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NCAAF · 1st half

NCAAF first-half lines & halftime results · 2023 Week 11

NCAAF 1st half2023 Week 11: 64 of 64 games final. Favorites went 33-29 against the first-half spread, and halftime totals went 31 over, 30 under.How 1st-half lines work ⓘ
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Tuesday, Nov 7

3
1H finalConf · est. line
Ball State
1H ATS 2-7 · #113
10
Northern Illinois
1H ATS 3-6 · #94
10
1H spread
NIU -5.5
✓ BALL W ATS
1H total
23
▼ Under 20
Projected
8–16
 
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: NIU ✗ Model: NIU by 2 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Central Michigan
1H ATS 5-4 · #122
7
Western Michigan
1H ATS 7-2 · #120
21
1H spread
WMU -2
✓ WMU W ATS
1H total
30.5
▼ Under 28
Projected
14–16
✓ WMU led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: WMU ✓ Trend: 1st-half over teams: Over ✗ Model: WMU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Ohio
1H ATS 3-6 · #63
0
Buffalo
1H ATS 3-6 · #119
3
1H spread
OHIO -5.5
✓ BUFF W ATS
1H total
23.5
▼ Under 3
Projected
13–9
✗ OHIO did not lead
Model: BUFF by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓

Wednesday, Nov 8

3
1H finalConf · est. line
Akron
1H ATS 5-4 · #130
0
Miami (OH)
1H ATS 6-3 · #78
10
1H spread
M-OH -10
Push
1H total
19.5
▼ Under 10
Projected
5–16
✓ M-OH led
Trend: Fast starter edge: AKR Model: M-OH by 0.5 Model: Over 1 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Bowling Green
1H ATS 5-4 · #80
28
Kent State
1H ATS 4-5 · #133
6
1H spread
BGSU -7
✓ BGSU W ATS
1H total
21.5
▲ Over 34
Projected
14–7
✓ BGSU led
Trend: Fast starter edge: KENT ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Eastern Michigan
1H ATS 7-2 · #126
3
Toledo
1H ATS 4-5 · #58
35
1H spread
TOL -12
✓ TOL W ATS
1H total
23.5
▲ Over 38
Projected
6–18
✓ TOL led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: EMU ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: EMU ✗ Model: TOL by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓

Thursday, Nov 9

2
1H finalConf · est. line
Virginia
1H ATS 6-3 · #85
0
Louisville
1H ATS 7-2 · #21
14
1H spread
LOU -12
✓ LOU W ATS
1H total
26
▼ Under 14
Projected
7–20
✓ LOU led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: LOU ✓ Trend: Fast starter edge: UVA ✗ Model: LOU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Southern Miss
1H ATS 4-5 · #121
14
Louisiana
1H ATS 4-5 · #87
14
1H spread
UL -4.5
✓ USM W ATS
1H total
27.5
▲ Over 28
Projected
11–18
 
Model: UL by 2 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓

Friday, Nov 10

2
1H finalConf · est. line
North Texas
1H ATS 3-5-1 · #103
14
SMU
1H ATS 5-3-1 · #22
17
1H spread
SMU -12
✓ UNT W ATS
1H total
34.5
▼ Under 31
Projected
10–24
✓ SMU led
Model: SMU by 1.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Wyoming
1H ATS 4-5 · #74
14
UNLV
1H ATS 8-1 · #68
21
1H spread
UNLV -2
✓ UNLV W ATS
1H total
25
▲ Over 35
Projected
11–16
✓ UNLV led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: UNLV ✓ Model: UNLV by 3 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓

