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NCAAF · 2023

NCAAF Week 11 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 11: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
64 finalFavorites 31-32 ATS19 upsetsO/U 31-32Model Favorite 45-19Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games6464 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS31-3249% covered
Upsets19outright
Over / Under31-3249% over
Model Favorite45-1970% won
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Tuesday, Nov 7

3
Final · Conf
Ball State
2-7 · #113
20
Northern Illinois
4-5 · #94
17
Spread
NIU -9
✓ BALL W ATS
Total
44
▼ Under 37
Projected
18–28
✗ NIU lost
Trend: BALL ATS ✓ Model: NIU by 4 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Central Michigan
5-4 · #122
28
Western Michigan
3-6 · #120
38
Spread
WMU -3
✓ WMU W ATS
Total
59
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
27–30
✓ WMU won
Model: WMU by 1 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Ohio
6-3 · #63
20
Buffalo
3-6 · #119
10
Spread
OHIO -9
✓ OHIO W ATS
Total
45
▼ Under 30
Projected
26–18
✓ OHIO won
Model: BUFF by 2 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Wednesday, Nov 8

3
Final · Conf
Akron
2-7 · #130
0
Miami (OH)
7-2 · #78
19
Spread
M-OH -17
✓ M-OH W ATS
Total
37.5
▼ Under 19
Projected
11–29
✓ M-OH won
Trend: M-OH ATS ✓ Model: M-OH by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Bowling Green
5-4 · #80
49
Kent State
1-8 · #133
19
Spread
BGSU -11.5
✓ BGSU W ATS
Total
41.5
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
27–15
✓ BGSU won
Trend: BGSU ATS ✓ Model: BGSU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Eastern Michigan
4-5 · #126
23
Toledo
8-1 · #58
49
Spread
TOL -20
✓ TOL W ATS
Total
45
▲ Over 72 · Q3
Projected
13–33
✓ TOL won
Trend: EMU ATS ✗ Model: TOL by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Thursday, Nov 9

2
Final · Conf
Virginia
2-7 · #85
24
Louisville
8-1 · #21
31
Spread
LOU -20.5
✓ UVA W ATS
Total
50
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
16–36
✓ LOU won
Model: LOU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Southern Miss
2-7 · #121
34
Louisiana
5-4 · #87
31
Spread
UL -7.5
✓ USM W ATS
Total
52.5
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
23–32
✗ UL lost
Model: UL by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Nov 10

2
Final · Conf
North Texas
3-6 · #103
21
SMU
7-2 · #22
45
Spread
SMU -20
✓ SMU W ATS
Total
66.5
▼ Under 66
Projected
23–44
✓ SMU won
Trend: UNT ATS ✗ Model: SMU by 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Wyoming
6-3 · #74
14
UNLV
7-2 · #68
34
Spread
UNLV -3
✓ UNLV W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 48
Projected
24–28
✓ UNLV won
Trend: UNLV ATS ✓ Model: UNLV by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Nov 11

54
Final · Conf
Michigan
9-0 · #3
24
Penn State
8-1 · #5
15
Spread
MICH -4.5
✓ MICH W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 39
Projected
27–23
✓ MICH won
Trend: PSU ATS ✗ Model: PSU by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Alabama
8-1 · #7
49
Kentucky
6-3 · #44
21
Spread
ALA -11.5
✓ ALA W ATS
Total
47
▲ Over 70 · Q3
Projected
29–18
✓ ALA won
Model: UK by 0 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Texas Tech
4-5 · #45
16
Kansas
7-2 · #24
13
Spread
KU -4
✓ TTU W ATS
Total
62.5
▼ Under 29
Projected
29–33
✗ KU lost
Trend: KU ATS ✗ Model: KU by 0 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Tulsa
3-6 · #118
22
Tulane
8-1 · #55
24
Spread
TULN -24.5
✓ TLSA W ATS
Total
53
▼ Under 46
Projected
14–37
✓ TULN won
Trend: TLSA ATS ✓ Model: TLSA by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Indiana
