UTSA @ Temple: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2023)

Sat, Oct 7, 2023, 2:00 PM EDTWeek 6 · at Temple · Conference game

Weather at kickoff65°F16 mphgusts 32Wet0.0 mmWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

UTSA

1-3 · Power #56

▲ winner

Final

Temple

2-3 · Power #128

final

Closing spread

UTSA -11

✓ UTSA W

Total

—

Model before kickoff

UTSA 29–18 TEM

✓ UTSA (77%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseUTSA -11

Total—

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseUTSA -11

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close—

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseUTSA -11

Total—

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UTSA as an 11-point road favorite at TEM, the favorite won 8, covered 3, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: UTSA won 49–34; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 78%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 15 against an average line of 10.9; 54.4 points a game (usually 55.9). Of the 1 over, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3.

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	USU @ HAW 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & season form	-10.5	41–34	L	O55
Close	CSU @ UNM 2021 · Week 7 · close · similar situation & spread	-13	36–7	W	U44.75
Close	MINN @ NU 2023 · Week 4 · close · similar spread & situation	-11.5	34–37	L	O39.5
Close	SYR @ BC 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & situation	-10.5	32–23	L	O47
Close	UNLV @ HAW 2022 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & situation	-11	25–31	L	U56.5
Close	FRES @ UNM 2022 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & spread	-9.75	41–9	W	O40.25
Close	WYO @ CSU 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar rest	-8.5	14–13	L	U42.5
Close	TLSA @ TEM 2022 · Week 8 · close · similar rest	-13.5	27–16	L	U53.5
Close	WYO @ HAW 2022 · Week 9 · close · similar spread & situation	-11.5	27–20	L	U50.75
Close	ASU @ ARIZ 2020 · Week 15 · close · similar spread	-9	70–7	W	O56.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UTSA LLLL	0-4	0%	0-2	0-3
TEM LLWLL	1-4	20%	1-2	0-3

Venue/role: UTSA away, as favorite; TEM home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UTSA UUOP	1-2-1	33%	1-3
TEM –UUOO	2-2	50%	2-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UTSAlast 4	1-3 25%	0-4 0%	1-2-1 33%
TEMlast 5	2-3 40%	1-4 20%	2-2 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UTSA+0.7 →−1.4▼ 2.1#68

TEM+1.0 →−10.3▼ 11.3#116

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

UTSA

Longer bar = better

TEM

#114

Offense

Even

#103

#77

Defense

◀ UTSA better

#109

−1.8 #134

Turnovers

Even

−1.2 #130

73 plays #19

Pace

◀ UTSA faster

68 plays #57

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UTSA has the ball

Even matchup

	UTSA off	TEM def	Edge
Points / game	19.3 #120	31.0 #108	Even
Yards / play	5.01 #114	6.24 #115	Even
PPA / play	−0.01 #117	+0.26 #124	Even
Success rate	39% #103	43% #88	Even

When TEM has the ball

Advantage: UTSA defense

	TEM off	UTSA def	Edge
Points / game	21.0 #111	28.0 #86	UTSA
Yards / play	5.22 #103	5.46 #64	UTSA
PPA / play	+0.06 #100	+0.13 #88	Even
Success rate	39% #98	41% #70	UTSA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

UTSA scoring against the TEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UTSA scored	2.5 #123	5.3 #118	7.8 #126	7.0 #57	4.5 #109	11.5 #92
TEM allowed	7.0 #107	10.2 #105	17.2 #110	4.8 #55	9.0 #114	13.8 #90

TEM scoring against the UTSA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEM scored	3.4 #111	6.2 #106	9.6 #119	6.2 #73	5.2 #95	11.4 #93
UTSA allowed	8.8 #121	9.0 #97	17.8 #114	4.3 #45	6.0 #64	10.3 #53

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.