Saturday, Nov 11

54
1H finalConf · est. line
Michigan
1H ATS 4-5 · #3
14
Penn State
1H ATS 5-4 · #5
9
1H spread
MICH -2.5
✓ MICH W ATS
1H total
23
Push 23
Projected
13–13
✓ MICH led
Model: PSU by 2 ✗ Model: Over 3
1H finalConf · est. line
Alabama
1H ATS 3-6 · #7
28
Kentucky
1H ATS 4-5 · #44
7
1H spread
ALA -7
✓ ALA W ATS
1H total
24.5
▲ Over 35
Projected
16–9
✓ ALA led
Trend: Fast starter edge: UK ✗ Model: UK by 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Texas Tech
1H ATS 4-5 · #45
10
Kansas
1H ATS 5-4 · #24
0
1H spread
KU -2.5
✓ TTU W ATS
1H total
32.5
▼ Under 10
Projected
15–18
✗ KU did not lead
1H finalConf · est. line
Tulsa
1H ATS 4-5 · #118
10
Tulane
1H ATS 5-4 · #55
14
1H spread
TULN -14.5
✓ TLSA W ATS
1H total
27.5
▼ Under 24
Projected
7–19
✓ TULN led
Trend: Fast starter edge: TLSA ✓ Model: TLSA by 3 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Indiana
1H ATS 5-4 · #89
27
Illinois
1H ATS 2-7 · #67
26
1H spread
ILL -2.5
✓ IU W ATS
1H total
23
▲ Over 53
Projected
10–14
✗ ILL did not lead
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: IU ✓ Trend: 1st-half over teams: Over ✓ Model: ILL by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Maryland
1H ATS 4-5 · #27
7
Nebraska
1H ATS 4-5 · #62
0
1H spread
MD -1
✓ MD W ATS
1H total
22
▼ Under 7
Projected
11–10
✓ MD led
Model: Under 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Vanderbilt
1H ATS 1-9 · #111
0
South Carolina
1H ATS 2-7 · #47
13
1H spread
SC -8
✓ SC W ATS
1H total
28
▼ Under 13
Projected
10–19
✓ SC led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: VAN ✗ Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: SC ✓ Trend: Fast starter edge: VAN ✗ Model: SC by 1 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Virginia Tech
1H ATS 4-4-1 · #41
31
Boston College
1H ATS 5-4 · #75
7
1H spread
VT -1.5
✓ VT W ATS
1H total
24.5
▲ Over 38
Projected
12–13
✗ BC did not lead
Model: BC by 2.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Georgia Tech
1H ATS 6-3 · #53
7
Clemson
1H ATS 4-5 · #19
21
1H spread
CLEM -8.5
✓ CLEM W ATS
1H total
28.5
▼ Under 28
Projected
11–18
✓ CLEM led
Trend: Fast starter edge: GT ✗ Model: GT by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Temple
1H ATS 2-7 · #128
10
South Florida
1H ATS 5-4 · #95
20
1H spread
USF -4
✓ USF W ATS
1H total
36.5
▼ Under 30
Projected
13–20
✓ USF led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: USF ✓ Model: USF by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓
1H finalNon-conf · est. line
Old Dominion
1H ATS 7-1 · #97
3
Liberty
1H ATS 7-2 · #32
35
1H spread
LIB -8.5
✓ LIB W ATS
1H total
31.5
▲ Over 38
Projected
10–20
✓ LIB led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: LIB ✓ Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: ODU ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: ODU ✗ Model: LIB by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Arizona
1H ATS 6-3 · #18
17
Colorado
1H ATS 4-5 · #72
24
1H spread
ARIZ -4.5
✓ COLO W ATS
1H total
29
▲ Over 41
Projected
18–15
✗ ARIZ did not lead
Model: COLO by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✓
1H finalNon-conf · est. line
UConn
1H ATS 5-4 · #125
3
James Madison
1H ATS 5-3-1 · #28
13
1H spread
JMU -15
✓ CONN W ATS
1H total
25
▼ Under 16
Projected
5–20
✓ JMU led
Trend: Fast starter edge: CONN ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
NC State
1H ATS 5-4 · #38
21
Wake Forest
1H ATS 5-4 · #81
0
1H spread
NCSU -1
✓ NCSU W ATS
1H total
22.5
▼ Under 21
Projected
13–11
✓ NCSU led
Model: Over 1.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Memphis
1H ATS 3-6 · #50
14
Charlotte
1H ATS 4-4-1 · #124
17
1H spread
MEM -6
✓ CLT W ATS
1H total
27
▲ Over 31
Projected
17–10
✗ MEM did not lead
Model: MEM by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
App State
1H ATS 3-6 · #61
21
Georgia State
1H ATS 6-3 · #91
0
1H spread
GAST -2
✓ APP W ATS
1H total
32.5
▼ Under 21
Projected
15–16
✗ GAST did not lead
Model: APP by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Troy
1H ATS 4-5 · #29
21
UL Monroe
1H ATS 3-6 · #129
0
1H spread
TROY -12.5
✓ TROY W ATS
1H total
23.5
▼ Under 21
Projected
18–5
✓ TROY led
Trend: Fast starter edge: ULM ✗ Model: TROY by 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Baylor
1H ATS 2-7 · #93
13
Kansas State
1H ATS 6-3 · #11
35
1H spread
KSU -12.5
✓ KSU W ATS
1H total
28.5
▲ Over 48
Projected
7–21
✓ KSU led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: KSU ✓ Trend: Fast starter edge: BAY ✗ Model: KSU by 2 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Sam Houston
1H ATS 4-5 · #114
14
Louisiana Tech
1H ATS 4-6 · #116
6
1H spread
LT -4.5
✓ SHSU W ATS
1H total
25.5
▼ Under 20
Projected
10–14
✗ LT did not lead
Trend: Fast starter edge: SHSU ✓ Model: SHSU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Nevada
1H ATS 5-4 · #132
10
Utah State
1H ATS 4-4-1 · #100
24
1H spread
USU -9
✓ USU W ATS
1H total
28.5
▲ Over 34
Projected
10–19
✓ USU led
Trend: Fast starter edge: NEV ✗ Model: USU by 1 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Miami
1H ATS 6-3 · #25
10
Florida State
1H ATS 3-6 · #14
10
1H spread
FSU -8.5
✓ MIA W ATS
1H total
26.5
▼ Under 20
Projected
10–18
 
