Memphis @ Temple: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2023)

Fri, Nov 24, 2023, 12:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Temple · Conference game

Weather at kickoff51°F8 mphgusts 18DryWeather watch ›

Memphis

8-3 · Power #50

▲ winner

Final

Temple

3-8 · Power #128

final

Closing spread

MEM -13

✓ MEM W

Total

▲ Over · 66 pts

Model before kickoff

MEM 37–23 TEM

✓ MEM (84%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseMEM -13

Total64

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseMEM -13

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close64

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseMEM -13

Total64

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like MEM as a 13-point road favorite at TEM, the favorite won 8, covered 5, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: MEM won 45–21; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 66 points went over 64, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 81%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 13.4 against an average line of 12.9; 55.4 points a game (usually 55.7). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MRSH @ CLT 2021 · Week 12 · very close · similar situation & rest	-14.5	49–28	W	O62
Very close	MRSH @ UNT 2021 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & total	-11	49–21	W	O66
Very close	MEM @ NAVY 2020 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & situation	-13.5	10–7	L	U62.5
Close	WAKE @ ODU 2023 · Week 3 · close · similar spread & rest	-13.75	27–24	L	U60.5
Close	WAKE @ SYR 2020 · Week 9 · close · similar spread & rest	-14	38–14	W	U59.5
Close	MRSH @ MTSU 2021 · Week 5 · close · similar total & situation	-11	28–34	L	U65.75
Close	WKU @ ODU 2021 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & rest	-13.5	43–20	W	U66.75
Close	MEM @ TEM 2021 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & situation	-11	31–34	L	O58.5
Close	CCU @ ULM 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar spread & rest	-12.5	28–21	L	U58
Close	UTSA @ RICE 2022 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & rest	-14	41–7	W	U56

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MEM WLLLW	3-7-1	30%	2-2	2-5-1
TEM LLWWL	3-8	27%	2-4	2-7

Venue/role: MEM away, as favorite; TEM home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
MEM OOOOO	9-2	82%	8-3
TEM UOOUU	4-5	44%	3-8

Went over in Q4. Of 50 earlier overs in games with totals 60–68, 26% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MEM	7-3 70%	3-6-1 33%	8-2 80%
TEM	2-8 20%	3-7 30%	4-5 44%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

MEM+6.5 →+2.0▼ 4.5#55

TEM+1.0 →−16.3▼ 17.3#131

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

MEM

Longer bar = better

TEM

#25

Offense

◀ MEM better

#100

#94

Defense

◀ MEM better

#119

+0.5 #28

Turnovers

◀ MEM better

−1.8 #136

71 plays #29

Pace

Even

70 plays #36

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When MEM has the ball

Advantage: MEM offense

	MEM off	TEM def	Edge
Points / game	39.2 #10	34.8 #125	MEM
Yards / play	6.38 #32	6.23 #119	MEM
PPA / play	+0.22 #30	+0.25 #129	MEM
Success rate	46% #26	44% #103	MEM

When TEM has the ball

Even matchup

	TEM off	MEM def	Edge
Points / game	21.1 #108	29.7 #103	Even
Yards / play	5.22 #97	6.16 #114	Even
PPA / play	+0.04 #106	+0.08 #54	MEM
Success rate	40% #89	45% #105	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

MEM scoring against the TEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MEM scored	8.1 #25	11.7 #16	19.8 #13	8.9 #12	9.9 #10	18.8 #6
TEM allowed	7.9 #117	9.5 #106	17.5 #119	7.0 #99	10.4 #129	17.4 #127

TEM scoring against the MEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEM scored	5.0 #87	6.3 #98	11.3 #97	3.1 #123	6.7 #68	9.8 #110
MEM allowed	6.6 #95	7.7 #72	14.4 #88	6.1 #78	9.3 #117	15.4 #110

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.