NCAAF 1st half2023 Week 12: 64 of 64 games final. Favorites went 27-34 against the first-half spread, and halftime totals went 30 over, 34 under.How 1st-half lines work ⓘ
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Tuesday, Nov 14

3
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 5-5 · #58
10
1H ATS 6-4 · #80
28
1H spread
TOL -5.5
✓ BGSU W ATS
1H total
26
▲ Over 38
Projected
15–11
✗ TOL did not lead
Model: BGSU by 2 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 8-2 · #120
0
1H ATS 3-7 · #94
14
1H spread
NIU -2.5
✓ NIU W ATS
1H total
29.5
▼ Under 14
Projected
13–17
✓ NIU led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: WMU ✗ Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: WMU ✗ Model: NIU by 1 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 5-4-1 · #130
14
1H ATS 7-3 · #126
14
1H spread
EMU -2
✓ AKR W ATS
1H total
20.5
▲ Over 28
Projected
10–12
 
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: EMU ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓

Wednesday, Nov 15

2
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 5-5 · #122
7
Ohio
1H ATS 3-7 · #63
17
1H spread
OHIO -6
✓ OHIO W ATS
1H total
25.5
▼ Under 24
Projected
8–17
✓ OHIO led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: CMU ✗ Model: OHIO by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 4-6 · #119
3
1H ATS 6-3-1 · #78
10
1H spread
M-OH -4.5
✓ M-OH W ATS
1H total
19
▼ Under 13
Projected
8–15
✓ M-OH led
Model: M-OH by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗

Thursday, Nov 16

1
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 5-5 · #75
6
1H ATS 4-6 · #77
10
1H spread
PITT -1.5
✓ PITT W ATS
1H total
24
▼ Under 16
Projected
12–13
✓ PITT led
Model: BC by 0.5 ✗

Friday, Nov 17

2
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 6-4 · #95
14
UTSA
1H ATS 5-5 · #56
28
1H spread
UTSA -8.5
✓ UTSA W ATS
1H total
34.5
▲ Over 42
Projected
12–21
✓ UTSA led
Trend: Fast starter edge: USF ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 5-5 · #72
7
1H ATS 6-4 · #46
42
1H spread
WSU -2
✓ WSU W ATS
1H total
31
▲ Over 49
Projected
15–18
✓ WSU led
Model: WSU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓

Saturday, Nov 18

56
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 5-5 · #3
23
1H ATS 5-5 · #27
10
1H spread
MICH -10.5
✓ MICH W ATS
1H total
26.5
▲ Over 33
Projected
18–8
✓ MICH led
Trend: Fast starter edge: MD ✗ Model: MD by 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 8-2 · #21
20
1H ATS 7-3 · #25
21
1H spread
PK
✓ MIA W ATS
1H total
24
▲ Over 41
Projected
13–13
 
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: MIA ✓ Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: LOU ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 5-4 · #51
6
1H ATS 5-5 · #5
10
1H spread
PSU -11.5
✓ RUTG W ATS
1H total
21
▼ Under 16
Projected
4–17
✓ PSU led
Trend: Fast starter edge: RUTG ✓ Model: PSU by 1 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗
1H finalNon-conf · est. line
1H ATS 3-7 · #129
3
1H ATS 6-4 · #16
7
1H spread
MISS -21.5
✓ ULM W ATS
1H total
32
▼ Under 10
Projected
5–25
✓ MISS led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: MISS ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: ULM ✓ Model: ULM by 2 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 6-4 · #9
17
BYU
1H ATS 5-5 · #86
17
1H spread
OU -15
✓ BYU W ATS
1H total
30.5
▲ Over 34
Projected
21–8
 