Trend: Fast starter edge: MIA ✓ Model: MIA by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Utah
1H ATS 5-4 · #33
28
Washington
1H ATS 5-4 · #13
24
1H spread
WASH -5.5
✓ UTAH W ATS
1H total
25.5
▲ Over 52
Projected
9–15
✗ WASH did not lead
Model: WASH by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Tennessee
1H ATS 6-3 · #15
7
Missouri
1H ATS 8-1 · #12
13
1H spread
TENN -1
✓ MIZ W ATS
1H total
30.5
▼ Under 20
Projected
15–14
✗ TENN did not lead
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: MIZ ✓ Model: TENN by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Oklahoma State
1H ATS 3-6 · #43
0
UCF
1H ATS 5-4 · #31
24
1H spread
OKST -1
✓ UCF W ATS
1H total
33.5
▼ Under 24
Projected
15–15
 
Trend: Fast starter edge: UCF ✓ Model: UCF by 1 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Rutgers
1H ATS 5-4 · #51
0
Iowa
1H ATS 4-4-1 · #54
3
1H spread
—
 
1H total
—
 
Projected
8–8
✓ IOWA led
1H finalConf · est. line
Florida International
1H ATS 5-4 · #131
6
Middle Tennessee
1H ATS 5-4 · #99
31
1H spread
MTSU -6
✓ MTSU W ATS
1H total
27
▲ Over 37
Projected
10–16
✓ MTSU led
Trend: Fast starter edge: FIU ✗ Model: MTSU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Minnesota
1H ATS 2-6-1 · #79
20
Purdue
1H ATS 3-5-1 · #66
28
1H spread
MINN -1
✓ PUR W ATS
1H total
25
▲ Over 48
Projected
13–14
✓ PUR led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: PUR ✓ Model: PUR by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Northwestern
1H ATS 5-3-1 · #65
24
Wisconsin
1H ATS 3-6 · #42
3
1H spread
WIS -7
✓ NU W ATS
1H total
22.5
▲ Over 27
Projected
8–16
✗ WIS did not lead
Trend: 1st-half under teams: Under ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: NU ✓ Model: WIS by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
New Mexico State
1H ATS 4-6 · #84
17
Western Kentucky
1H ATS 3-6 · #83
21
1H spread
WKU -2.5
✓ WKU W ATS
1H total
28
▲ Over 38
Projected
13–16
✓ WKU led
Model: WKU by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓
1H finalNeutral · est. line
Pittsburgh
1H ATS 3-6 · #77
13
Syracuse
1H ATS 3-6 · #82
7
1H spread
PITT -2
✓ PITT W ATS
1H total
20
Push 20
Projected
12–12
 
Model: SYR by 2 ✗ Model: Over 3.5
1H finalConf · est. line
UAB
1H ATS 6-3 · #102
6
Navy
1H ATS 1-6-1 · #108
7
1H spread
UAB -1.5
✓ NAVY W ATS
1H total
27
▼ Under 13
Projected
13–13
 