3-6 · #89
45
Illinois
4-5 · #67
48
Spread
ILL -4.5
✓ IU W ATS
Total
44
▲ Over 93 · Q2
Projected
21–26
✓ ILL won
Trend: IU ATS ✓ Model: ILL by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Maryland
5-4 · #27
13
Nebraska
5-4 · #62
10
Spread
MD -2
✓ MD W ATS
Total
42.5
▼ Under 23
Projected
22–20
✓ MD won
Model: NEB by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Vanderbilt
2-8 · #111
6
South Carolina
3-6 · #47
47
Spread
SC -13.5
✓ SC W ATS
Total
54
▼ Under 53
Projected
20–34
✓ SC won
Trend: SC ATS ✓ Model: SC by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Virginia Tech
4-5 · #41
48
Boston College
6-3 · #75
22
Spread
VT -2.5
✓ VT W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 70 · Q3
Projected
24–23
✓ VT won
Model: BC by 4.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Georgia Tech
5-4 · #53
21
Clemson
5-4 · #19
42
Spread
CLEM -14.5
✓ CLEM W ATS
Total
54.5
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
21–35
✓ CLEM won
Trend: GT ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: GT by 3 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Temple
3-6 · #128
23
South Florida
4-5 · #95
27
Spread
USF -7
✓ TEM W ATS
Total
70
▼ Under 50
Projected
28–35
✓ USF won
Trend: USF ATS ✗ Model: USF by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 7 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Old Dominion
4-5 · #97
10
Liberty
9-0 · #32
38
Spread
LIB -14
✓ LIB W ATS
Total
60.5
▼ Under 48
Projected
22–37
✓ LIB won
Trend: ODU ATS ✗ Model: LIB by 3 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Arizona
6-3 · #18
34
Colorado
4-5 · #72
31
Spread
ARIZ -8
✓ COLO W ATS
Total
55.5
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
35–28
✓ ARIZ won
Trend: ARIZ ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: COLO by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 8 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UConn
1-8 · #125
6
James Madison
9-0 · #28
44
Spread
JMU -25.5
✓ JMU W ATS
Total
48
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
11–37
✓ JMU won
Model: JMU by 0 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
NC State
6-3 · #38
26
Wake Forest
4-5 · #81
6
Spread
NCSU -1.5
✓ NCSU W ATS
Total
43
▼ Under 32
Projected
24–22
✓ NCSU won
Trend: WAKE ATS ✗ Model: NCSU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Memphis
7-2 · #50
44
Charlotte
3-6 · #124
38
Spread
MEM -10
✓ CLT W ATS
Total
51.5
▲ Over 82 · Q4
Projected
31–21
✓ MEM won
Model: MEM by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
App State
5-4 · #61
42
Georgia State
6-3 · #91
14
Spread
GAST -3
✓ APP W ATS
Total
62.5
▼ Under 56
Projected
28–31
✗ GAST lost
Model: APP by 1 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Troy
7-2 · #29
45
UL Monroe
2-7 · #129
14
Spread
TROY -21.5
✓ TROY W ATS
Total
45.5
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
33–12
✓ TROY won
Trend: TROY ATS ✓ Model: TROY by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Baylor
3-6 · #93
25
Kansas State
6-3 · #11
59
Spread
KSU -21
✓ KSU W ATS
Total
55
▲ Over 84 · Q3
Projected
16–38
✓ KSU won
Trend: KSU ATS ✓ Model: KSU by 4 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Sam Houston
1-8 · #114
42
Louisiana Tech
3-7 · #116
27
Spread
LT -7.5
✓ SHSU W ATS
Total
49
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
20–27
✗ LT lost
Model: SHSU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Nevada
2-7 · #132
24
Utah State
4-5 · #100
41
Spread
USU -15
✓ USU W ATS
Total
54.5
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
20–36
✓ USU won
Model: USU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Miami
6-3 · #25
20
Florida State
