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NCAAF · 2023

NCAAF Week 5 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 5: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
56 finalFavorites 27-24 ATS9 upsetsO/U 36-19Model Favorite 47-9Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games5656 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS27-2453% covered
Upsets9outright
Over / Under36-1965% over
Model Favorite47-984% won
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Thursday, Sep 28

3
Final · Conf
Middle Tennessee
1-3 · #99
10
Western Kentucky
2-2 · #83
31
Spread
WKU -6.5
✓ WKU W ATS
Total
61
▼ Under 41
Projected
27–33
✓ WKU won
Trend: WKU ATS ✓ Model: MTSU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Temple
2-2 · #128
26
Tulsa
2-2 · #118
48
Spread
TLSA -3
✓ TLSA W ATS
Total
56
▲ Over 74 · Q4
Projected
25–28
✓ TLSA won
Trend: TLSA ATS ✓ Model: TEM by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Jacksonville State
3-1 · #69
35
Sam Houston
0-3 · #114
28
Spread
JXST -7
Push
Total
36
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
22–16
✓ JXST won
Trend: JXST ATS Model: SHSU by 3.5 Model: Over 1.5 ✓

Friday, Sep 29

4
Final · Conf
Louisville
4-0 · #21
13
NC State
3-1 · #38
10
Spread
LOU -3.5
✓ NCSU W ATS
Total
56.5
▼ Under 23
Projected
30–27
✓ LOU won
Trend: LOU ATS ✗ Model: NCSU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Utah
4-0 · #33
7
Oregon State
3-1 · #20
21
Spread
ORST -4
✓ ORST W ATS
Total
43
▼ Under 28
Projected
21–25
✓ ORST won
Model: ORST by 2 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Louisiana Tech
2-3 · #116
24
UTEP
1-4 · #115
10
Spread
LT -2
✓ LT W ATS
Total
49.5
▼ Under 34
Projected
27–26
✓ LT won
Trend: UTEP ATS ✗ Model: UTEP by 4 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Cincinnati
2-2 · #76
27
BYU
3-1 · #86
35
Spread
Pick’em
✓ BYU W ATS
Total
48
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
24–24
✓ BYU won
Trend: BYU ATS ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Sep 30