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: UAB ✗ Model: NAVY by 1.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Texas State
1H ATS 7-2 · #73
10
Coastal Carolina
1H ATS 5-4 · #70
21
1H spread
TXST -1.5
✓ CCU W ATS
1H total
28.5
▲ Over 31
Projected
15–17
✓ CCU led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: TXST ✗ Model: CCU by 4 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Auburn
1H ATS 6-3 · #40
27
Arkansas
1H ATS 3-6 · #59
3
1H spread
ARK -1.5
✓ AUB W ATS
1H total
24.5
▲ Over 30
Projected
11–13
✗ ARK did not lead
Trend: Fast starter edge: AUB ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Washington State
1H ATS 6-3 · #46
21
California
1H ATS 4-5 · #57
28
1H spread
CAL -1
✓ CAL W ATS
1H total
31
▲ Over 49
Projected
15–16
✓ CAL led
Trend: Fast starter edge: WSU ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
East Carolina
1H ATS 6-3 · #110
13
Florida Atlantic
1H ATS 5-4 · #105
7
1H spread
FAU -4.5
✓ ECU W ATS
1H total
23
▼ Under 20
Projected
10–13
✗ FAU did not lead
Trend: Fast starter edge: ECU ✓ Model: ECU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Arkansas State
1H ATS 5-4 · #107
3
South Alabama
1H ATS 3-6 · #49
14
1H spread
USA -8.5
✓ USA W ATS
1H total
28.5
▼ Under 17
Projected
8–19
✓ USA led
Trend: Fast starter edge: ARST ✗ Model: USA by 3 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Stanford
1H ATS 5-4 · #106
10
Oregon State
1H ATS 5-4 · #20
34
1H spread
ORST -12.5
✓ ORST W ATS
1H total
27
▲ Over 44
Projected
8–21
✓ ORST led
Model: ORST by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Ole Miss
1H ATS 6-3 · #16
14
Georgia
1H ATS 3-6 · #1
28
1H spread
UGA -6.5
✓ UGA W ATS
1H total
30.5
▲ Over 42
Projected
13–17
✓ UGA led
Trend: Fast starter edge: MISS ✗ Model: MISS by 2.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
West Virginia
1H ATS 7-2 · #39
14
Oklahoma
1H ATS 5-4 · #9
31
1H spread
OU -7.5
✓ OU W ATS
1H total
31
▲ Over 45
Projected
10–20
✓ OU led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: WVU ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: WVU ✗ Model: OU by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Cincinnati
1H ATS 4-5 · #76
14
Houston
1H ATS 5-4 · #88
7
1H spread
HOU -2
✓ CIN W ATS
1H total
28
▼ Under 21
Projected
14–15
✗ HOU did not lead
Trend: Fast starter edge: CIN ✓ Model: CIN by 1 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Georgia Southern
1H ATS 7-2 · #92
20
Marshall
1H ATS 2-6-1 · #96
17
1H spread
GASO -0.5
✓ GASO W ATS
1H total
29.5
▲ Over 37
Projected
15–14
✓ GASO led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: GASO ✓ Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: GASO ✓ Trend: Fast starter edge: GASO ✓ Model: GASO by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
San Diego State
1H ATS 4-5 · #112
0
Colorado State
1H ATS 4-5 · #109
15
1H spread
CSU -2
✓ CSU W ATS
1H total
24.5
▼ Under 15
Projected
11–16
✓ CSU led
Model: CSU by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Michigan State
1H ATS 3-4-2 · #98
3
Ohio State
1H ATS 4-5 · #4
35
1H spread
OSU -19
✓ OSU W ATS
1H total
25
▲ Over 38
Projected
3–21
✓ OSU led
Trend: Fast starter edge: MSU ✗ Model: MSU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Texas
1H ATS 4-5 · #8
26
TCU
1H ATS 2-6-1 · #30
6
1H spread
TEX -7.5
✓ TEX W ATS
1H total
29
▲ Over 32
Projected
17–12
✓ TEX led
Trend: 1st-half under teams: Under ✗ Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: TEX ✓ Model: TCU by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Florida
1H ATS 3-6 · #36
14
LSU
1H ATS 5-4 · #10
17
1H spread
LSU -9.5
✓ FLA W ATS
1H total
35.5
▼ Under 31
Projected
12–22
✓ LSU led
Trend: Fast starter edge: FLA ✓ Trend: 1st-half over teams: Over ✗ Model: LSU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Mississippi State
1H ATS 3-6 · #64
10
Texas A&M
1H ATS 6-3 · #17
34
1H spread
TA&M -9.5
✓ TA&M W ATS
1H total
21
▲ Over 44
Projected
7–17
✓ TA&M led
Model: TA&M by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Rice
1H ATS 5-4 · #90
7
UTSA
1H ATS 5-4 · #56
10
1H spread
UTSA -8.5
✓ RICE W ATS
1H total
28.5
▼ Under 17
Projected
13–17
✓ UTSA led
Trend: Fast starter edge: RICE ✓ Model: RICE by 4 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Duke
1H ATS 4-4-1 · #37
14
North Carolina
1H ATS 4-5 · #34
16
1H spread
UNC -6
✓ DUKE W ATS
1H total
27.5
▲ Over 30
Projected
13–16
✓ UNC led
Model: DUKE by 3 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Arizona State
1H ATS 6-3 · #101
3
UCLA
1H ATS 3-6 · #26
0
1H spread
UCLA -8.5
✓ ASU W ATS
1H total
23.5
▼ Under 3
Projected
6–18
✗ UCLA did not lead
Trend: Fast starter edge: ASU ✓ Model: UCLA by 3.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
New Mexico
1H ATS 5-4 · #117
14
Boise State
1H ATS 5-4 · #48
32
1H spread
BOIS -16
✓ BOIS W ATS
1H total
30.5
▲ Over 46
Projected
10–20
✓ BOIS led
Trend: Fast starter edge: UNM ✗ Model: UNM by 6 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
Iowa State
1H ATS 5-4 · #35
31
BYU
1H ATS 5-4 · #86
7
1H spread
ISU -4.5
✓ ISU W ATS
1H total
21.5
▲ Over 38
Projected
11–10
✓ ISU led
Model: BYU by 3 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
USC
1H ATS 3-7 · #23
14
Oregon
1H ATS 6-3 · #2
22
1H spread
ORE -10
✓ USC W ATS
1H total
40.5
▼ Under 36
Projected
15–24
✓ ORE led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: ORE ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: USC ✓ Model: USC by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Fresno State
1H ATS 3-6 · #71
10
San José State
1H ATS 6-3 · #60
28
1H spread
SJSU -1
✓ SJSU W ATS
1H total
27
▲ Over 38
Projected
15–14
✗ FRES did not lead
Model: FRES by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Air Force
1H ATS 4-5 · #52
3
Hawai'i
1H ATS 3-7 · #123
13
1H spread
AFA -12
✓ HAW W ATS
1H total
24
▼ Under 16
Projected
17–7
✗ AFA did not lead
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: AFA ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: HAW ✓ Model: HAW by 2 ✓
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StatusMatchup1H spreadMove1H totalModelTrendDetails
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1H ATS: the team's 1st-half margin plus its 1st-half line. Away team listed first. Spread edge = the model's 1st-half line minus the 1H spread (Total edge: the model's 1H total minus the 1H total), in points; a lean starts at 2 pts (3 on the total) and is context only. Projections use only games played before that week. Trends use each team's 1st halves earlier this season; dot = backtest status ( proven edge, above break-even but not proven, no edge). est. lines are estimated from the full-game line.
1H ATS leans (backtest)
1117-1157 (49.1%)
No edge 2016–26 · break-even 52.4%
1H O/U leans (backtest)
313-299 (51.1%)
No edge 3+ pt edges
Halftime leader picked
69.7%
7,953 games, walk-forward
This week
33-29 fav 1H ATS
O/U 31-30 · leans 12-8 ATS, 3-0 O/U

