Florida Atlantic @ Rice: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2023)

Sat, Nov 25, 2023, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Rice · Conference game

Weather at kickoff63°F12 mphgusts 22DryWeather watch ›

Florida Atlantic

4-7 · Power #105

final

Final

Rice

5-6 · Power #90

▲ winner

Closing spread

RICE -3

Push

Total

47.5

▼ Under · 45 pts

Model before kickoff

FAU 23–27 RICE

✓ RICE (61%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseRICE -3

Total47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseRICE -3

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close47.5

Line context

Home favorites of 2–4 since 2023: won 58%, covered 47% (98 games)ⓘ

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseRICE -3

Total47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like RICE as a 3-point home favorite against FAU, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: RICE won 24–21; the favorite pushed, as in 0 of the 10 similar games. 45 points stayed under 47.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 58%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 1.8 against an average line of 3.3; 52.4 points a game (usually 53.8). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	RICE vs ECU 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar total & rest	-3.5	24–17	W	U47
Very close	USA vs GASO 2021 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & total	-2.5	41–14	W	O49.5
Very close	UNLV vs WYO 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & total	-2.5	34–14	W	U48.25
Very close	MTSU vs ODU 2021 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3	17–24	L	U48.5
Very close	FAU vs MTSU 2021 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	17–27	L	U49.5
Very close	CCU vs USM 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar total & situation	-5	26–23	L	O48
Very close	CLT vs WKU 2020 · Week 14 · very close · similar spread & total	-2.5	19–37	L	O46.5
Very close	CSU vs SDSU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & total	-3.5	22–19	L	U46.5
Very close	WVU vs OKST 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & total	-3	34–48	L	O48.5
Very close	RICE vs UTEP 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & spread	-3.5	37–30	W	O47

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
FAU LWLLL	3-8	27%	3-2	2-3
RICE WWWLW	8-3	73%	5-1	2-2

Venue/role: FAU away, as underdog; RICE home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
FAU UOOUU	5-5	50%	4-7
RICE UOOUU	5-5	50%	5-6

Stayed under: it needed 10 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 55% of games with totals 43.5–51.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FAU	3-7 30%	3-7 30%	4-5 44%
RICE	5-5 50%	7-3 70%	5-4 56%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

FAU 3–3 RICE Series tied · 6 games since 2013 · FAU has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

FAU−0.2 →−8.2▼ 8.0#107

RICE−10.1 →−4.0▲ 6.1#84

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

FAU

Longer bar = better

RICE

#108

Offense

RICE better ▶

#44

#68

Defense

Even

#64

0.0 #69

Turnovers

◀ FAU better

−0.5 #119

67 plays #64

Pace

◀ FAU faster

62 plays #118

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When FAU has the ball

Advantage: RICE defense

	FAU off	RICE def	Edge
Points / game	24.0 #89	27.2 #80	Even
Yards / play	5.00 #114	5.56 #69	RICE
PPA / play	0.00 #121	+0.05 #40	RICE
Success rate	39% #108	42% #68	RICE

When RICE has the ball

Advantage: RICE offense

	RICE off	FAU def	Edge
Points / game	30.8 #46	25.6 #66	Even
Yards / play	5.96 #53	5.33 #50	Even
PPA / play	+0.22 #31	+0.11 #76	RICE
Success rate	44% #47	42% #78	RICE

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

FAU scoring against the RICE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FAU scored	5.6 #74	6.9 #86	12.5 #88	5.4 #86	6.1 #84	11.5 #89
RICE allowed	3.6 #25	9.4 #102	13.0 #70	6.6 #93	6.4 #68	13.0 #77

RICE scoring against the FAU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
RICE scored	10.4 #7	6.0 #102	16.4 #40	6.7 #58	6.4 #76	13.1 #64
FAU allowed	5.3 #65	10.3 #117	15.5 #101	5.6 #63	4.5 #18	10.1 #33

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.