49
Final · Conf
Penn State
4-0 · #5
41
Northwestern
2-2 · #65
13
Spread
PSU -27
✓ PSU W ATS
Total
48
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
37–12
✓ PSU won
Trend: PSU ATS ✓ Model: NU by 7 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
USC
4-0 · #23
48
Colorado
3-1 · #72
41
Spread
USC -22.5
✓ COLO W ATS
Total
74
▲ Over 89 · Q3
Projected
46–27
✓ USC won
Trend: COLO ATS ✓ Model: COLO by 14.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida
3-1 · #36
14
Kentucky
4-0 · #44
33
Spread
UK -1
✓ UK W ATS
Total
44
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
24–25
✓ UK won
Trend: UK ATS ✓ Model: FLA by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Neutral
Texas A&M
3-1 · #17
34
Arkansas
2-2 · #59
22
Spread
TA&M -6.5
✓ TA&M W ATS
Total
53.5
▲ Over 56 · Q4
Projected
32–24
✓ TA&M won
Trend: TA&M ATS ✓ Model: TA&M by 7.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Louisiana
3-1 · #87
24
Minnesota
2-2 · #79
35
Spread
MINN -9.5
✓ MINN W ATS
Total
49
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
22–30
✓ MINN won
Trend: UL ATS ✗ Model: UL by 4 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Utah State
1-3 · #100
34
UConn
0-4 · #125
33
Spread
USU -4
✓ CONN W ATS
Total
50.5
▲ Over 67 · Q4
Projected
28–24
✓ USU won
Trend: USU ATS ✗ Model: CONN by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Clemson
2-2 · #19
31
Syracuse
4-0 · #82
14
Spread
CLEM -7
✓ CLEM W ATS
Total
52
▼ Under 45
Projected
30–24
✓ CLEM won
Trend: SYR ATS ✗ Model: SYR by 7.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
UAB
1-3 · #102
23
Tulane
3-1 · #55
35
Spread
TULN -22.5
✓ UAB W ATS
Total
59.5
▼ Under 58
Projected
16–36
✓ TULN won
Model: UAB by 10.5 ✓ Model: Under 7.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
South Alabama
2-2 · #49
23
James Madison
4-0 · #28
31
Spread
JMU -1
✓ JMU W ATS
Total
48.5
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
24–27
✓ JMU won
Trend: JMU ATS ✓ Model: JMU by 8.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Buffalo
0-4 · #119
13
Akron
1-3 · #130
10
Spread
AKR -3
✓ BUFF W ATS
Total
53
▼ Under 23
Projected
25–28
✗ AKR lost
Model: AKR by 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Eastern Michigan
2-2 · #126
23
Central Michigan
2-2 · #122
26
Spread
CMU -10
✓ EMU W ATS
Total
44.5
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
20–29
✓ CMU won
Trend: CMU ATS ✗ Model: EMU by 7 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Virginia
0-4 · #85
24
Boston College
1-3 · #75
27
Spread
BC -5
✓ UVA W ATS
Total
51
Push 51
Projected
23–28
✓ BC won
Trend: UVA ATS ✓Trend: Over Model: UVA by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1 Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Miami (OH)
3-1 · #78
23
Kent State
1-3 · #133
3
Spread
M-OH -14
✓ M-OH W ATS
Total
50
▼ Under 26
Projected
33–19
✓ M-OH won
Trend: M-OH ATS ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Arizona State
1-3 · #101
21
California
2-2 · #57
24
Spread
CAL -13
✓ ASU W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 45
Projected
18–32
✓ CAL won
Trend: CAL ATS ✗ Model: CAL by 5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Georgia
4-0 · #1
27
Auburn
3-1 · #40
20
Spread
UGA -14
✓ AUB W ATS
Total
44.5
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
32–20
✓ UGA won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: AUB by 7.5 ✓ Model: Over 7.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Michigan
4-0 · #3
45
Nebraska
2-2 · #62
7
Spread
MICH -17.5
✓ MICH W ATS
Total
40
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
28–11
✓ MICH won
Trend: NEB ATS ✗ Model: NEB by 4 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Kansas
4-0 · #24
14
Texas
4-0 · #8
40
Spread
TEX -15.5
✓ TEX W ATS
Total
61.5
▼ Under 54
Projected
21–37
✓ TEX won
Model: KU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Indiana
2-2 · #89
17
Maryland
4-0 · #27
44
Spread
MD -14.5
✓ MD W ATS
Total
50
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
17–32
✓ MD won
Trend: IU ATS ✗ Model: MD by 2 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Illinois
2-2 · #67
19
Purdue
1-3 · #66
44
Spread
Pick’em
✓ PUR W ATS
Total
53.5
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
26–27
✓ PUR won
Trend: ILL ATS ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Bowling Green
1-3 · #80
38
Georgia Tech
2-2 · #53
27
Spread
GT -21
✓ BGSU W ATS
Total
49
▲ Over 65 · Q3
Projected
17–38
✗ GT lost
Trend: BGSU ATS ✓ Model: BGSU by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Houston
2-2 · #88
28
Texas Tech
1-3 · #45
49
Spread
TTU -9
✓ TTU W ATS
Total
52
▲ Over 77 · Q2
Projected
22–32
✓ TTU won
Trend: HOU ATS ✗ Model: TTU by 5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Baylor
1-3 · #93
36
UCF
3-1 · #31
35
Spread
UCF -8
✓ BAY W ATS
Total
56
▲ Over 71 · Q4
Projected
23–32
✗ UCF lost
Model: UCF by 4 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Arkansas State
2-2 · #107
52
Massachusetts
1-4 · #127
28
Spread
MASS -2.5
✓ ARST W ATS
Total
55.5
▲ Over 80 · Q3
Projected
27–29
✗ MASS lost
Model: MASS by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
South Florida
2-2 · #95
44
Navy
1-2 · #108
30
Spread
NAVY -3.5
✓ USF W ATS
Total
54
▲ Over 74 · Q4
Projected
23–28
✗ NAVY lost
Model: NAVY by 7.5 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Old Dominion
2-2 · #97
35
Marshall
