Georgia Tech @ Clemson: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2023)

Sat, Nov 11, 2023, 12:00 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Clemson · Conference game

Weather at kickoff50°F8 mphgusts 16DryWeather watch ›

Georgia Tech

5-4 · Power #53

final

Final

Clemson

5-4 · Power #19

▲ winner

Closing spread

CLEM -14.5

✓ CLEM W

Total

54.5

▲ Over · 63 pts

Model before kickoff

GT 21–35 CLEM

✓ CLEM (84%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseCLEM -14.5

Total54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseCLEM -14.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close54.5

Line context

Home favorites of 12.5–16.5 since 2023: won 89%, covered 43% (54 games)ⓘ

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseCLEM -14.5

Total54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CLEM as a 14.5-point home favorite against GT, the favorite won 9, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: CLEM won 42–21; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 63 points went over 54.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 83%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 16.9 against an average line of 14.1; 53.9 points a game (usually 55.7). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	CLEM vs SC 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-14	30–31	L	O53
Very close	BAY vs TTU 2021 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-14	27–24	L	U51.5
Very close	JMU vs CCU 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & situation	-15.5	47–7	W	O53
Very close	PUR vs NEB 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & rest	-14	43–37	L	O56
Very close	MIAMI vs UVA 2020 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & rest	-13.5	19–14	L	U54
Very close	ASU vs STAN 2021 · Week 6 · very close · similar total & spread	-13.5	28–10	W	U53.5
Very close	OKST vs TCU 2021 · Week 11 · very close · similar total & rest	-11	63–17	W	O54
Very close	PSU vs ILL 2020 · Week 16 · very close · similar rest & situation	-16	56–21	W	O53.5
Very close	UL vs GAST 2021 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & situation	-13.5	21–17	L	U53.5
Very close	TA&M vs LSU 2020 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & situation	-15.5	20–7	L	U60.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
GT LWLWW	5-4	56%	3-1	4-1
CLEM WLLLW	3-6	33%	2-3	2-5

Venue/role: GT away, as underdog; CLEM home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
GT O–OOO	6-1	86%	5-4
CLEM U–OUO	4-3	57%	5-4

Went over in Q4. Of 114 earlier overs in games with totals 50.5–58.5, 31% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
GTlast 9	5-4 56%	5-4 56%	6-1 86%
CLEMlast 9	5-4 56%	3-6 33%	4-3 57%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

GT−2.1 →+2.0▲ 4.1#53

CLEM−4.1 →+10.2▲ 14.3#21

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

Longer bar = better

CLEM

#27

Offense

◀ GT better

#71

#122

Defense

CLEM better ▶

#15

+0.4 #34

Turnovers

◀ GT better

−0.2 #91

69 plays #51

Pace

CLEM faster ▶

75 plays #9

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When GT has the ball

Even matchup

	GT off	CLEM def	Edge
Points / game	33.2 #28	21.2 #37	Even
Yards / play	6.78 #15	4.43 #9	Even
PPA / play	+0.24 #24	−0.05 #11	Even
Success rate	45% #39	33% #4	CLEM

When CLEM has the ball

Advantage: CLEM offense

	CLEM off	GT def	Edge
Points / game	29.0 #59	30.1 #106	CLEM
Yards / play	5.36 #90	6.42 #129	CLEM
PPA / play	+0.04 #105	+0.21 #123	Even
Success rate	46% #29	47% #128	CLEM

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

GT scoring against the CLEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GT scored	5.0 #87	11.8 #16	16.8 #36	7.1 #44	9.3 #18	16.4 #27
CLEM allowed	4.9 #56	3.2 #5	8.1 #13	5.3 #58	5.8 #57	11.1 #52

CLEM scoring against the GT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLEM scored	6.8 #49	9.7 #38	16.4 #41	7.2 #42	5.0 #108	12.2 #80
GT allowed	6.3 #94	5.6 #24	11.9 #56	8.0 #117	10.2 #130	18.2 #131

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.