Trend: Fast starter edge: BYU ✓ Model: BYU by 2 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 5-5 · #55
14
1H ATS 5-5 · #105
0
1H spread
TULN -5.5
✓ TULN W ATS
1H total
24.5
▼ Under 14
Projected
15–10
✓ TULN led
Model: FAU by 1 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗
1H finalNon-conf · est. line
1H ATS 6-4 · #70
14
Army
1H ATS 6-4 · #104
21
1H spread
CCU -0.5
✓ ARMY W ATS
1H total
21
▲ Over 35
Projected
13–9
✗ CCU did not lead
Model: CCU by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 3-5-2 · #98
14
1H ATS 6-4 · #89
7
1H spread
IU -2
✓ MSU W ATS
1H total
24.5
▼ Under 21
Projected
11–13
✗ IU did not lead
Model: Over 0.5 ✗
1H finalNon-conf · est. line
1H ATS 5-5 · #121
7
1H ATS 3-7 · #64
16
1H spread
MSST -10.5
✓ USM W ATS
1H total
25
▼ Under 23
Projected
8–16
✓ MSST led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: USM ✓ Trend: Fast starter edge: USM ✓ Model: USM by 2.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 4-5-1 · #66
0
1H ATS 6-3-1 · #65
6
1H spread
NU -1.5
✓ NU W ATS
1H total
24.5
▼ Under 6
Projected
13–13
✓ NU led
Model: PUR by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 7-3 · #110
0
Navy
1H ATS 2-6-1 · #108
7
1H spread
NAVY -1.5
✓ NAVY W ATS
1H total
16
▼ Under 7
Projected
8–9
✓ NAVY led
Trend: 1st-half under teams: Under ✓ Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: ECU ✗ Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: ECU ✗ Model: ECU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
SMU
1H ATS 5-4-1 · #22
14
1H ATS 3-7 · #50
13
1H spread
SMU -5.5
✓ MEM W ATS
1H total
33.5
▼ Under 27
Projected
17–13
✓ SMU led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: SMU ✗ Model: MEM by 1 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✓
1H finalNon-conf · est. line
1H ATS 3-7 · #127
10
1H ATS 8-2 · #32
35
1H spread
LIB -15.5
✓ LIB W ATS
1H total
33
▲ Over 45
Projected
9–24
✓ LIB led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: LIB ✓ Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: LIB ✓ Trend: Fast starter edge: MASS ✗ Model: MASS by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 4-7 · #116
10
1H ATS 7-3 · #69
42
1H spread
JXST -6
✓ JXST W ATS
1H total
28.5
▲ Over 52
Projected
11–17
✓ JXST led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: JXST ✓ Model: LT by 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
UTEP
1H ATS 4-6 · #115
21
1H ATS 6-4 · #99
24
1H spread
MTSU -5
✓ UTEP W ATS
1H total
25
▲ Over 45
Projected
10–15
✓ MTSU led
Model: Over 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Rice
1H ATS 6-4 · #90
13
1H ATS 5-4-1 · #124
0
1H spread
PK
✓ RICE W ATS
1H total
24
▼ Under 13
Projected
14–12
✓ RICE led
Model: RICE by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 4-6 · #61
10
1H ATS 5-4-1 · #28
5
1H spread
JMU -6
✓ APP W ATS
1H total
29.5
▼ Under 15
Projected
11–18
✗ JMU did not lead
Model: JMU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 4-6 · #133
3
1H ATS 3-7 · #113
13
1H spread
BALL -6
✓ BALL W ATS
1H total
22.5
▼ Under 16
Projected
8–15
✓ BALL led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: KENT ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: KENT ✗ Model: BALL by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 4-7 · #123
0
1H ATS 4-6 · #74
35
1H spread
WYO -8
✓ WYO W ATS
1H total
23.5
▲ Over 35
Projected
8–17
✓ WYO led
Model: WYO by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Utah
1H ATS 6-4 · #33
7
1H ATS 6-4 · #18
28
1H spread
ARIZ -1.5
✓ ARIZ W ATS
1H total
24.5
▲ Over 35
Projected
10–11
✓ ARIZ led
Model: UTAH by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 5-5 · #76
7
1H ATS 7-3 · #39
28
1H spread
WVU -3
✓ WVU W ATS
1H total
27.5
▲ Over 35
Projected
12–16
✓ WVU led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: WVU ✓ Model: WVU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
Duke
1H ATS 5-4-1 · #37
10
1H ATS 6-4 · #85
10
1H spread
DUKE -2
✓ UVA W ATS
1H total
24
▼ Under 20
Projected
15–9
 
Model: DUKE by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 4-5-1 · #103
21
1H ATS 5-5 · #118
21
1H spread
UNT -1
✓ TLSA W ATS
1H total
36
▲ Over 42
Projected
17–17
 
