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NCAAF · 2023

NCAAF Week 6 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 6: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
49 finalFavorites 20-27 ATS15 upsetsO/U 4-2Model Favorite 35-14Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games4949 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS20-2743% covered
Upsets15outright
Over / Under4-267% over
Model Favorite35-1471% won
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Wednesday, Oct 4

2
Final · Conf
Jacksonville State
4-1 · #69
45
Middle Tennessee
1-4 · #99
30
Spread
MTSU -2.5
✓ JXST W ATS
Total
52
▲ Over 75 · Q4
Projected
24–26
✗ MTSU lost
Trend: JXST ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: JXST by 2 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Florida International
3-2 · #131
17
New Mexico State
2-3 · #84
34
Spread
NMSU -4.5
✓ NMSU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
21–26
✓ NMSU won
Trend: NMSU ATS ✓ Model: NMSU by 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Thursday, Oct 5

2
Final · Conf
Sam Houston
0-4 · #114
16
Liberty
4-0 · #32
21
Spread
LIB -17.5
✓ SHSU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
13–31
✓ LIB won
Trend: LIB ATS ✗ Model: LIB by 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Western Kentucky
3-2 · #83
35
Louisiana Tech
3-3 · #116
28
Spread
WKU -8
✓ LT W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
34–27
✓ WKU won
Model: LT by 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Friday, Oct 6

2
Final · Conf
Kansas State
3-1 · #11
21
Oklahoma State
2-2 · #43
29
Spread
KSU -10
✓ OKST W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
31–20
✗ KSU lost
Trend: KSU ATS ✗ Model: KSU by 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Nebraska
2-3 · #62
20
Illinois
2-3 · #67
7
Spread
ILL -3.5
✓ NEB W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
19–23
✗ ILL lost
Trend: NEB ATS ✓ Model: NEB by 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Oct 7