2023 team 1st-half records

Against the 1st-half line (real or estimated), halftime over/under and halftime leads
TeamGP1H ATSCover %1H O-ULed-trailed1H PF1H PA1H margin
Missouri State 1 1-0 100% 0-1 0-1 10.0 17.0 -7.0
Sacramento State 1 1-0 100% 0-1 1-0 17.0 14.0 +3.0
Kennesaw State 1 1-0 100% 1-0 1-0 21.0 7.0 +14.0
Missouri 13 10-3 76.9% 3-8-1 11-1-1 16.2 7.8 +8.4
West Virginia 13 10-3 76.9% 8-4 9-4 17.9 12.1 +5.8
Miami (OH) 14 9-3-2 75% 6-5-1 11-3 13.6 8.6 +4.9
Old Dominion 13 9-3 75% 6-5 6-5-2 11.3 12.6 -1.3
Northwestern 13 9-3-1 75% 4-9 6-4-3 10.4 9.6 +0.8
Liberty 14 10-4 71.4% 9-2-1 10-1-3 22.4 13.1 +9.3
Boise State 14 10-4 71.4% 6-5-1 10-3-1 18.6 13.0 +5.6
Miami 13 9-4 69.2% 7-4 8-3-2 15.4 9.2 +6.2
Georgia Tech 13 9-4 69.2% 5-6 5-7-1 15.8 13.0 +2.8
Bowling Green 13 9-4 69.2% 8-2-1 9-4 15.8 12.2 +3.7
Kansas State 13 9-4 69.2% 9-3 9-4 20.7 11.9 +8.8
Texas State 13 9-4 69.2% 7-5 9-3-1 22.2 15.5 +6.6
Western Michigan 12 8-4 66.7% 8-4 5-7 12.7 16.3 -3.7
UConn 12 8-4 66.7% 4-6 5-7 9.8 14.8 -5.1
East Carolina 12 8-4 66.7% 3-9 4-6-2 11.7 12.6 -0.9
Washington State 12 8-4 66.7% 6-5 7-4-1 20.5 12.7 +7.8
Oregon 14 9-5 64.3% 6-7-1 12-2 26.3 9.3 +17.0
UNLV 14 9-5 64.3% 8-6 8-6 17.6 14.9 +2.7
Akron 12 7-4-1 63.6% 3-6-1 4-6-2 8.8 11.9 -3.1
Army 12 7-4 63.6% 5-4 8-4 12.8 9.8 +3.1
Jacksonville State 13 8-5 61.5% 5-8 5-6-2 14.2 12.0 +2.2
San José State 13 8-5 61.5% 5-6 7-4-2 16.8 11.6 +5.2
Georgia State 13 8-5 61.5% 6-7 9-4 16.4 12.9 +3.5
NC State 13 8-5 61.5% 4-7 9-4 14.9 9.2 +5.7
Eastern Michigan 13 8-5 61.5% 7-5 5-6-2 11.4 13.7 -2.3
Kansas 13 8-5 61.5% 7-5 8-4-1 17.3 11.6 +5.7
Tennessee 13 8-5 61.5% 8-5 9-4 18.7 9.9 +8.8
Oklahoma 13 8-5 61.5% 6-5 10-1-2 24.8 12.9 +11.9
Rice 13 8-5 61.5% 6-6 7-6 16.2 13.4 +2.8
Auburn 13 8-5 61.5% 5-8 5-6-2 14.2 10.1 +4.2
South Florida 13 8-5 61.5% 7-5 5-6-2 17.8 16.8 +1.1
Georgia Southern 13 8-5 61.5% 6-6-1 7-5-1 17.0 14.5 +2.5
Texas A&M 13 8-5 61.5% 7-5 10-3 18.3 10.7 +7.6
Arizona 13 8-5 61.5% 3-9 7-5-1 16.1 10.8 +5.3
Michigan 15 9-6 60% 4-8-2 15-0 18.9 5.7 +13.3
Rutgers 13 7-5 58.3% 5-6 7-6 11.6 9.7 +1.9
UAB 12 7-5 58.3% 8-3-1 5-6-1 18.2 17.1 +1.1
Arizona State 12 7-5 58.3% 6-6 6-6 9.8 17.2 -7.4
Virginia 12 7-5 58.3% 6-6 3-7-2 10.3 14.8 -4.6
Indiana 12 7-5 58.3% 7-5 5-7 11.4 15.2 -3.8