Model: TLSA by 1 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 2-8 · #128
14
UAB
1H ATS 6-4 · #102
10
1H spread
UAB -4.5
✓ TEM W ATS
1H total
32
▼ Under 24
Projected
12–19
✗ UAB did not lead
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: UAB ✗ Model: UAB by 3 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 7-3 · #73
17
1H ATS 5-5 · #107
35
1H spread
TXST -2
✓ ARST W ATS
1H total
31
▲ Over 52
Projected
18–13
✗ TXST did not lead
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: TXST ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: TXST ✗ Model: TXST by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 5-5 · #132
13
1H ATS 5-5 · #109
20
1H spread
CSU -7
Push
1H total
23.5
▲ Over 33
Projected
10–17
✓ CSU led
Trend: Fast starter edge: NEV Model: Over 2.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 4-6 · #1
24
1H ATS 6-4 · #15
10
1H spread
UGA -5.5
✓ UGA W ATS
1H total
30.5
▲ Over 34
Projected
16–13
✓ UGA led
Model: TENN by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 2-8 · #67
10
Iowa
1H ATS 4-4-1 · #54
9
1H spread
IOWA -2
✓ ILL W ATS
1H total
17.5
▲ Over 19
Projected
8–12
✗ IOWA did not lead
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: IOWA ✗ Model: IOWA by 2 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓
1H finalNon-conf · est. line
1H ATS 5-5 · #81
7
1H ATS 6-4 · #6
17
1H spread
ND -14
✓ WAKE W ATS
1H total
24.5
▼ Under 24
Projected
5–20
✓ ND led
Trend: Fast starter edge: WAKE ✓ Model: ND by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 4-6 · #34
7
1H ATS 5-5 · #19
14
1H spread
CLEM -4.5
✓ CLEM W ATS
1H total
31
▼ Under 21
Projected
14–16
✓ CLEM led
Trend: Fast starter edge: UNC ✗ Model: UNC by 2 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 5-5 · #114
16
1H ATS 4-6 · #83
21
1H spread
WKU -6
✓ SHSU W ATS
1H total
27.5
▲ Over 37
Projected
10–17
✓ WKU led
Model: WKU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
UCLA
1H ATS 3-7 · #26
14
USC
1H ATS 4-7 · #23
10
1H spread
USC -3
✓ UCLA W ATS
1H total
33
▼ Under 24
Projected
15–18
✗ USC did not lead
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: USC ✗ Model: USC by 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 6-4 · #38
21
1H ATS 5-4-1 · #41
7
1H spread
VT -1.5
✓ NCSU W ATS
1H total
21.5
▲ Over 28
Projected
11–12
✗ VT did not lead
Model: Over 1.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 2-8 · #93
10
TCU
1H ATS 2-7-1 · #30
14
1H spread
TCU -7.5
✓ BAY W ATS
1H total
31.5
▼ Under 24
Projected
11–19
✓ TCU led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: BAY ✓ Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: TCU ✗ Model: TCU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 4-6 · #87
10
Troy
1H ATS 5-5 · #29
17
1H spread
TROY -9.5
✓ UL W ATS
1H total
24.5
▲ Over 27
Projected
8–18
✓ TROY led
Trend: 1st-half under teams: Under ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: UL ✓ Model: TROY by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
UNLV
1H ATS 9-1 · #68
14
1H ATS 4-6 · #52
27
1H spread
AFA -2
✓ AFA W ATS
1H total
24.5
▲ Over 41
Projected
11–16
✓ AFA led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: UNLV ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: UNLV ✗ Model: AFA by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 2-7-1 · #79
0
1H ATS 5-5 · #4
13
1H spread
OSU -16
✓ MINN W ATS
1H total
27
▼ Under 13
Projected
4–21
✓ OSU led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: OSU ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: MINN ✓ Model: OSU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 6-4 · #2
42
1H ATS 7-3 · #101
0
1H spread
ORE -14.5
✓ ORE W ATS
1H total
28.5
▲ Over 42
Projected
22–6
✓ ORE led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: ASU ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: ASU ✗ Model: ORE by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 3-7 · #43
19
1H ATS 5-5 · #88
23
1H spread
OKST -4
✓ HOU W ATS
1H total
30
▲ Over 42
Projected
16–13
✗ OKST did not lead
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: HOU ✓ Model: HOU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗
1H finalNon-conf · est. line
1H ATS 4-7 · #84
10
1H ATS 7-3 · #40
7
1H spread
AUB -15
✓ NMSU W ATS
1H total
24.5
▼ Under 17
Projected
7–17
✗ AUB did not lead
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: AUB ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: NMSU ✓ Model: NMSU by 5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
UCF
1H ATS 6-4 · #31
14
1H ATS 5-5 · #45
14
1H spread
TTU -1
✓ UCF W ATS
1H total
30.5
▼ Under 28
Projected
14–16
 
