Georgia @ Georgia Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2023)

Sat, Nov 25, 2023, 7:30 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Georgia Tech

Weather at kickoff50°F9 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Georgia

11-0 · Power #1

▲ winner

Final

Georgia Tech

6-5 · Power #53

final

Closing spread

UGA -24.5

✓ GT W

Total

59.5

▼ Under · 54 pts

Model before kickoff

UGA 42–18 GT

✓ UGA (95%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseUGA -24.5

Total59.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseUGA -24.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close59.5

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseUGA -24.5

Total59.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UGA as a 24.5-point road favorite at GT, the favorite won 9, covered 2, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: UGA won 31–23; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 8 of the 10 similar games. 54 points stayed under 59.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 90%

Favorite covered

2 of 1020%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 54%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 16.2 against an average line of 24.3; 62.2 points a game (usually 55.7). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MICH @ IU 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & spread	-23.5	31–10	L	U57.5
Very close	TEX @ HOU 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & spread	-23.5	31–24	L	U60.5
Very close	OU @ BYU 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & rest	-24.5	31–24	L	U58.5
Close	OSU @ MD 2022 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & season form	-26.25	43–30	L	O62.5
Close	CIN @ USF 2021 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & total	-24	45–28	L	O58.5
Close	CLEM @ VT 2020 · Week 14 · close · similar spread & season form	-23.5	45–10	W	U67
Close	TENN @ SC 2022 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & situation	-22.5	38–63	L	O67
Close	CLEM @ GT 2020 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & season form	-26.5	73–7	W	O64.5
Close	CIN @ TULN 2021 · Week 9 · close · similar total & rest	-28	31–12	L	U61.5
Close	ALA @ AUB 2021 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & season form	-20.5	24–22	L	U57

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UGA LWLWW	4-6-1	40%	1-2	4-6-1
GT LWWLW	6-5	55%	2-3	4-2

Venue/role: UGA away, as favorite; GT home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UGA OOUOU	5-5	50%	11-0
GT OOOOO	8-1	89%	6-5

Stayed under: it needed 16 in the 4th quarter and got 10. 44% of games with totals 55.5–63.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UGA	10-0 100%	4-5-1 44%	5-4 56%
GT	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	8-1 89%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

UGA 69–40 GT (5 tied) UGA leads · 114 games since 1902 · UGA has won the last 8 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UGA+6.4 →+21.7▲ 15.3#3

GT−2.1 →+1.5▲ 3.6#57

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

UGA

Longer bar = better

Offense

◀ UGA better

#38

#14

Defense

◀ UGA better

#115

+0.2 #48

Turnovers

Even

+0.1 #53

69 plays #40

Pace

◀ UGA faster

67 plays #61

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UGA has the ball

Advantage: UGA offense

	UGA off	GT def	Edge
Points / game	40.4 #6	30.5 #106	UGA
Yards / play	7.23 #5	6.20 #118	UGA
PPA / play	+0.37 #3	+0.19 #111	UGA
Success rate	52% #6	46% #126	UGA

When GT has the ball

Advantage: UGA defense

	GT off	UGA def	Edge
Points / game	31.9 #38	15.1 #5	UGA
Yards / play	6.47 #30	4.75 #13	Even
PPA / play	+0.21 #37	+0.01 #20	Even
Success rate	44% #48	36% #16	UGA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

UGA scoring against the GT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UGA scored	6.8 #47	14.5 #1	21.4 #9	11.3 #2	7.7 #44	19.0 #5
GT allowed	5.5 #75	6.5 #42	11.9 #48	8.4 #119	10.2 #130	18.5 #130

GT scoring against the UGA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GT scored	5.4 #82	10.5 #26	15.9 #48	6.5 #64	9.5 #15	16.0 #31
UGA allowed	4.7 #48	3.7 #8	8.5 #13	1.5 #2	5.2 #36	6.6 #6

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.