Houston 12 7-5 58.3% 5-7 5-7 13.1 16.8 -3.8
Southern Miss 12 7-5 58.3% 7-4 4-7-1 11.6 16.9 -5.3
BYU 12 7-5 58.3% 9-2 6-5-1 14.1 15.9 -1.8
Sam Houston 12 7-5 58.3% 6-4 3-8-1 9.6 14.2 -4.6
Louisville 14 8-6 57.1% 4-8 8-5-1 15.8 9.6 +6.1
Tulane 14 8-6 57.1% 5-8 9-4-1 16.1 9.2 +6.9
New Mexico 12 6-5-1 54.5% 8-2-2 4-8 14.5 19.8 -5.3
SMU 14 7-6-1 53.8% 4-9 12-2 23.4 8.8 +14.6
Notre Dame 13 7-6 53.8% 4-7 10-2-1 17.5 6.7 +10.8
UCF 13 7-6 53.8% 4-7 6-4-3 17.6 11.5 +6.1
Ole Miss 13 7-6 53.8% 5-7 10-2-1 16.7 11.1 +5.6
Iowa State 13 7-6 53.8% 8-4 6-6-1 13.4 12.5 +0.8
Maryland 13 7-6 53.8% 9-3 6-4-3 16.6 11.8 +4.8
California 13 7-6 53.8% 7-4 7-6 16.9 18.6 -1.7
Louisiana 13 7-6 53.8% 5-8 6-4-3 15.8 12.0 +3.8
Coastal Carolina 13 7-6 53.8% 5-6-1 7-6 14.4 11.2 +3.2
Clemson 13 7-6 53.8% 6-5 10-2-1 15.8 8.3 +7.5
Washington 15 8-7 53.3% 7-7 10-3-2 22.9 13.5 +9.3
Texas 14 7-7 50% 6-7 12-1-1 19.3 8.9 +10.4
Toledo 14 7-7 50% 5-6-1 8-5-1 16.8 9.4 +7.4
James Madison 13 6-6-1 50% 5-8 11-2 16.4 8.1 +8.3
UTSA 13 6-6-1 50% 8-4 8-4-1 17.7 16.1 +1.6
Virginia Tech 13 6-6-1 50% 10-2 7-5-1 15.8 12.2 +3.6
Duke 13 6-6-1 50% 5-7 6-4-3 13.1 9.1 +4.0
San Diego State 12 6-6 50% 6-5 5-5-2 10.0 12.9 -2.9
Wake Forest 12 6-6 50% 5-6 2-8-2 9.1 15.2 -6.1
Florida 12 6-6 50% 5-5 6-5-1 15.0 13.5 +1.5
Tulsa 12 6-6 50% 7-4 4-7-1 13.6 19.7 -6.1
Michigan State 12 5-5-2 50% 5-5-1 4-7-1 7.4 15.2 -7.8
Stanford 12 6-6 50% 5-7 2-10 8.3 20.9 -12.7
Colorado 12 6-6 50% 6-5 4-8 12.6 17.8 -5.3
Pittsburgh 12 6-6 50% 5-6-1 3-7-2 10.5 12.8 -2.3
Middle Tennessee 12 6-6 50% 6-5 7-4-1 15.1 13.4 +1.7
New Mexico State 15 7-8 46.7% 5-8-1 7-4-4 14.5 11.5 +2.9
Utah 13 6-7 46.2% 7-5 7-5-1 12.1 10.8 +1.2
Arkansas State 13 6-7 46.2% 5-6 6-7 12.5 17.8 -5.4
Kentucky 13 6-7 46.2% 8-4 6-6-1 14.2 12.8 +1.5
Boston College 13 6-7 46.2% 6-6 5-8 10.7 16.2 -5.5
Air Force 13 6-7 46.2% 9-3-1 7-5-1 15.2 11.2 +4.1
Ohio State 13 6-7 46.2% 3-8-1 10-2-1 15.5 5.0 +10.5
Memphis 13 6-7 46.2% 9-3-1 7-4-2 20.6 13.6 +7.0
South Alabama 13 6-7 46.2% 5-6 7-5-1 16.9 11.0 +5.9
Wyoming 13 6-7 46.2% 5-5-1 7-6 15.0 10.8 +4.2
Texas Tech 13 6-7 46.2% 5-6 7-5-1 15.8 13.4 +2.4
Oregon State 13 6-7 46.2% 4-7 8-4-1 16.2 10.8 +5.4
LSU 13 6-7 46.2% 7-4 7-5-1 22.8 14.9 +7.9
Iowa 14 5-6-1 45.5% 3-7-1 9-4-1 7.6 6.1 +1.5
