Memphis @ Charlotte: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2023)

Sat, Nov 11, 2023, 2:00 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Charlotte · Conference game

Weather at kickoff50°F5 mphgusts 10Wet0.0 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Memphis

7-2 · Power #50

▲ winner

Final

Charlotte

3-6 · Power #124

final

Closing spread

MEM -10

✓ CLT W

Total

51.5

▲ Over · 82 pts

Model before kickoff

MEM 31–21 CLT

✓ MEM (77%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseMEM -10

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseMEM -10

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close51.5

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseMEM -10

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like MEM as a 10-point road favorite at CLT, the favorite won 8, covered 7, and 7 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: MEM won 44–38; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 82 points went over 51.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 74%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 20.6 against an average line of 9.8; 59.2 points a game (usually 54.6). Of the 1 over, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ECU @ TEM 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & rest	-9.5	49–46	L	O52
Very close	TOL @ NIU 2020 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & spread	-9.5	41–24	W	O53.5
Very close	TOL @ WMU 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & situation	-8.5	14–20	L	U50.5
Very close	TOL @ BGSU 2021 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & situation	-10.5	49–17	W	O50
Very close	USA @ ULM 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar total & rest	-11	55–7	W	O51
Very close	APP @ GAST 2021 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & rest	-10	45–16	W	O54.5
Very close	PUR @ IU 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & situation	-10	30–16	W	U53
Very close	APP @ TROY 2021 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & total	-10	45–7	W	O51.5
Very close	ORST @ COLO 2021 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & rest	-11.5	34–37	L	O55.5
Very close	JMU @ ODU 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & situation	-7.5	37–3	W	U48

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MEM PLWLL	2-6-1	25%	2-1	2-4-1
CLT WLWLW	5-4	56%	0-4	5-3

Venue/role: MEM away, as favorite; CLT home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
MEM OUOOO	7-2	78%	7-2
CLT UUUOO	4-5	44%	3-6

Went over in Q4. Of 149 earlier overs in games with totals 47.5–55.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MEMlast 9	7-2 78%	2-6-1 25%	7-2 78%
CLTlast 9	3-6 33%	5-4 56%	4-5 44%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

MEM+6.5 →+2.0▼ 4.5#52

CLT−0.6 →−11.0▼ 10.4#114

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

MEM

Longer bar = better

CLT

#20

Offense

◀ MEM better

#129

#82

Defense

Even

#68

+0.7 #23

Turnovers

◀ MEM better

−0.6 #117

70 plays #38

Pace

◀ MEM faster

67 plays #69

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When MEM has the ball

Advantage: MEM offense

	MEM off	CLT def	Edge
Points / game	39.2 #11	24.8 #66	MEM
Yards / play	6.51 #24	5.70 #78	MEM
PPA / play	+0.24 #20	+0.12 #81	MEM
Success rate	47% #24	40% #47	MEM

When CLT has the ball

Advantage: MEM defense

	CLT off	MEM def	Edge
Points / game	16.8 #134	27.9 #87	MEM
Yards / play	4.82 #123	6.10 #110	Even
PPA / play	−0.01 #125	+0.06 #47	MEM
Success rate	35% #134	43% #82	MEM

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

MEM scoring against the CLT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MEM scored	8.0 #28	13.2 #6	21.2 #9	9.2 #13	8.8 #25	18.0 #11
CLT allowed	5.8 #82	5.7 #28	11.4 #48	5.8 #64	7.6 #89	13.3 #84

CLT scoring against the MEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLT scored	2.2 #130	5.6 #114	7.8 #130	4.8 #101	3.4 #130	8.2 #124
MEM allowed	7.3 #110	6.8 #58	14.1 #87	5.1 #57	8.7 #103	13.8 #87

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.