · #49
30
Spread
USA -16.5
✓ CMU W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 64 · Q4
Projected
18–34
✗ USA lost
Model: CMU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Liberty
3-0 · #32
38
Florida International
3-1 · #131
6
Spread
LIB -10
✓ LIB W ATS
Total
54.5
▼ Under 44
Projected
30–20
✓ LIB won
Trend: FIU ATS ✗ Model: FIU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Georgia Tech
1-2 · #53
30
Wake Forest
3-0 · #81
16
Spread
WAKE -3.5
✓ GT W ATS
Total
58.5
▼ Under 46
Projected
28–31
✗ WAKE lost
Model: WAKE by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Arkansas
2-1 · #59
31
LSU
2-1 · #10
34
Spread
LSU -17.5
✓ ARK W ATS
Total
55
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
22–38
✓ LSU won
Model: ARK by 9 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Oregon State
3-0 · #20
35
Washington State
3-0 · #46
38
Spread
ORST -3
✓ WSU W ATS
Total
57.5
▲ Over 73 · Q4
Projected
29–28
✗ ORST lost
Model: WSU by 7.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Charlotte
1-2 · #124
7
Florida
2-1 · #36
22
Spread
FLA -28
✓ CLT W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 29
Projected
10–38
✓ FLA won
Model: CLT by 3 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Sam Houston
0-2 · #114
7
Houston
1-2 · #88
38
Spread
HOU -11.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
37
▲ Over 45 · Q3
Projected
16–26
✓ HOU won
Model: SHSU by 10.5 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Colorado State
0-2 · #109
31
Middle Tennessee
1-2 · #99
23
Spread
MTSU -3.5
✓ CSU W ATS
Total
50
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
25–29
✗ MTSU lost
Model: CSU by 1 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Arizona
2-1 · #18
21
Stanford
1-2 · #106
20
Spread
ARIZ -13
✓ STAN W ATS
Total
60
▼ Under 41
Projected
36–23
✓ ARIZ won
Model: STAN by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
App State
2-1 · #61
19
Wyoming
2-1 · #74
22
Spread
WYO -3
Push
Total
45
▼ Under 41
Projected
23–26
✓ WYO won
Trend: WYO ATS Model: WYO by 0 Model: Over 3.5 ✗
Final · Conf
Southern Miss
1-2 · #121
37
Arkansas State
1-2 · #107
44
Spread
USM -7
✓ ARST W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 81 · Q3
Projected
28–22
✗ USM lost
Model: ARST by 8.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Nevada
0-3 · #132
24
Texas State
2-1 · #73
35
Spread
TXST -17
✓ NEV W ATS
Total
60
▼ Under 59
Projected
20–38
✓ TXST won
Model: TXST by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UAB
1-2 · #102
21
Georgia
3-0 · #1
49
Spread
UGA -40
✓ UAB W ATS
Total
56
▲ Over 70 · Q4
Projected
9–47
✓ UGA won
Model: UAB by 13.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Texas
3-0 · #8
38
Baylor
1-2 · #93
6
Spread
TEX -17.5
✓ TEX W ATS
Total
49.5
▼ Under 44
Projected
35–18
✓ TEX won
Model: BAY by 2 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Ohio State
3-0 · #4
17
Notre Dame
4-0 · #6
14
Spread
OSU -3
Push
Total
55.5
▼ Under 31
Projected
29–26
✓ OSU won
Trend: ND ATS Model: ND by 3.5 Model: Under 0.5 ✓
Final · Conf
Iowa
3-0 · #54
0
Penn State
3-0 · #5
31
Spread
PSU -14
✓ PSU W ATS
Total
38.5
▼ Under 31
Projected
14–27
✓ PSU won
Trend: PSU ATS ✓ Model: IOWA by 3 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Akron
1-2 · #130
27
Indiana
1-2 · #89
29
Spread
IU -16.5
✓ AKR W ATS
Total
45.5
▲ Over 56 · OT
Projected
14–29
✓ IU won
Model: AKR by 9.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Neutral
Memphis
3-0 · #50
27
Missouri
3-0 · #12
34
Spread
MIZ -6.5
✓ MIZ W ATS
Total
52
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
23–26
✓ MIZ won
Model: MEM by 15 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Minnesota
2-1 · #79
34
Northwestern
1-2 · #65
37
Spread
MINN -12
✓ NU W ATS
Total
39.5
▲ Over 71 · Q3
Projected
25–15
✗ MINN lost
Model: NU by 10.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Mississippi State
2-1 · #64
30
South Carolina
1-2 · #47
37
Spread
SC -6
✓ SC W ATS
Total
47
▲ Over 67 · Q3
Projected
23–29
✓ SC won
Model: MSST by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Buffalo
0-3 · #119
38
Louisiana
2-1 · #87
45
Spread
UL -10.5
✓ BUFF W ATS
Total
57.5
▲ Over 83 · Q4
Projected
22–34
✓ UL won
Model: UL by 4.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
North Carolina
3-0 · #34
41
Pittsburgh
1-2 · #77
24
Spread
UNC -7
✓ UNC W ATS
Total
49.5
▲ Over 65 · Q3
Projected
27–21
✓ UNC won
Model: PITT by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
UCF
3-0 · #31
31
Kansas State
2-1 · #11
44
Spread
KSU -6
✓ KSU W ATS
Total
53.5
▲ Over 75 · Q3
Projected
25–31
✓ KSU won
Model: KSU by 1 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
James Madison
3-0 · #28
45
Utah State
1-2 · #100
38
Spread
JMU -5.5
✓ JMU W ATS
Total
53.5
▲ Over 83 · Q2
Projected
29–24
✓ JMU won
Trend: USU ATS ✗ Model: USU by 6 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UNLV
2-1 · #68
45
UTEP
1-3 · #115
28
Spread
UTEP -1
✓ UNLV W ATS
Total
49.5
▲ Over 73 · Q4
Projected
25–26
✗ UTEP lost
Trend: UNLV ATS ✓ Model: UTEP by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
California
2-1 · #57
32
Washington
3-0 · #13
59
Spread
WASH -20.5
✓ WASH W ATS
Total
55.5
▲ Over 91 · Q2
Projected
19–38
✓ WASH won
Model: CAL by 5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Kent State
1-2 · #133
10
Fresno State
3-0 · #71
53
Spread
FRES -27
✓ FRES W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 63 · Q3
Projected
12–39
✓ FRES won
Model: KENT by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
USC
3-0 · #23
42
Arizona State
1-2 · #101
28
Spread
USC -34.5
✓ ASU W ATS
Total
62.5
▲ Over 70 · Q4
Projected
45–13
✓ USC won
Trend: USC ATS ✗ Model: ASU by 12.5 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New Mexico State
2-2 · #84
17
Hawai'i
1-3 · #123
20
Spread
HAW -3.5
✓ NMSU W ATS
Total
55
▼ Under 37
Projected
25–28
✓ HAW won
Model: NMSU by 5.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total