Clemson @ South Carolina: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2023)

Sat, Nov 25, 2023, 7:30 PM ESTWeek 13 · at South Carolina

Weather at kickoff47°F5 mphgusts 10DryWeather watch ›

Clemson

7-4 · Power #19

▲ winner

Final

South Carolina

5-6 · Power #47

final

Closing spread

CLEM -7.5

✓ CLEM W

Total

47.5

▼ Under · 23 pts

Model before kickoff

CLEM 29–22 SC

✓ CLEM (69%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseCLEM -7.5

Total47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseCLEM -7.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close47.5

Line context

Road favorites of 6.5–8.5 since 2023: won 71%, covered 58% (51 games)ⓘ

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseCLEM -7.5

Total47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CLEM as a 7.5-point road favorite at SC, the favorite won 5, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: CLEM won 16–7; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 23 points stayed under 47.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.6 against an average line of 6.6; 49 points a game (usually 53.8). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TA&M @ LSU 2021 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total	-6.25	24–27	L	O46.75
Very close	ISU @ WVU 2021 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7.5	31–38	L	O49
Very close	AUB @ SC 2021 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7	17–21	L	U45.25
Very close	OKST @ BAY 2020 · Week 15 · very close · similar rest & total	-6	42–3	W	U49
Very close	MIA @ NCSU 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & spread	-6	6–20	L	U44
Very close	WISC @ MSU 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7	28–34	L	O49.5
Very close	TA&M @ AUB 2020 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & total	-6	31–20	W	O48.5
Very close	ORE @ WASH 2021 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & rest	-7	26–16	W	U48
Very close	FSU @ SYR 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7	38–3	W	U51.25
Very close	ASU @ WASH 2021 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & season form	-6	35–30	L	O45.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CLEM LLWWW	5-6	45%	1-3	4-5
SC LWLWW	6-5	55%	4-2	2-3

Venue/role: CLEM away, as favorite; SC home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CLEM OUOOU	5-4	56%	7-4
SC UUOUU	5-6	45%	5-6

Stayed under: it needed 25 in the 4th quarter and got 0. 55% of games with totals 43.5–51.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CLEM	7-3 70%	5-5 50%	5-4 56%
SC	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CLEM−4.1 →+11.1▲ 15.2#20

SC−1.6 →+4.1▲ 5.7#41

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

CLEM

Longer bar = better

#66

Offense

Even

#60

#13

Defense

◀ CLEM better

#75

+0.2 #49

Turnovers

SC better ▶

+0.5 #31

77 plays #2

Pace

◀ CLEM faster

66 plays #76

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CLEM has the ball

Even matchup

	CLEM off	SC def	Edge
Points / game	30.4 #47	27.3 #79	CLEM
Yards / play	5.38 #86	5.69 #77	Even
PPA / play	+0.06 #96	+0.10 #72	SC
Success rate	46% #34	42% #72	CLEM

When SC has the ball

Advantage: CLEM defense

	SC off	CLEM def	Edge
Points / game	27.7 #67	21.1 #33	CLEM
Yards / play	5.78 #65	4.60 #9	CLEM
PPA / play	+0.18 #49	−0.06 #8	CLEM
Success rate	43% #57	33% #3	CLEM

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

CLEM scoring against the SC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLEM scored	5.5 #75	11.1 #21	16.6 #38	7.8 #33	5.6 #100	13.5 #59
SC allowed	5.6 #79	9.4 #102	15.0 #94	6.5 #94	5.7 #45	12.3 #66

SC scoring against the CLEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SC scored	8.1 #24	6.5 #93	14.5 #67	5.5 #82	7.7 #44	13.2 #62
CLEM allowed	5.3 #65	2.6 #1	7.9 #9	5.0 #48	6.5 #70	11.5 #53

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.