Oregon vs Washington: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2023)

Fri, Dec 1, 2023, 8:00 PM ESTWeek 14 · Neutral site

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Oregon

11-1 · Power #2

final

Final

Washington

12-0 · Power #13

▲ winner

Closing spread

ORE -10

✓ WASH W

Total

Push · 65 pts

Model before kickoff

ORE 38–28 WASH

✗ ORE (76%) lost

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseORE -10

Total65

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseORE -10

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close65

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseORE -10

Total65

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ORE as a 10-point neutral-site favorite against WASH, the favorite won 8, covered 7, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: WASH won 34–31 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 65 points landed on 65, as in 0 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 75%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 21 against an average line of 8.9; 66.2 points a game (usually 54.9). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	UGA vs TCU 2022 · Postseason · close · similar total	-13.5	65–7	W	O61.75
Close	TEX vs OU 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar total & rest	-7.5	49–0	W	U65.25
Close	FSU vs OU 2022 · Postseason · close · similar spread & total	-10.5	35–32	L	O66.75
Close	OU vs FLA 2020 · Postseason · close · similar total & situation	-7.5	55–20	W	O65
Loose	CLEM vs ND 2020 · Week 16 · loose · similar spread & situation	-11	34–10	W	U58.5
Loose	TA&M vs UNC 2020 · Postseason · loose · similar total & spread	-9.5	41–27	W	O65.5
Loose	MICH vs TCU 2022 · Postseason · loose · similar situation & season form	-8	45–51	L	O56
Loose	CLEM vs UNC 2022 · Week 14 · loose · similar total & rest	-7.25	39–10	W	U64
Loose	ALA vs KSU 2022 · Postseason · loose · similar situation	-7.5	45–20	W	O58
Loose	CLEM vs OSU 2020 · Postseason · loose · similar situation	-7	28–49	L	O68.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
ORE WWLWW	10-2	83%	—	9-2
WASH LWLWL	5-6-1	45%	—	1-0

Venue/role: ORE neutral, as favorite; WASH neutral, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ORE UOUOU	5-7	42%	11-1
WASH OOOUU	5-6	45%	12-0

In 93 games with totals 61–69, 44% went over; 5% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 27% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ORE	9-1 90%	8-2 80%	4-6 40%
WASH	10-0 100%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ORE 0–1 WASH WASH leads · 1 game since 2023 · WASH has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 14 2023	Oregon 33 @ Washington 36	WASH -3.5	ORE W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ORE+8.3 →+23.3▲ 15.0#1

WASH+9.9 →+14.1▲ 4.2#13

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

ORE

Longer bar = better

WASH

Offense

Even

#13

Defense

◀ ORE better

#63

+0.8 #17

Turnovers

◀ ORE better

+0.1 #54

69 plays #43

Pace

◀ ORE faster

64 plays #102

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ORE has the ball

Advantage: ORE offense

	ORE off	WASH def	Edge
Points / game	45.3 #2	23.0 #48	ORE
Yards / play	7.86 #2	5.48 #59	ORE
PPA / play	+0.48 #2	+0.07 #47	ORE
Success rate	58% #1	44% #98	ORE

When WASH has the ball

Even matchup

	WASH off	ORE def	Edge
Points / game	38.0 #11	15.9 #7	Even
Yards / play	7.33 #3	4.83 #14	Even
PPA / play	+0.33 #6	−0.01 #14	Even
Success rate	53% #4	36% #16	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

ORE scoring against the WASH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ORE scored	12.8 #2	14.4 #2	27.3 #1	9.3 #9	8.7 #22	18.0 #10
WASH allowed	4.8 #51	8.1 #81	12.9 #66	5.3 #55	4.8 #26	10.1 #30

WASH scoring against the ORE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WASH scored	10.0 #10	14.3 #3	24.3 #4	6.7 #61	7.0 #64	13.7 #56
ORE allowed	4.5 #37	4.2 #10	8.7 #13	2.8 #7	4.5 #19	7.3 #9

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.