Model: TTU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 2-7-1 · #96
0
1H ATS 4-6 · #49
21
1H spread
USA -6
✓ USA W ATS
1H total
23.5
▼ Under 21
Projected
9–16
✓ USA led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: USA ✓ Model: USA by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 7-2 · #97
10
1H ATS 8-2 · #92
7
1H spread
GASO -3
✓ ODU W ATS
1H total
32.5
▼ Under 17
Projected
13–18
✗ GASO did not lead
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: GASO ✗ Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: ODU ✓ Model: GASO by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 5-5 · #57
14
1H ATS 5-5 · #106
6
1H spread
CAL -4
✓ CAL W ATS
1H total
27.5
▼ Under 20
Projected
17–13
✓ CAL led
Model: Over 2.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 7-3 · #11
16
1H ATS 5-5 · #24
20
1H spread
KSU -4
✓ KU W ATS
1H total
31.5
▲ Over 36
Projected
18–13
✗ KSU did not lead
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: KSU ✗ Model: KSU by 1.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 6-4 · #48
31
1H ATS 5-4-1 · #100
10
1H spread
BOIS -2.5
✓ BOIS W ATS
1H total
33.5
▲ Over 41
Projected
17–16
✓ BOIS led
Model: USU by 2 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 5-5 · #13
22
1H ATS 6-4 · #20
10
1H spread
ORST -0.5
✓ WASH W ATS
1H total
33
▼ Under 32
Projected
17–17
 
Model: WASH by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 4-6 · #36
7
1H ATS 9-1 · #12
13
1H spread
MIZ -7.5
✓ FLA W ATS
1H total
29.5
▼ Under 20
Projected
11–17
✓ MIZ led
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: MIZ ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: FLA ✓ Model: FLA by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓
1H finalNon-conf · est. line
1H ATS 5-5 · #131
13
1H ATS 3-7 · #59
31
1H spread
ARK -15.5
✓ ARK W ATS
1H total
26
▲ Over 44
Projected
5–20
✓ ARK led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: FIU ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: FIU ✗ Model: FIU by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 4-6 · #44
7
1H ATS 3-7 · #47
10
1H spread
SC -1
✓ SC W ATS
1H total
27
▼ Under 17
Projected
13–15
✓ SC led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: UK ✗ Model: SC by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 4-6 · #62
14
1H ATS 3-7 · #42
10
1H spread
WIS -4
✓ NEB W ATS
1H total
19
▲ Over 24
Projected
8–12
✗ WIS did not lead
Trend: 1st-half under teams: Under ✗ Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: NEB ✓ Trend: Fast starter edge: NEB ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 5-5 · #8
6
1H ATS 6-4 · #35
3
1H spread
TEX -4
✓ ISU W ATS
1H total
23
▼ Under 9
Projected
15–9
✓ TEX led
Model: TEX by 2 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗
1H finalNon-conf · est. line
1H ATS 6-4 · #91
14
LSU
1H ATS 5-5 · #10
35
1H spread
LSU -19
✓ LSU W ATS
1H total
38.5
▲ Over 49
Projected
10–27
✓ LSU led
Trend: Fast starter edge: GAST ✗ Model: GAST by 2 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 3-7 · #82
3
1H ATS 6-4 · #53
17
1H spread
GT -3.5
✓ GT W ATS
1H total
27
▼ Under 20
Projected
13–16
✓ GT led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: GT ✓ Model: SYR by 1 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 5-5 · #117
12
1H ATS 3-7 · #71
14
1H spread
FRES -13
✓ UNM W ATS
1H total
30
▼ Under 26
Projected
9–20
✓ FRES led
Trend: Fade a cold 1st-half team: UNM ✓ Trend: Fast starter edge: UNM ✓ Model: UNM by 2 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓
1H finalConf · est. line
1H ATS 4-6 · #112
10
1H ATS 7-3 · #60
10
1H spread
SJSU -9.5
✓ SDSU W ATS
1H total
25
▼ Under 20
Projected
9–18
 