Utah State 13 5-6-2 45.5% 8-5 3-7-3 15.2 19.7 -4.5
Nebraska 12 5-6 45.5% 3-6 5-5-2 7.8 8.7 -0.9
Charlotte 12 5-6-1 45.5% 4-8 4-7-1 7.8 12.6 -4.8
Nevada 12 5-6-1 45.5% 4-7 3-8-1 8.8 15.5 -6.7
Colorado State 12 5-6-1 45.5% 6-6 5-5-2 12.5 12.7 -0.2
App State 14 6-8 42.9% 5-9 7-5-2 15.0 12.6 +2.4
Georgia 14 6-8 42.9% 8-5 10-2-2 21.8 9.0 +12.8
Troy 14 6-8 42.9% 3-10 9-5 13.4 9.0 +4.4
Alabama 14 6-8 42.9% 7-5 7-5-2 17.4 10.4 +7.0
UTEP 12 5-7 41.7% 5-7 2-7-3 10.6 14.8 -4.2
Florida International 12 5-7 41.7% 8-2 3-7-2 11.5 19.5 -8.0
Kent State 12 5-7 41.7% 4-6 3-9 8.5 16.8 -8.3
Central Michigan 12 5-7 41.7% 5-5 3-8-1 10.6 13.6 -3.0
Cincinnati 12 5-7 41.7% 7-5 3-9 13.1 14.1 -1.0
Florida Atlantic 12 5-7 41.7% 6-5 5-7 12.1 15.1 -3.0
Ohio 13 5-8 38.5% 2-9 7-5-1 11.5 5.7 +5.8
USC 13 5-8 38.5% 8-3 6-6-1 22.4 16.8 +5.5
Hawai'i 13 5-8 38.5% 7-6 3-9-1 9.4 18.8 -9.4
Northern Illinois 13 5-8 38.5% 3-9 4-7-2 10.3 10.6 -0.3
Western Kentucky 13 5-8 38.5% 6-5 7-5-1 17.9 14.5 +3.5
Penn State 13 5-8 38.5% 4-7-1 9-3-1 15.8 7.8 +8.0
Ball State 12 4-7-1 36.4% 4-6-1 3-7-2 7.7 14.1 -6.4
Purdue 12 4-7-1 36.4% 3-7 3-8-1 9.8 16.1 -6.3
North Texas 12 4-7-1 36.4% 8-2 4-7-1 16.8 21.1 -4.3
Minnesota 13 4-8-1 33.3% 6-5 5-7-1 11.1 13.1 -2.0
Louisiana Tech 12 4-8 33.3% 4-5 3-8-1 11.7 20.4 -8.8
Arkansas 12 4-8 33.3% 6-5 5-6-1 13.3 14.9 -1.7
Buffalo 12 4-8 33.3% 5-6 4-8 9.1 14.4 -5.3
Mississippi State 12 4-8 33.3% 6-6 5-7 10.3 15.7 -5.3
UL Monroe 12 4-8 33.3% 4-6 1-10-1 9.1 18.5 -9.4
South Carolina 12 4-8 33.3% 6-6 6-6 13.9 14.8 -0.9
Fresno State 13 4-9 30.8% 4-7 7-5-1 15.1 12.2 +2.9
Wisconsin 13 4-9 30.8% 6-6 4-7-2 10.2 12.2 -1.9
Syracuse 13 4-9 30.8% 6-5-1 4-9 11.5 15.4 -3.8
North Carolina 13 4-9 30.8% 7-5 8-4-1 17.7 14.2 +3.5
UCLA 13 4-9 30.8% 4-7 6-7 13.0 10.2 +2.8
Navy 12 3-7-1 30% 3-6 4-6-2 7.7 13.9 -6.3
Oklahoma State 14 4-10 28.6% 7-6 5-9 13.4 17.1 -3.8
Florida State 14 4-10 28.6% 7-5 8-5-1 15.9 12.2 +3.7
Marshall 13 3-8-2 27.3% 7-5 3-9-1 12.0 16.3 -4.3
Massachusetts 12 3-9 25% 5-6 3-8-1 9.1 20.9 -11.8
Temple 12 3-9 25% 4-6 3-9 10.8 18.3 -7.5
Baylor 12 3-9 25% 5-5 3-9 9.8 18.8 -8.9
Illinois 12 3-9 25% 8-2 3-8-1 12.8 16.2 -3.4
TCU 12 2-9-1 18.2% 4-6 6-6 14.8 16.7 -1.9
Vanderbilt 12 1-11 8.3% 6-5 2-10 9.3 19.5 -10.2
Delaware 1 0-1 0% 1-0 0-1 7.0 35.0 -28.0

