Syracuse @ Georgia Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2023)

Sat, Nov 18, 2023, 8:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Georgia Tech · Conference game

Weather at kickoff57°F8 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Syracuse

5-5 · Power #82

final

Final

Georgia Tech

5-5 · Power #53

▲ winner

Closing spread

GT -6

✓ GT W

Total

51.5

▲ Over · 53 pts

Model before kickoff

SYR 26–31 GT

✓ GT (66%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseGT -6

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseGT -6

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close51.5

Line context

Home favorites of 5–7 since 2023: won 69%, covered 52% (51 games)ⓘ

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseGT -6

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like GT as a 6-point home favorite against SYR, the favorite won 6, covered 6, and 6 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: GT won 31–22; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 53 points went over 51.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 64%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.3 against an average line of 5.8; 53.3 points a game (usually 53.8). Of the 2 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	USU vs WYO 2021 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & total	-5.75	17–44	L	O52
Very close	OKST vs CIN 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & season form	-7.5	45–13	W	O53
Very close	UVA vs BC 2020 · Week 14 · very close · similar situation & rest	-6.5	43–32	W	O54
Very close	MIA vs VT 2021 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & situation	-7	38–26	W	O55.5
Very close	GAST vs TROY 2021 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-6.5	37–10	W	U49.5
Very close	SYR vs BC 2021 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & rest	-6.5	21–6	W	U51.5
Very close	WKU vs NMSU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & rest	-5	29–38	L	O54.5
Very close	ORST vs WSU 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar total & rest	-3	24–10	W	U51.5
Very close	UNC vs NCST 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & situation	-6.5	27–30	L	O56
Very close	GT vs VT 2021 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & season form	-3.5	17–26	L	U55.25

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SYR LLLLW	4-5-1	44%	1-3	1-5
GT WLWWL	5-5	50%	1-3	0-3

Venue/role: SYR away, as underdog; GT home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SYR –UOUO	3-6	33%	5-5
GT –OOOO	7-1	88%	5-5

Went over in Q4. Of 174 earlier overs in games with totals 47.5–55.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SYR	5-5 50%	4-5-1 44%	3-6 33%
GT	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	7-1 88%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SYR+6.3 →−0.7▼ 7.0#68

GT−2.1 →+1.0▲ 3.1#55

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

SYR

Longer bar = better

#88

Offense

GT better ▶

#36

#45

Defense

◀ SYR better

#120

+0.1 #58

Turnovers

Even

+0.1 #57

65 plays #94

Pace

GT faster ▶

68 plays #53

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SYR has the ball

Advantage: SYR offense

	SYR off	GT def	Edge
Points / game	24.9 #83	31.3 #111	SYR
Yards / play	5.53 #82	6.34 #121	SYR
PPA / play	+0.08 #87	+0.21 #121	SYR
Success rate	40% #98	47% #126	SYR

When GT has the ball

Even matchup

	GT off	SYR def	Edge
Points / game	32.0 #38	22.3 #48	Even
Yards / play	6.50 #23	5.15 #34	Even
PPA / play	+0.22 #29	+0.04 #35	Even
Success rate	44% #52	42% #63	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

SYR scoring against the GT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SYR scored	6.8 #52	6.5 #94	13.3 #79	7.2 #45	4.4 #121	11.6 #85
GT allowed	5.7 #78	7.1 #61	12.8 #66	7.9 #116	10.6 #132	18.5 #132

GT scoring against the SYR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GT scored	5.2 #85	10.6 #26	15.8 #47	6.4 #63	9.8 #13	16.2 #27
SYR allowed	6.4 #92	7.8 #75	14.2 #88	3.2 #13	4.9 #31	8.1 #17

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.