Trend: Hot 1st-half cover team: SJSU ✗ Trend: Fast starter edge: SDSU ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗
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StatusMatchup1H spreadMove1H totalModelTrendDetails
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1H ATS: the team's 1st-half margin plus its 1st-half line. Away team listed first. Spread edge = the model's 1st-half line minus the 1H spread (Total edge: the model's 1H total minus the 1H total), in points; a lean starts at 2 pts (3 on the total) and is context only. Projections use only games played before that week. Trends use each team's 1st halves earlier this season; dot = backtest status ( proven edge, above break-even but not proven, no edge). est. lines are estimated from the full-game line.
1H ATS leans (backtest)
1117-1157 (49.1%)
No edge 2016–26 · break-even 52.4%
1H O/U leans (backtest)
313-299 (51.1%)
No edge 3+ pt edges
Halftime leader picked
69.7%
7,953 games, walk-forward
This week
27-34 fav 1H ATS
O/U 30-34 · leans 7-7 ATS, 1-2 O/U

2023 team 1st-half records

Against the 1st-half line (real or estimated), halftime over/under and halftime leads
TeamGP1H ATSCover %1H O-ULed-trailed1H PF1H PA1H margin
Missouri State 1 1-0 100% 0-1 0-1 10.0 17.0 -7.0
Sacramento State 1 1-0 100% 0-1 1-0 17.0 14.0 +3.0
Kennesaw State 1 1-0 100% 1-0 1-0 21.0 7.0 +14.0
Missouri 13 10-3 76.9% 3-8-1 11-1-1 16.2 7.8 +8.4
West Virginia 13 10-3 76.9% 8-4 9-4 17.9 12.1 +5.8
Miami (OH) 14 9-3-2 75% 6-5-1 11-3 13.6 8.6 +4.9
Old Dominion 13 9-3 75% 6-5 6-5-2 11.3 12.6 -1.3
Northwestern 13 9-3-1 75% 4-9 6-4-3 10.4 9.6 +0.8
Liberty 14 10-4 71.4% 9-2-1 10-1-3 22.4 13.1 +9.3
Boise State 14 10-4 71.4% 6-5-1 10-3-1 18.6 13.0 +5.6
Miami 13 9-4 69.2% 7-4 8-3-2 15.4 9.2 +6.2
Georgia Tech 13 9-4 69.2% 5-6 5-7-1 15.8 13.0 +2.8
Bowling Green 13 9-4 69.2% 8-2-1 9-4 15.8 12.2 +3.7
Kansas State 13 9-4 69.2% 9-3 9-4 20.7 11.9 +8.8
Texas State 13 9-4 69.2% 7-5 9-3-1 22.2 15.5 +6.6
Western Michigan 12 8-4 66.7% 8-4 5-7 12.7 16.3 -3.7
UConn 12 8-4 66.7% 4-6 5-7 9.8 14.8 -5.1
East Carolina 12 8-4 66.7% 3-9 4-6-2 11.7 12.6 -0.9
Washington State 12 8-4 66.7% 6-5 7-4-1 20.5 12.7 +7.8
Oregon 14 9-5 64.3% 6-7-1 12-2 26.3 9.3 +17.0
UNLV 14 9-5 64.3% 8-6 8-6 17.6 14.9 +2.7
Akron 12 7-4-1 63.6% 3-6-1 4-6-2 8.8 11.9 -3.1
Army 12 7-4 63.6% 5-4 8-4 12.8 9.8 +3.1
Jacksonville State 13 8-5 61.5% 5-8 5-6-2 14.2 12.0 +2.2
San José State 13 8-5 61.5% 5-6 7-4-2 16.8 11.6 +5.2
Georgia State 13 8-5 61.5% 6-7 9-4 16.4 12.9 +3.5
NC State 13 8-5 61.5% 4-7 9-4 14.9 9.2 +5.7
Eastern Michigan 13 8-5 61.5% 7-5 5-6-2 11.4 13.7 -2.3