9-0 · #14
27
Spread
FSU -14.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 47
Projected
19–33
✓ FSU won
Trend: FSU ATS ✗ Model: MIA by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Utah
7-2 · #33
28
Washington
9-0 · #13
35
Spread
WASH -9
✓ UTAH W ATS
Total
49
▲ Over 63 · Q2
Projected
18–27
✓ WASH won
Model: WASH by 1 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Tennessee
7-2 · #15
7
Missouri
7-2 · #12
36
Spread
TENN -2
✓ MIZ W ATS
Total
59
▼ Under 43
Projected
29–27
✗ TENN lost
Model: TENN by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Oklahoma State
7-2 · #43
3
UCF
4-5 · #31
45
Spread
OKST -2
✓ UCF W ATS
Total
64
▼ Under 48
Projected
30–28
✗ OKST lost
Model: UCF by 2 ✓ Model: Under 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Rutgers
6-3 · #51
0
Iowa
7-2 · #54
22
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
14–16
✓ IOWA won
Final · Conf
Florida International
4-5 · #131
6
Middle Tennessee
2-7 · #99
40
Spread
MTSU -10.5
✓ MTSU W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 46
Projected
19–30
✓ MTSU won
Trend: FIU ATS ✗ Model: MTSU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Minnesota
5-4 · #79
30
Purdue
2-7 · #66
49
Spread
MINN -2
✓ PUR W ATS
Total
48
▲ Over 79 · Q3
Projected
26–25
✗ MINN lost
Trend: MINN ATS ✗ Model: PUR by 4 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Northwestern
4-5 · #65
24
Wisconsin
5-4 · #42
10
Spread
WIS -12
✓ NU W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 34
Projected
17–29
✗ WIS lost
Model: WIS by 1 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
New Mexico State
7-3 · #84
38
Western Kentucky
5-4 · #83
29
Spread
WKU -4.5
✓ NMSU W ATS
Total
54
▲ Over 67 · Q4
Projected
26–30
✗ WKU lost
Trend: NMSU ATS ✓ Model: WKU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Neutral
Pittsburgh
2-7 · #77
13
Syracuse
4-5 · #82
28
Spread
PITT -3.5
✓ SYR W ATS
Total
38
▲ Over 41 · Q4
Projected
24–21
✗ PITT lost
Model: SYR by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 7 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
UAB
3-6 · #102
6
Navy
3-5 · #108
31
Spread
UAB -2.5
✓ NAVY W ATS
Total
52
▼ Under 37
Projected
27–25
✗ UAB lost
Trend: UAB ATS ✗ Model: NAVY by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Texas State
6-3 · #73
23
Coastal Carolina
6-3 · #70
31
Spread
TXST -2.5
✓ CCU W ATS
Total
55
▼ Under 54
Projected
31–29
✗ TXST lost
Trend: CCU ATS ✓ Model: CCU by 6.5 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Auburn
5-4 · #40
48
Arkansas
3-6 · #59
10
Spread
ARK -2.5
✓ AUB W ATS
Total
47
▲ Over 58 · Q3
Projected
22–24
✗ ARK lost
Model: AUB by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Washington State
4-5 · #46
39
California
3-6 · #57
42
Spread
CAL -2
✓ CAL W ATS
Total
60
▲ Over 81 · Q4
Projected
29–30
✓ CAL won
Trend: WSU ATS ✗ Model: WSU by 0 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
East Carolina
1-8 · #110
22
Florida Atlantic
4-5 · #105
7
Spread
FAU -7.5
✓ ECU W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 29
Projected
19–26
✗ FAU lost
Trend: ECU ATS ✓ Model: ECU by 2 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Arkansas State
5-4 · #107
14
South Alabama
4-5 · #49
21
Spread
USA -14
✓ ARST W ATS
Total
55
▼ Under 35
Projected
19–34
✓ USA won
Trend: ARST ATS ✓ Model: USA by 5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Stanford
3-6 · #106
17
Oregon State
7-2 · #20
62
Spread
ORST -21.5
✓ ORST W ATS
Total
52
▲ Over 79 · Q3
Projected
17–38
✓ ORST won
Model: ORST by 1 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Ole Miss
8-1 · #16
17
Georgia
9-0 · #1
52
Spread
UGA -11
✓ UGA W ATS
Total
58.5
