Colorado @ Washington State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2023)

Fri, Nov 17, 2023, 10:30 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Washington State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff37°F5 mphDryCold Over 50% of 115 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Colorado

4-6 · Power #72

final

Final

Washington State

4-6 · Power #46

▲ winner

Closing spread

WSU -3.5

✓ WSU W

Total

59.5

▲ Over · 70 pts

Model before kickoff

COLO 30–34 WSU

✓ WSU (60%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseWSU -3.5

Total59.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseWSU -3.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close59.5

Line context

Home favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 57%, covered 46% (90 games)ⓘ

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseWSU -3.5

Total59.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WSU as a 3.5-point home favorite against COLO, the favorite won 4, covered 3, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: WSU won 56–14; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 70 points went over 59.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 0.7 against an average line of 3.6; 56.5 points a game (usually 54.2). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MEM vs ECU 2021 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & spread	-4	29–30	L	O58.75
Very close	OKST vs WVU 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & situation	-5.5	19–24	L	U59.75
Very close	CAL vs WSU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar total & situation	-1.5	42–39	W	O59
Very close	GAST vs APP 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	14–42	L	U62.5
Very close	MEM vs TULN 2021 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & season form	-5.5	33–28	L	O58
Very close	BAY vs HOU 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & spread	-2.5	24–25	L	U58.5
Very close	KSU vs TCU 2021 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & total	-3.5	31–12	W	U58.5
Very close	MIA vs UVA 2021 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3.5	28–30	L	U63.5
Very close	TLSA vs MEM 2021 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & total	-3	35–29	W	O60.5
Very close	APP vs CCU 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar total & spread	-4.5	24–27	L	U59

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
COLO PLWWW	6-3-1	67%	2-1-1	5-1
WSU LWLLL	4-6	40%	2-3	1-4

Venue/role: COLO away, as underdog; WSU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
COLO UOUUO	4-5	44%	4-6
WSU UOOUO	6-3	67%	4-6

Went over in Q3. Of 85 earlier overs in games with totals 55.5–63.5, 25% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
COLO	4-6 40%	6-3-1 67%	4-5 44%
WSU	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	6-3 67%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

COLO+3.1 →−0.1▼ 3.2#64

WSU+5.5 →+0.9▼ 4.6#57

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

COLO

Longer bar = better

WSU

#60

Offense

Even

#55

#121

Defense

WSU better ▶

#87

+1.1 #5

Turnovers

◀ COLO better

−0.6 #122

72 plays #19

Pace

Even

71 plays #31

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When COLO has the ball

Advantage: COLO offense

	COLO off	WSU def	Edge
Points / game	30.7 #45	29.9 #105	COLO
Yards / play	5.33 #90	5.93 #99	Even
PPA / play	+0.19 #42	+0.12 #80	COLO
Success rate	43% #62	42% #63	Even

When WSU has the ball

Advantage: WSU offense

	WSU off	COLO def	Edge
Points / game	30.3 #46	33.9 #122	WSU
Yards / play	5.92 #55	6.27 #120	WSU
PPA / play	+0.09 #82	+0.19 #117	WSU
Success rate	45% #38	47% #124	WSU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

COLO scoring against the WSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
COLO scored	6.2 #62	7.2 #81	13.4 #77	4.9 #95	10.2 #7	15.1 #36
WSU allowed	4.7 #46	8.4 #90	13.1 #73	6.1 #75	10.7 #131	16.8 #121

WSU scoring against the COLO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WSU scored	7.6 #33	11.4 #17	19.0 #18	4.9 #95	6.4 #82	11.3 #93
COLO allowed	6.2 #91	9.7 #106	15.9 #105	8.1 #121	8.2 #99	16.3 #115

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.