Kansas 13 8-5 61.5% 7-5 8-4-1 17.3 11.6 +5.7
Tennessee 13 8-5 61.5% 8-5 9-4 18.7 9.9 +8.8
Oklahoma 13 8-5 61.5% 6-5 10-1-2 24.8 12.9 +11.9
Rice 13 8-5 61.5% 6-6 7-6 16.2 13.4 +2.8
Auburn 13 8-5 61.5% 5-8 5-6-2 14.2 10.1 +4.2
South Florida 13 8-5 61.5% 7-5 5-6-2 17.8 16.8 +1.1
Georgia Southern 13 8-5 61.5% 6-6-1 7-5-1 17.0 14.5 +2.5
Texas A&M 13 8-5 61.5% 7-5 10-3 18.3 10.7 +7.6
Arizona 13 8-5 61.5% 3-9 7-5-1 16.1 10.8 +5.3
Michigan 15 9-6 60% 4-8-2 15-0 18.9 5.7 +13.3
Rutgers 13 7-5 58.3% 5-6 7-6 11.6 9.7 +1.9
UAB 12 7-5 58.3% 8-3-1 5-6-1 18.2 17.1 +1.1
Arizona State 12 7-5 58.3% 6-6 6-6 9.8 17.2 -7.4
Virginia 12 7-5 58.3% 6-6 3-7-2 10.3 14.8 -4.6
Indiana 12 7-5 58.3% 7-5 5-7 11.4 15.2 -3.8
Houston 12 7-5 58.3% 5-7 5-7 13.1 16.8 -3.8
Southern Miss 12 7-5 58.3% 7-4 4-7-1 11.6 16.9 -5.3
BYU 12 7-5 58.3% 9-2 6-5-1 14.1 15.9 -1.8
Sam Houston 12 7-5 58.3% 6-4 3-8-1 9.6 14.2 -4.6
Louisville 14 8-6 57.1% 4-8 8-5-1 15.8 9.6 +6.1
Tulane 14 8-6 57.1% 5-8 9-4-1 16.1 9.2 +6.9
New Mexico 12 6-5-1 54.5% 8-2-2 4-8 14.5 19.8 -5.3
SMU 14 7-6-1 53.8% 4-9 12-2 23.4 8.8 +14.6
Notre Dame 13 7-6 53.8% 4-7 10-2-1 17.5 6.7 +10.8
UCF 13 7-6 53.8% 4-7 6-4-3 17.6 11.5 +6.1
Ole Miss 13 7-6 53.8% 5-7 10-2-1 16.7 11.1 +5.6
Iowa State 13 7-6 53.8% 8-4 6-6-1 13.4 12.5 +0.8
Maryland 13 7-6 53.8% 9-3 6-4-3 16.6 11.8 +4.8
California 13 7-6 53.8% 7-4 7-6 16.9 18.6 -1.7
Louisiana 13 7-6 53.8% 5-8 6-4-3 15.8 12.0 +3.8
Coastal Carolina 13 7-6 53.8% 5-6-1 7-6 14.4 11.2 +3.2
Clemson 13 7-6 53.8% 6-5 10-2-1 15.8 8.3 +7.5
Washington 15 8-7 53.3% 7-7 10-3-2 22.9 13.5 +9.3
Texas 14 7-7 50% 6-7 12-1-1 19.3 8.9 +10.4
Toledo 14 7-7 50% 5-6-1 8-5-1 16.8 9.4 +7.4
James Madison 13 6-6-1 50% 5-8 11-2 16.4 8.1 +8.3
UTSA 13 6-6-1 50% 8-4 8-4-1 17.7 16.1 +1.6
Virginia Tech 13 6-6-1 50% 10-2 7-5-1 15.8 12.2 +3.6
Duke 13 6-6-1 50% 5-7 6-4-3 13.1 9.1 +4.0
San Diego State 12 6-6 50% 6-5 5-5-2 10.0 12.9 -2.9
Wake Forest 12 6-6 50% 5-6 2-8-2 9.1 15.2 -6.1
Florida 12 6-6 50% 5-5 6-5-1 15.0 13.5 +1.5
Tulsa 12 6-6 50% 7-4 4-7-1 13.6 19.7 -6.1
Michigan State 12 5-5-2 50% 5-5-1 4-7-1 7.4 15.2 -7.8
Stanford 12 6-6 50% 5-7 2-10 8.3 20.9 -12.7
Colorado 12 6-6 50% 6-5 4-8 12.6 17.8 -5.3
Pittsburgh 12 6-6 50% 5-6-1 3-7-2 10.5 12.8 -2.3
Middle Tennessee 12 6-6 50% 6-5 7-4-1 15.1 13.4 +1.7
New Mexico State 15 7-8 46.7% 5-8-1 7-4-4 14.5 11.5 +2.9
Utah 13 6-7 46.2% 7-5 7-5-1 12.1 10.8 +1.2
Arkansas State 13 6-7 46.2% 5-6 6-7 12.5 17.8 -5.4
Kentucky 13 6-7 46.2% 8-4 6-6-1 14.2 12.8 +1.5
Boston College 13 6-7 46.2% 6-6 5-8 10.7 16.2 -5.5
Air Force 13 6-7 46.2% 9-3-1 7-5-1 15.2 11.2 +4.1
Ohio State 13 6-7 46.2% 3-8-1 10-2-1 15.5 5.0 +10.5
