Temple @ UAB: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2023)

Sat, Nov 18, 2023, 3:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at UAB · Conference game

Weather at kickoff67°F10 mphgusts 21DryWeather watch ›

Temple

3-7 · Power #128

final

Final

UAB

3-7 · Power #102

▲ winner

Closing spread

UAB -7.5

✓ UAB W

Total

61.5

▼ Under · 58 pts

Model before kickoff

TEM 25–34 UAB

✓ UAB (73%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseUAB -7.5

Total61.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseUAB -7.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close61.5

Line context

Home favorites of 6.5–8.5 since 2023: won 63%, covered 51% (52 games)ⓘ

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseUAB -7.5

Total61.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UAB as a 7.5-point home favorite against TEM, the favorite won 5, covered 4, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: UAB won 34–24; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 58 points stayed under 61.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 69%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 4.9 against an average line of 7; 54.3 points a game (usually 53.8). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ARST vs USA 2020 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7.5	31–38	L	O63.5
Very close	LT vs CLT 2021 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7	42–32	W	O58.25
Very close	CMU vs BALL 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7.5	16–17	L	U63.5
Very close	EMU vs OHIO 2021 · Week 11 · very close · similar total & rest	-6	26–34	L	U61.75
Very close	KENT vs BALL 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & spread	-7	20–27	L	U61.75
Very close	BALL vs EMU 2020 · Week 11 · very close · similar total & rest	-8.5	38–31	L	O61.5
Very close	KENT vs EMU 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & situation	-7.5	24–31	L	U60
Very close	WKU vs MTSU 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar total & spread	-6.5	31–10	W	U60
Very close	TULN vs USF 2021 · Week 12 · very close · similar situation & rest	-5.5	45–14	W	U59.5
Very close	NCST vs GT 2020 · Week 14 · very close · similar total & rest	-7	23–13	W	U61

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TEM LLLWW	3-7	30%	1-3	2-6
UAB WLLWL	5-5	50%	3-2	1-2

Venue/role: TEM away, as underdog; UAB home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TEM –UOOU	4-4	50%	3-7
UAB OUOOU	6-4	60%	3-7

Stayed under: it needed 28 in the 4th quarter and got 24. 43% of games with totals 57.5–65.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TEM	3-7 30%	3-7 30%	4-4 50%
UAB	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TEM+1.0 →−16.1▼ 17.1#130

UAB+0.5 →−7.6▼ 8.1#103

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

TEM

Longer bar = better

UAB

#104

Offense

UAB better ▶

#46

#112

Defense

◀ TEM better

#126

−1.8 #136

Turnovers

UAB better ▶

−0.3 #95

70 plays #37

Pace

UAB faster ▶

72 plays #18

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TEM has the ball

Advantage: TEM offense

	TEM off	UAB def	Edge
Points / game	20.8 #113	37.4 #134	TEM
Yards / play	5.18 #102	6.19 #116	Even
PPA / play	+0.03 #112	+0.21 #120	Even
Success rate	40% #89	49% #132	TEM

When UAB has the ball

Advantage: UAB offense

	UAB off	TEM def	Edge
Points / game	28.3 #65	34.9 #126	UAB
Yards / play	6.08 #46	6.17 #113	UAB
PPA / play	+0.18 #47	+0.23 #126	UAB
Success rate	47% #24	43% #82	UAB

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

TEM scoring against the UAB defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEM scored	4.8 #89	6.2 #100	11.0 #101	3.1 #122	6.7 #70	9.8 #113
UAB allowed	8.0 #117	9.7 #109	17.7 #119	9.3 #125	10.4 #129	19.7 #133

UAB scoring against the TEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UAB scored	6.2 #64	11.8 #15	18.0 #27	4.5 #103	5.8 #101	10.3 #107
TEM allowed	8.7 #123	9.5 #103	18.2 #121	7.0 #101	9.7 #123	16.7 #120

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.