West Virginia @ Oklahoma: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2023)

Sat, Nov 11, 2023, 7:00 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Oklahoma · Conference game

Weather at kickoff55°F1 mphDryWeather watch ›

West Virginia

6-3 · Power #39

final

Final

Oklahoma

7-2 · Power #9

▲ winner

Closing spread

OU -13

✓ OU W

Total

▲ Over · 79 pts

Model before kickoff

WVU 22–36 OU

✓ OU (84%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseOU -13

Total60

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseOU -13

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close60

Line context

Home favorites of 11–15 since 2023: won 85%, covered 45% (53 games)ⓘ

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseOU -13

Total60

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like OU as a 13-point home favorite against WVU, the favorite won 10, covered 7, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: OU won 59–20; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 79 points went over 60, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 80%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 17.3 against an average line of 13.2; 60.7 points a game (usually 55.7). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MISS vs ARK 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & rest	-13	27–20	L	U62
Very close	TENN vs SC 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & spread	-12.5	41–20	W	U63
Very close	KSU vs KU 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-12	47–27	W	O62
Very close	FLA vs SC 2020 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-14.5	38–24	L	O57
Very close	USC vs WSU 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & spread	-12.5	30–14	W	U64.5
Very close	ORE vs WSU 2021 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & situation	-13.25	38–24	W	O57.75
Very close	UNC vs NCST 2020 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & total	-14.75	48–21	W	O61.5
Very close	TEX vs UTSA 2022 · Week 3 · very close · similar spread & rest	-13	41–20	W	O57
Very close	OU vs TCU 2021 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & spread	-12.5	52–31	W	O64.5
Close	UCLA vs COLO 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar total & spread	-14	28–16	L	U60.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WVU WLLWW	6-3	67%	2-2	3-1
OU WWLLL	6-3	67%	3-1	5-3

Venue/role: WVU away, as underdog; OU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WVU UOOOU	4-4	50%	6-3
OU O–UOU	3-4	43%	7-2

Went over in Q3. Of 68 earlier overs in games with totals 56–64, 22% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WVUlast 9	6-3 67%	6-3 67%	4-4 50%
OUlast 9	7-2 78%	6-3 67%	3-4 43%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WVU−6.5 →+4.2▲ 10.7#42

OU+20.5 →+16.9▼ 3.6#10

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

WVU

Longer bar = better

#51

Offense

OU better ▶

#14

#67

Defense

OU better ▶

#35

+0.2 #49

Turnovers

OU better ▶

+0.9 #12

72 plays #26

Pace

OU faster ▶

75 plays #9

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WVU has the ball

Even matchup

	WVU off	OU def	Edge
Points / game	31.4 #40	19.8 #28	Even
Yards / play	5.86 #60	5.31 #49	Even
PPA / play	+0.15 #59	+0.01 #26	OU
Success rate	44% #46	38% #35	Even

When OU has the ball

Advantage: OU offense

	OU off	WVU def	Edge
Points / game	39.9 #6	24.3 #60	OU
Yards / play	6.54 #21	5.55 #67	OU
PPA / play	+0.24 #23	+0.10 #67	OU
Success rate	52% #6	42% #72	OU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

WVU scoring against the OU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WVU scored	6.1 #62	10.2 #27	16.3 #41	6.1 #67	9.0 #22	15.1 #37
OU allowed	4.1 #37	7.9 #86	12.0 #55	2.7 #9	5.1 #38	7.8 #13

OU scoring against the WVU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OU scored	12.4 #5	11.9 #14	24.3 #3	8.4 #23	7.1 #61	15.6 #30
WVU allowed	5.7 #75	4.9 #19	10.6 #37	3.9 #28	9.9 #123	13.8 #86

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.