Memphis 13 6-7 46.2% 9-3-1 7-4-2 20.6 13.6 +7.0
South Alabama 13 6-7 46.2% 5-6 7-5-1 16.9 11.0 +5.9
Wyoming 13 6-7 46.2% 5-5-1 7-6 15.0 10.8 +4.2
Texas Tech 13 6-7 46.2% 5-6 7-5-1 15.8 13.4 +2.4
Oregon State 13 6-7 46.2% 4-7 8-4-1 16.2 10.8 +5.4
LSU 13 6-7 46.2% 7-4 7-5-1 22.8 14.9 +7.9
Iowa 14 5-6-1 45.5% 3-7-1 9-4-1 7.6 6.1 +1.5
Utah State 13 5-6-2 45.5% 8-5 3-7-3 15.2 19.7 -4.5
Nebraska 12 5-6 45.5% 3-6 5-5-2 7.8 8.7 -0.9
Charlotte 12 5-6-1 45.5% 4-8 4-7-1 7.8 12.6 -4.8
Nevada 12 5-6-1 45.5% 4-7 3-8-1 8.8 15.5 -6.7
Colorado State 12 5-6-1 45.5% 6-6 5-5-2 12.5 12.7 -0.2
App State 14 6-8 42.9% 5-9 7-5-2 15.0 12.6 +2.4
Georgia 14 6-8 42.9% 8-5 10-2-2 21.8 9.0 +12.8
Troy 14 6-8 42.9% 3-10 9-5 13.4 9.0 +4.4
Alabama 14 6-8 42.9% 7-5 7-5-2 17.4 10.4 +7.0
UTEP 12 5-7 41.7% 5-7 2-7-3 10.6 14.8 -4.2
Florida International 12 5-7 41.7% 8-2 3-7-2 11.5 19.5 -8.0
Kent State 12 5-7 41.7% 4-6 3-9 8.5 16.8 -8.3
Central Michigan 12 5-7 41.7% 5-5 3-8-1 10.6 13.6 -3.0
Cincinnati 12 5-7 41.7% 7-5 3-9 13.1 14.1 -1.0
Florida Atlantic 12 5-7 41.7% 6-5 5-7 12.1 15.1 -3.0
Ohio 13 5-8 38.5% 2-9 7-5-1 11.5 5.7 +5.8
USC 13 5-8 38.5% 8-3 6-6-1 22.4 16.8 +5.5
Hawai'i 13 5-8 38.5% 7-6 3-9-1 9.4 18.8 -9.4
Northern Illinois 13 5-8 38.5% 3-9 4-7-2 10.3 10.6 -0.3
Western Kentucky 13 5-8 38.5% 6-5 7-5-1 17.9 14.5 +3.5
Penn State 13 5-8 38.5% 4-7-1 9-3-1 15.8 7.8 +8.0
Ball State 12 4-7-1 36.4% 4-6-1 3-7-2 7.7 14.1 -6.4
Purdue 12 4-7-1 36.4% 3-7 3-8-1 9.8 16.1 -6.3
North Texas 12 4-7-1 36.4% 8-2 4-7-1 16.8 21.1 -4.3
Minnesota 13 4-8-1 33.3% 6-5 5-7-1 11.1 13.1 -2.0
Louisiana Tech 12 4-8 33.3% 4-5 3-8-1 11.7 20.4 -8.8
Arkansas 12 4-8 33.3% 6-5 5-6-1 13.3 14.9 -1.7
Buffalo 12 4-8 33.3% 5-6 4-8 9.1 14.4 -5.3
Mississippi State 12 4-8 33.3% 6-6 5-7 10.3 15.7 -5.3
UL Monroe 12 4-8 33.3% 4-6 1-10-1 9.1 18.5 -9.4
South Carolina 12 4-8 33.3% 6-6 6-6 13.9 14.8 -0.9
Fresno State 13 4-9 30.8% 4-7 7-5-1 15.1 12.2 +2.9
Wisconsin 13 4-9 30.8% 6-6 4-7-2 10.2 12.2 -1.9
Syracuse 13 4-9 30.8% 6-5-1 4-9 11.5 15.4 -3.8
North Carolina 13 4-9 30.8% 7-5 8-4-1 17.7 14.2 +3.5
UCLA 13 4-9 30.8% 4-7 6-7 13.0 10.2 +2.8
Navy 12 3-7-1 30% 3-6 4-6-2 7.7 13.9 -6.3
Oklahoma State 14 4-10 28.6% 7-6 5-9 13.4 17.1 -3.8
Florida State 14 4-10 28.6% 7-5 8-5-1 15.9 12.2 +3.7
Marshall 13 3-8-2 27.3% 7-5 3-9-1 12.0 16.3 -4.3
Massachusetts 12 3-9 25% 5-6 3-8-1 9.1 20.9 -11.8
Temple 12 3-9 25% 4-6 3-9 10.8 18.3 -7.5
Baylor 12 3-9 25% 5-5 3-9 9.8 18.8 -8.9
Illinois 12 3-9 25% 8-2 3-8-1 12.8 16.2 -3.4
TCU 12 2-9-1 18.2% 4-6 6-6 14.8 16.7 -1.9
Vanderbilt 12 1-11 8.3% 6-5 2-10 9.3 19.5 -10.2
Delaware 1 0-1 0% 1-0 0-1 7.0 35.0 -28.0

