Georgia vs Alabama: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2023)

Sat, Dec 2, 2023, 4:00 PM ESTWeek 14 · Neutral site

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Georgia

12-0 · Power #1

final

Final

Alabama

11-1 · Power #7

▲ winner

Closing spread

UGA -5.5

✓ ALA W

Total

53.5

▼ Under · 51 pts

Model before kickoff

UGA 29–23 ALA

✗ UGA (64%) lost

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseUGA -5.5

Total53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseUGA -5.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close53.5

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseUGA -5.5

Total53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UGA as a 5.5-point neutral-site favorite against ALA, the favorite won 6, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: ALA won 27–24 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 51 points stayed under 53.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 62%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 4 against an average line of 5.5; 57.6 points a game (usually 53.7). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TA&M vs ARK 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar total & rest	-6.5	34–22	W	O54
Close	OU vs ISU 2020 · Week 16 · close · similar spread & situation	-5.5	27–21	W	U59.5
Close	UGA vs ALA 2021 · Postseason · close · similar total & situation	-3	33–18	W	U53
Close	UGA vs ALA 2021 · Week 14 · close · similar situation & rest	-6.25	24–41	L	O48.75
Close	UTAH vs ORE 2021 · Week 14 · close · similar situation & rest	-3	38–10	W	U57.5
Close	ALA vs KSU 2022 · Postseason · close · similar situation & season form	-7.5	45–20	W	O58
Close	UGA vs CIN 2020 · Postseason · close · similar total & situation	-7.5	24–21	L	U53
Close	MICH vs TCU 2022 · Postseason · close · similar total & situation	-8	45–51	L	O56
Close	UGA vs FLA 2020 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & total	-3	28–44	L	O54.5
Close	TA&M vs ARK 2021 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & spread	-4.5	10–20	L	U47

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
UGA WLWWL	4-7-1	36%	1-0	4-7-1
ALA WWWWL	8-4	67%	—	—

Venue/role: UGA neutral, as favorite; ALA neutral, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UGA OUOUU	5-6	45%	12-0
ALA OOOOO	8-2	80%	11-1

Stayed under: it needed 24 in the 4th quarter and got 21. 56% of games with totals 49.5–57.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UGA	10-0 100%	4-6 40%	5-4 56%
ALA	10-0 100%	7-3 70%	7-2 78%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

UGA 27–45 ALA (3 tied) ALA leads · 75 games since 1902 · UGA has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UGA+6.4 →+21.2▲ 14.8#4

ALA+13.1 →+17.8▲ 4.7#9

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

UGA

Longer bar = better

ALA

Offense

◀ UGA better

#25

#17

Defense

Even

#15

0.0 #72

Turnovers

ALA better ▶

+0.6 #24

69 plays #47

Pace

◀ UGA faster

63 plays #109

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UGA has the ball

Even matchup

	UGA off	ALA def	Edge
Points / game	39.6 #8	17.9 #15	Even
Yards / play	7.25 #5	4.91 #20	Even
PPA / play	+0.36 #3	+0.01 #17	Even
Success rate	52% #5	35% #8	Even

When ALA has the ball

Even matchup

	ALA off	UGA def	Edge
Points / game	35.8 #18	15.8 #6	Even
Yards / play	6.49 #28	4.83 #13	Even
PPA / play	+0.28 #14	+0.03 #25	Even
Success rate	45% #41	38% #24	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

UGA scoring against the ALA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UGA scored	6.8 #47	14.5 #1	21.3 #9	11.2 #2	7.1 #60	18.3 #8
ALA allowed	4.7 #46	5.8 #30	10.4 #27	4.0 #26	3.5 #5	7.5 #10

ALA scoring against the UGA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ALA scored	8.7 #18	9.3 #47	18.0 #25	9.8 #6	8.0 #35	17.8 #11
UGA allowed	5.2 #59	3.7 #6	8.8 #17	1.3 #2	5.6 #40	6.9 #6

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.