3-0 · #96
41
Spread
MRSH -14.5
✓ ODU W ATS
Total
47
▲ Over 76 · Q3
Projected
17–31
✓ MRSH won
Model: ODU by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Ball State
1-3 · #113
24
Western Michigan
1-3 · #120
42
Spread
WMU -1.5
✓ WMU W ATS
Total
50
▲ Over 66 · Q3
Projected
25–27
✓ WMU won
Model: BALL by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Northern Illinois
1-3 · #94
33
Toledo
3-1 · #58
35
Spread
TOL -13.5
✓ NIU W ATS
Total
48
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
18–32
✓ TOL won
Trend: TOL ATS ✗ Model: TOL by 3 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Missouri
4-0 · #12
38
Vanderbilt
2-3 · #111
21
Spread
MIZ -14
✓ MIZ W ATS
Total
53.5
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
33–20
✓ MIZ won
Trend: MIZ ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: VAN by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Boise State
2-2 · #48
32
Memphis
3-1 · #50
35
Spread
MEM -3
Push
Total
58
▲ Over 67 · Q4
Projected
26–31
✓ MEM won
Trend: BOIS ATS Model: MEM by 10.5 Model: Under 1.5 ✗
Final · Conf
Hawai'i
2-3 · #123
20
UNLV
3-1 · #68
44
Spread
UNLV -10.5
✓ UNLV W ATS
Total
58
▲ Over 64 · Q4
Projected
24–34
✓ UNLV won
Trend: UNLV ATS ✓ Model: UNLV by 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
New Mexico
2-2 · #117
26
Wyoming
3-1 · #74
35
Spread
WYO -14.5
✓ UNM W ATS
Total
40.5
▲ Over 61 · Q3
Projected
15–29
✓ WYO won
Model: UNM by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
LSU
3-1 · #10
49
Ole Miss
3-1 · #16
55
Spread
LSU -3
✓ MISS W ATS
Total
67
▲ Over 104 · Q3
Projected
32–30
✗ LSU lost
Trend: MISS ATS ✓ Model: MISS by 5 ✓ Model: Under 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Oregon
4-0 · #2
42
Stanford
1-3 · #106
6
Spread
ORE -27
✓ ORE W ATS
Total
59.5
▼ Under 48
Projected
44–17
✓ ORE won
Trend: ORE ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: ORE by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Iowa State
2-2 · #35
20
Oklahoma
4-0 · #9
50
Spread
OU -19.5
✓ OU W ATS
Total
48.5
▲ Over 70 · Q2
Projected
13–34
✓ OU won
Trend: OU ATS ✓ Model: OU by 8 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
East Carolina
1-3 · #110
17
Rice
2-2 · #90
24
Spread
RICE -3.5
✓ RICE W ATS
Total
46
▼ Under 41
Projected
23–27
✓ RICE won
Trend: RICE ATS ✓ Model: RICE by 2 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Coastal Carolina
2-2 · #70
28
Georgia Southern
3-1 · #92
38
Spread
GASO -6
✓ GASO W ATS
Total
67.5
▼ Under 66
Projected
27–33
✓ GASO won
Trend: CCU ATS ✗ Model: CCU by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 7.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Troy
2-2 · #29
28
Georgia State
4-0 · #91
7
Spread
GAST -1
✓ TROY W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 35
Projected
26–28
✗ GAST lost
Trend: GAST ATS ✗ Model: GAST by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Texas State
3-1 · #73
50
Southern Miss
1-3 · #121
36
Spread
TXST -6.5
✓ TXST W ATS
Total
60
▲ Over 86 · Q4
Projected
32–26
✓ TXST won
Trend: TXST ATS ✓ Model: USM by 3 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Notre Dame
4-1 · #6
21
Duke
4-0 · #37
14
Spread
ND -5.5
✓ ND W ATS
Total
52.5
▼ Under 35
Projected
28–24
✓ ND won
Trend: ND ATS ✓ Model: DUKE by 4 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
South Carolina
2-2 · #47
20
Tennessee
3-1 · #15
41
Spread
TENN -12
✓ TENN W ATS
Total
59
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
23–35
✓ TENN won
Trend: SC ATS ✗ Model: TENN by 4 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Michigan State
2-2 · #98
16
Iowa
3-1 · #54
26
Spread
IOWA -10
Push
Total
36.5
▲ Over 42 · Q4
Projected
13–23
✓ IOWA won
Model: IOWA by 0
Final · Conf
Charlotte
1-3 · #124
16
SMU
2-2 · #22
34
Spread
SMU -22.5
✓ CLT W ATS
Total
53
▼ Under 50
Projected
14–36
✓ SMU won
Model: CLT by 1 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Pittsburgh
1-3 · #77
21
Virginia Tech
1-3 · #41
38
Spread
PITT -3
✓ VT W ATS
Total
40
▲ Over 59 · Q3
Projected
22–20
✗ PITT lost
Model: VT by 3 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
West Virginia
3-1 · #39
24
TCU
3-1 · #30
21
Spread
TCU -14
✓ WVU W ATS
Total
52
▼ Under 45
Projected
20–33
✗ TCU lost
Trend: WVU ATS ✓ Model: WVU by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
App State
2-2 · #61
41
UL Monroe
2-1 · #129
40
Spread
APP -13.5
✓ ULM W ATS
Total
50.5
▲ Over 81 · Q2
Projected
33–21
✓ APP won
Model: ULM by 11 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
San Diego State
2-3 · #112
10
Air Force
4-0 · #52
49
Spread
AFA -10.5
✓ AFA W ATS
Total
43.5
▲ Over 59 · Q3
Projected
14–27
✓ AFA won
Trend: AFA ATS ✓ Model: AFA by 13 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Alabama
3-1 · #7
40
Mississippi State
2-2 · #64
17
Spread
ALA -16.5
✓ ALA W ATS
Total
45
▲ Over 57 · Q3
Projected
32–16
✓ ALA won
Trend: ALA ATS ✓ Model: MSST by 3 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Washington
4-0 · #13
31
Arizona
3-1 · #18
24
Spread
WASH -19.5
✓ ARIZ W ATS
Total
66
▼ Under 55
Projected
41–22
✓ WASH won
Model: ARIZ by 5 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Nevada
0-4 · #132
9
Fresno State
4-0 · #71
27
Spread
FRES -25.5
✓ NEV W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 36
Projected
14–40
✓ FRES won
Trend: FRES ATS ✗ Model: FRES by 3 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total