Rice @ Charlotte: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2023)

Sat, Nov 18, 2023, 2:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Charlotte · Conference game

Weather at kickoff72°F7 mphgusts 19DryWeather watch ›

Rice

4-6 · Power #90

▲ winner

Final

Charlotte

3-7 · Power #124

final

Closing spread

Pick’em

✓ RICE W

Total

46.5

▼ Under · 35 pts

Model before kickoff

RICE 25–25 CLT

✓ RICE (51%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

ClosePick’em

Total46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
RICE LWWWL	7-3	70%	2-2	—
CLT LWLWW	6-4	60%	1-4	—

Venue/role: RICE away; CLT home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
RICE –UOOU	5-4	56%	4-6
CLT UUOOO	5-5	50%	3-7

Stayed under: it needed 26 in the 4th quarter and got 14. 53% of games with totals 42.5–50.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
RICE	4-6 40%	7-3 70%	5-4 56%
CLT	3-7 30%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

RICE−10.1 →−5.0▲ 5.1#88

CLT−0.6 →−10.5▼ 9.9#115

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

RICE

Longer bar = better

CLT

#40

Offense

◀ RICE better

#124

#84

Defense

CLT better ▶

#66

−0.4 #101

Turnovers

Even

−0.5 #113

62 plays #117

Pace

CLT faster ▶

67 plays #68

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When RICE has the ball

Advantage: RICE offense

	RICE off	CLT def	Edge
Points / game	31.1 #41	26.7 #74	RICE
Yards / play	5.96 #51	5.66 #76	RICE
PPA / play	+0.23 #26	+0.10 #66	RICE
Success rate	45% #41	40% #47	Even

When CLT has the ball

Advantage: RICE defense

	CLT off	RICE def	Edge
Points / game	18.9 #124	29.2 #102	RICE
Yards / play	4.94 #118	5.79 #84	RICE
PPA / play	−0.02 #125	+0.09 #58	RICE
Success rate	36% #130	44% #93	RICE

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

RICE scoring against the CLT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
RICE scored	10.4 #7	6.3 #98	16.7 #38	6.6 #56	6.3 #86	12.9 #71
CLT allowed	5.9 #82	5.8 #33	11.7 #51	5.9 #74	8.5 #100	14.4 #97

CLT scoring against the RICE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLT scored	2.0 #132	6.7 #91	8.7 #124	5.0 #92	4.5 #117	9.5 #117
RICE allowed	4.0 #30	10.3 #119	14.3 #90	7.3 #109	6.3 #64	13.6 #87

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.