43
Final · Neutral
Oklahoma
5-0 · #9
34
Texas
5-0 · #8
30
Spread
TEX -5
✓ OU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
26–30
✗ TEX lost
Trend: OU ATS ✓ Model: OU by 7 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Maryland
5-0 · #27
17
Ohio State
4-0 · #4
37
Spread
OSU -17.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
18–35
✓ OSU won
Model: MD by 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
LSU
3-2 · #10
49
Missouri
5-0 · #12
39
Spread
LSU -6.5
✓ LSU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
34–28
✓ LSU won
Model: MIZ by 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Boston College
2-3 · #75
27
Army
2-2 · #104
24
Spread
ARMY -4
✓ BC W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
21–26
✗ ARMY lost
Trend: ARMY ATS ✗ Model: ARMY by 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Western Michigan
2-3 · #120
28
Mississippi State
2-3 · #64
41
Spread
MSST -21.5
✓ WMU W ATS
Total
54.5
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
16–37
✓ MSST won
Trend: WMU ATS ✓ Model: WMU by 5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Rutgers
4-1 · #51
13
Wisconsin
3-1 · #42
24
Spread
WIS -13
✓ RUTG W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
15–28
✓ WIS won
Trend: RUTG ATS ✓ Model: RUTG by 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Toledo
4-1 · #58
41
Massachusetts
1-5 · #127
24
Spread
TOL -19.5
✓ MASS W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
38–20
✓ TOL won
Model: MASS by 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Marshall
4-0 · #96
41
NC State
3-2 · #38
48
Spread
NCSU -6
✓ NCSU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
20–25
✓ NCSU won
Trend: MRSH ATS ✗ Model: MRSH by 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
UTSA
1-3 · #56
49
Temple
2-3 · #128
34
Spread
UTSA -11
✓ UTSA W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
29–18
✓ UTSA won
Model: TEM by 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Central Michigan
3-2 · #122
13
Buffalo
1-4 · #119
37
Spread
CMU -1
✓ BUFF W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
26–26
✗ CMU lost
Trend: BUFF ATS ✓ Model: BUFF by 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Washington State
4-0 · #46
17
UCLA
3-1 · #26
25
Spread
UCLA -3.5
✓ UCLA W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
27–30
✓ UCLA won
Trend: WSU ATS ✗ Model: WSU by 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Virginia Tech
2-3 · #41
17
Florida State
4-0 · #14
39
Spread
FSU -25.5
✓ VT W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
12–37
✓ FSU won
Trend: FSU ATS ✗ Model: VT by 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Alabama
4-1 · #7
26
Texas A&M
4-1 · #17
20
Spread
ALA -1.5
✓ ALA W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
24–23
✓ ALA won
Trend: TA&M ATS ✗ Model: TA&M by 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Syracuse
4-1 · #82
7
North Carolina
4-0 · #34
40
Spread
UNC -9
✓ UNC W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
24–31
✓ UNC won
Trend: UNC ATS ✓ Model: SYR by 7 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Purdue
2-3 · #66
14
Iowa
4-1 · #54
20
Spread
IOWA -3.5
✓ IOWA W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
19–23
✓ IOWA won
Model: IOWA by 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Wake Forest
3-1 · #81
12
Clemson
3-2 · #19
17
Spread
CLEM -20
✓ WAKE W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
15–34
✓ CLEM won
Trend: CLEM ATS ✗ Model: WAKE by 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
North Texas
2-2 · #103
24
Navy
1-3 · #108
27
Spread
NAVY -5
✓ UNT W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
27–32
✓ NAVY won
Model: NAVY by 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Texas State
4-1 · #73
30
Louisiana
3-2 · #87
34
Spread
UL -1
✓ UL W ATS
Total
67.5
▼ Under 64
Projected
30–31
✓ UL won
Trend: TXST ATS ✗ Model: UL by 1 ✓ Model: Under 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Ball State
1-4 · #113
10
Eastern Michigan
2-3 · #126
24
Spread
EMU -2.5
✓ EMU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
19–22
✓ EMU won
Trend: EMU ATS ✓ Model: BALL by 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Bowling Green
2-3 · #80
0
Miami (OH)
4-1 · #78
27
Spread
M-OH -11.5
✓ M-OH W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
16–27
✓ M-OH won
Trend: BGSU ATS ✗ Model: BGSU by 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Kent State
1-4 · #133
17
Ohio
4-1 · #63
42
Spread
OHIO -26
✓ KENT W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
9–34
✓ OHIO won
Trend: OHIO ATS ✗ Model: KENT by 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Northern Illinois
1-4 · #94
55
Akron
1-4 · #130
14
Spread
NIU -2.5
✓ NIU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
21–20
✓ NIU won
Model: AKR by 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Vanderbilt
2-4 · #111
14
Florida
3-2 · #36
38
Spread
FLA -18.5
✓ FLA W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
16–35
✓ FLA won
Trend: FLA ATS ✓ Model: FLA by 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
UCF
3-2 · #31
22
Kansas
4-1 · #24
51
Spread
KU -3
✓ KU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
30–33
✓ KU won
Model: UCF by 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
South Florida
3-2 · #95
35
UAB
1-4 · #102
56
Spread
USF -3
✓ UAB W ATS
Total
68
▲ Over 91 · Q3
Projected
32–30
✗ USF lost
Model: UAB by 4 ✓ Model: Under 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Arkansas State
3-2 · #107
3
Troy
3-2 · #29
37
Spread
TROY -16.5
✓ TROY W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
15–32
✓ TROY won
Trend: ARST ATS ✗ Model: TROY by 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
UConn
0-5 · #125
38
Rice
3-2 · #90
31
Spread
RICE -10.5
✓ CONN W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
19–30
✗ RICE lost
Trend: RICE ATS ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Tulsa
3-2 · #118
17
Florida Atlantic
1-3 · #105
20
Spread
FAU -4
✓ TLSA W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
26–29
✓ FAU won
Trend: TLSA ATS ✓ Model: TLSA by 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Colorado
3-2 · #72
27
Arizona State
1-4 · #101
24
Spread
COLO -3
Push
Total
58
▼ Under 51
Projected
30–25
✓ COLO won
Trend: COLO ATS Model: COLO by 7 Model: Under 3 ✓
Final · Conf
Kentucky
5-0 · #44
13
Georgia
5-0 · #1
51
Spread
UGA -15
✓ UGA W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
16–31
✓ UGA won
Trend: UK ATS ✗ Model: UK by 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
South Alabama
2-3 · #49
55
UL Monroe
2-2 · #129
7
Spread
USA -10
✓ USA W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
30–20
✓ USA won
Trend: ULM ATS ✗ Model: ULM by 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Old Dominion
2-3 · #97
17
Southern Miss
1-4 · #121
13
Spread
USM -3
✓ ODU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
24–27
✗ USM lost
Trend: ODU ATS ✓ Model: USM by 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Michigan
5-0 · #3
52
Minnesota
3-2 · #79
10
Spread
MICH -20
✓ MICH W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
34–14
✓ MICH won
Trend: MINN ATS ✗ Model: MINN by 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Arkansas
2-3 · #59
20
Ole Miss
4-1 · #16
27
Spread
MISS -10.5
✓ ARK W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
25–35
✓ MISS won
Trend: MISS ATS ✗ Model: MISS by 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Notre Dame
5-1 · #6
20
Louisville
5-0 · #21
33
Spread
ND -7
✓ LOU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
32–24
✗ ND lost
Trend: ND ATS ✗ Model: ND by 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Georgia Tech
2-3 · #53
23
Miami
4-0 · #25
20
Spread
MIA -20
✓ GT W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
20–40
✗ MIA lost
Trend: MIA ATS ✗ Model: GT by 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Fresno State
5-0 · #71
19
Wyoming
4-1 · #74
24
Spread
FRES -4.5
✓ WYO W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
25–21
✗ FRES lost
Trend: WYO ATS ✓ Model: WYO by 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Texas Tech
2-3 · #45
39
Baylor
2-3 · #93
14
Spread
BAY -1
✓ TTU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
29–29
✓ TTU won
Trend: TTU ATS ✓ Model: TTU by 7 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
TCU
3-2 · #30
14
Iowa State
2-3 · #35
27
Spread
TCU -6.5
✓ ISU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
29–22
✗ TCU lost
Model: TCU by 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Colorado State
2-2 · #109
24
Utah State
2-3 · #100
44
Spread
CSU -3
✓ USU W ATS
Total
62
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
32–30
✗ CSU lost
Trend: Over ✓ Model: USU by 5.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
San José State
1-4 · #60
27
Boise State
2-3 · #48
35
Spread
BOIS -8
Push
Total
—
 
Projected
25–33
✓ BOIS won
Model: BOIS by 1
Final · Conf
Oregon State
4-1 · #20
52
California
3-2 · #57
40
Spread
ORST -10
✓ ORST W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
31–22
✓ ORST won
Model: CAL by 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Arizona
3-2 · #18
41
USC
5-0 · #23
43
Spread
USC -22
✓ ARIZ W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
24–45
✓ USC won
Trend: ARIZ ATS ✓ Model: ARIZ by 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total