Rutgers @ Iowa: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2023)

Sat, Nov 11, 2023, 3:30 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Iowa · Conference game

Weather at kickoff48°F11 mphgusts 20DryWeather watch ›

Rutgers

6-3 · Power #51

final

Final

Iowa

7-2 · Power #54

▲ winner

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

RUTG 14–16 IOWA

✓ IOWA (52%) won

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
RUTG WWLWP	6-1-2	86%	2-0-1	—
IOWA PWWLL	4-4-1	50%	2-2-1	—

Venue/role: RUTG away; IOWA home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
RUTG O–OOO	5-3	63%	6-3
IOWA O–UUU	2-6	25%	7-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
RUTGlast 9	6-3 67%	6-1-2 86%	5-3 63%
IOWAlast 9	7-2 78%	4-4-1 50%	2-6 25%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

RUTG+1.6 →+3.8▲ 2.2#44

IOWA+3.8 →+1.2▼ 2.6#55

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

RUTG

Longer bar = better

IOWA

#82

Offense

◀ RUTG better

#133

#32

Defense

IOWA better ▶

+0.6 #31

Turnovers

◀ RUTG better

−0.3 #94

64 plays #103

Pace

◀ RUTG faster

56 plays #133

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When RUTG has the ball

Advantage: IOWA defense

	RUTG off	IOWA def	Edge
Points / game	26.8 #76	13.7 #4	IOWA
Yards / play	5.20 #99	4.05 #2	IOWA
PPA / play	+0.12 #72	−0.09 #3	IOWA
Success rate	41% #82	35% #9	IOWA

When IOWA has the ball

Advantage: RUTG defense

	IOWA off	RUTG def	Edge
Points / game	18.4 #123	17.9 #21	RUTG
Yards / play	4.00 #136	4.50 #11	RUTG
PPA / play	−0.11 #137	−0.03 #16	RUTG
Success rate	32% #136	43% #79	RUTG

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

RUTG scoring against the IOWA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
RUTG scored	5.3 #80	7.3 #78	12.7 #83	3.8 #116	10.3 #8	14.1 #49
IOWA allowed	1.8 #4	3.2 #6	5.0 #2	4.0 #30	4.7 #29	8.7 #18

IOWA scoring against the RUTG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
IOWA scored	3.3 #116	6.1 #105	9.4 #114	3.7 #118	5.3 #103	9.0 #121
RUTG allowed	3.4 #25	4.9 #18	8.3 #16	4.2 #36	5.3 #43	9.6 #29

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.