How it works

Halftime scores come from ESPN quarter scores (Q1 + Q2) for every game since 2015.

1st-half lines. ESPN publishes no college 1st-half lines. Real ones come from The Odds API’s US books (DraftKings first) for games kicking off within about five days (the biggest matchups first, a capped number a day), pulled once, so a line shows the time it was fetched; every other game, and every past college game, is estimated from the full-game closing line (spread × 0.59, total × 0.52, rounded to the half point: the share of the margin and points college teams score before halftime). A real line shows its book; an estimated one is marked “est.”

Projection. The full-game model's margin and total, scaled the same way. The blend was chosen by the lowest walk-forward error.

Spread edge and Total edge. The model’s 1st-half line (total) minus the market’s, in points. A lean starts when the projection beats the 1H line by 2–6 pts (ATS) or 3+ pts (O/U). Shown for context: neither has a proven edge.

Picks and prices. For a game with a posted 1st-half line, tap Pick on its tile to save a 1H spread or total pick (graded on the halftime score; they show in My picks). The game card’s Market tab lists every book’s 1st-half price.

NCAAF first-half betting FAQ

First-half lines, 1H ATS and halftime totals explained

What is a first-half spread in the NCAAF?

A first-half (1H) spread is a point spread graded on the score at halftime only. A team covers the 1st-half spread when its 1st-half margin plus its 1st-half line is positive; the 2nd half and overtime don't count.

How are NCAAF first-half lines set here?

ESPN publishes no college 1st-half lines. Real ones come from The Odds API’s US books (DraftKings first) for games kicking off within about five days (the biggest matchups first, a capped number a day), pulled once, so a line shows the time it was fetched; every other game, and every past college game, is estimated from the full-game closing line (spread × 0.59, total × 0.52, rounded to the half point: the share of the margin and points college teams score before halftime).

How is the 1st-half projection made?

The full-game power-rating model's margin and total are scaled to the first half. Every past week is predicted only from games played before it.

Do the 1st-half leans beat the market?

Not so far. Over 2016–26, 1st-half ATS leans went 1117-1157 (49.1%) and over/under leans 313-299 (51.1%), below or near the 52.4% needed to break even at -110 odds, so they are shown as context only.

How often does the model pick the team leading at halftime?

69.7% of 7,953 NCAAF games in the 2016–26 walk-forward backtest.