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
24–34
✓ UGA won
Trend: MISS ATS ✗ Model: MISS by 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
West Virginia
6-3 · #39
20
Oklahoma
7-2 · #9
59
Spread
OU -13
✓ OU W ATS
Total
60
▲ Over 79 · Q3
Projected
22–36
✓ OU won
Model: OU by 4 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Cincinnati
2-7 · #76
24
Houston
4-5 · #88
14
Spread
HOU -3
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
53.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
26–29
✗ HOU lost
Trend: HOU ATS ✗ Model: CIN by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Georgia Southern
6-3 · #92
33
Marshall
4-5 · #96
38
Spread
GASO -1
✓ MRSH W ATS
Total
56.5
▲ Over 71 · Q4
Projected
29–28
✗ GASO lost
Trend: GASO ATS ✗ Model: GASO by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
San Diego State
3-6 · #112
19
Colorado State
3-6 · #109
22
Spread
CSU -3.5
✓ SDSU W ATS
Total
47
▼ Under 41
Projected
23–28
✓ CSU won
Trend: CSU ATS ✗ Model: CSU by 5.5 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Michigan State
3-6 · #98
3
Ohio State
9-0 · #4
38
Spread
OSU -32.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 41
Projected
7–39
✓ OSU won
Trend: OSU ATS ✓ Model: MSU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Texas
8-1 · #8
29
TCU
4-5 · #30
26
Spread
TEX -13
✓ TCU W ATS
Total
56
▼ Under 55
Projected
35–23
✓ TEX won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: TCU by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Florida
5-4 · #36
35
LSU
6-3 · #10
52
Spread
LSU -16.5
✓ LSU W ATS
Total
68
▲ Over 87 · Q4
Projected
25–41
✓ LSU won
Trend: LSU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: LSU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Mississippi State
4-5 · #64
10
Texas A&M
5-4 · #17
51
Spread
TA&M -16.5
✓ TA&M W ATS
Total
40
▲ Over 61 · Q2
Projected
15–31
✓ TA&M won
Trend: TA&M ATS ✓ Model: TA&M by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Rice
4-5 · #90
14
UTSA
6-3 · #56
34
Spread
UTSA -14
✓ UTSA W ATS
Total
55
▼ Under 48
Projected
23–35
✓ UTSA won
Trend: RICE ATS ✗ Model: RICE by 6.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Duke
6-3 · #37
45
North Carolina
7-2 · #34
47
Spread
UNC -10
✓ DUKE W ATS
Total
53
▲ Over 92 · Q4
Projected
23–32
✓ UNC won
Trend: UNC ATS ✗ Model: DUKE by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Arizona State
2-7 · #101
17
UCLA
6-3 · #26
7
Spread
UCLA -14
✓ ASU W ATS
Total
45.5
▼ Under 24
Projected
15–30
✗ UCLA lost
Model: UCLA by 6 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
New Mexico
3-6 · #117
14
Boise State
4-5 · #48
42
Spread
BOIS -27.5
✓ BOIS W ATS
Total
58.5
▼ Under 56
Projected
17–42
✓ BOIS won
Trend: BOIS ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: UNM by 10.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Iowa State
5-4 · #35
45
BYU
5-4 · #86
13
Spread
ISU -7.5
✓ ISU W ATS
Total
41
▲ Over 58 · Q3
Projected
24–18
✓ ISU won
Trend: BYU ATS ✗ Model: BYU by 5.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
USC
7-3 · #23
27
Oregon
8-1 · #2
36
Spread
ORE -17
✓ USC W ATS
Total
78
▼ Under 63
Projected
28–45
✓ ORE won
Trend: ORE ATS ✗ Model: USC by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Fresno State
8-1 · #71
18
San José State
4-5 · #60
42
Spread
SJSU -2
✓ SJSU W ATS
Total
52
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
27–28
✓ SJSU won
Trend: SJSU ATS ✓ Model: FRES by 3 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Air Force
8-1 · #52
13
Hawai'i
3-7 · #123
27
Spread
AFA -20
✓ HAW W ATS
Total
46
▼ Under 40
Projected
33–14
✗ AFA lost
Trend: AFA ATS ✗ Model: HAW by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total