How it works

Halftime scores come from ESPN quarter scores (Q1 + Q2) for every game since 2015.

1st-half lines. ESPN publishes no college 1st-half lines. Real ones come from The Odds API’s US books (DraftKings first) for games kicking off within about five days (the biggest matchups first, a capped number a day), pulled once, so a line shows the time it was fetched; every other game, and every past college game, is estimated from the full-game closing line (spread × 0.59, total × 0.52, rounded to the half point: the share of the margin and points college teams score before halftime). A real line shows its book; an estimated one is marked “est.”

Projection. The full-game model's margin and total, scaled the same way. The blend was chosen by the lowest walk-forward error.

Spread edge and Total edge. The model’s 1st-half line (total) minus the market’s, in points. A lean starts when the projection beats the 1H line by 2–6 pts (ATS) or 3+ pts (O/U). Shown for context: neither has a proven edge.

Picks and prices. For a game with a posted 1st-half line, tap Pick on its tile to save a 1H spread or total pick (graded on the halftime score; they show in My picks). The game card’s Market tab lists every book’s 1st-half price.

NCAAF first-half betting FAQ

First-half lines, 1H ATS and halftime totals explained

What is a first-half spread in the NCAAF?

A first-half (1H) spread is a point spread graded on the score at halftime only. A team covers the 1st-half spread when its 1st-half margin plus its 1st-half line is positive; the 2nd half and overtime don't count.

How are NCAAF first-half lines set here?

ESPN publishes no college 1st-half lines. Real ones come from The Odds API’s US books (DraftKings first) for games kicking off within about five days (the biggest matchups first, a capped number a day), pulled once, so a line shows the time it was fetched; every other game, and every past college game, is estimated from the full-game closing line (spread × 0.59, total × 0.52, rounded to the half point: the share of the margin and points college teams score before halftime).

How is the 1st-half projection made?

The full-game power-rating model's margin and total are scaled to the first half. Every past week is predicted only from games played before it.

Do the 1st-half leans beat the market?

Not so far. Over 2016–26, 1st-half ATS leans went 1117-1157 (49.1%) and over/under leans 313-299 (51.1%), below or near the 52.4% needed to break even at -110 odds, so they are shown as context only.

How often does the model pick the team leading at halftime?

69.7% of 7,953 NCAAF games in the 2016–26 walk-forward backtest.