Temple @ North Texas: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2023)

Sat, Oct 14, 2023, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at North Texas · Conference game

Weather at kickoff61°F11 mphgusts 22DryWeather watch ›

Temple

2-4 · Power #128

final

Final

North Texas

2-3 · Power #103

▲ winner

Closing spread

UNT -6.5

✓ UNT W

Total

65.5

▼ Under · 59 pts

Model before kickoff

TEM 30–36 UNT

✓ UNT (67%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

Opennot available

CloseUNT -6.5

Total65.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseUNT -6.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close65.5

Line context

Home favorites of 4.5–8.5 since 2023: won 65%, covered 54% (40 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

Opennot available

CloseUNT -6.5

Total65.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UNT as a 6.5-point home favorite against TEM, the favorite won 5, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: UNT won 45–14; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 59 points stayed under 65.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 67%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 4 against an average line of 6.3; 61.2 points a game (usually 54.6). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ARST vs USA 2020 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7.5	31–38	L	O63.5
Very close	UNT vs LT 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & situation	-6.5	47–27	W	O68.25
Very close	CMU vs BALL 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7.5	16–17	L	U63.5
Very close	EMU vs TXST 2021 · Week 4 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7.5	59–21	W	O62.25
Very close	WKU vs MTSU 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & season form	-6.5	31–10	W	U60
Close	EMU vs NIU 2022 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & total	-3.5	10–39	L	U64.25
Close	KENT vs BALL 2022 · Week 10 · close · similar spread	-7	20–27	L	U61.75
Close	KENT vs BUFF 2021 · Week 6 · close · similar total & rest	-7	48–38	W	O66
Close	ARIZ vs ASU 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar total & rest	-4	38–35	L	O66.5
Close	EMU vs OHIO 2021 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & spread	-6	26–34	L	U61.75

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TEM LWLLL	1-5	17%	0-2	0-4
UNT LLWLW	2-3	40%	0-2	0-3

Venue/role: TEM away, as underdog; UNT home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TEM UUOO–	2-2	50%	2-4
UNT –OOO–	3-0	100%	2-3

Stayed under: it needed 21 in the 4th quarter and got 14. 46% of games with totals 61.5–69.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TEMlast 6	2-4 33%	1-5 17%	2-2 50%
UNTlast 5	2-3 40%	2-3 40%	3-0 100%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TEM+1.0 →−11.2▼ 12.2#119

UNT−15.5 →−9.9▲ 5.6#114

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

TEM

Longer bar = better

UNT

#94

Offense

UNT better ▶

#45

#116

Defense

Even

#128

−1.3 #134

Turnovers

UNT better ▶

−0.4 #100

72 plays #20

Pace

Even

73 plays #17

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TEM has the ball

Advantage: TEM offense

	TEM off	UNT def	Edge
Points / game	23.2 #102	39.8 #134	TEM
Yards / play	5.34 #98	6.61 #127	TEM
PPA / play	+0.09 #88	+0.26 #125	TEM
Success rate	40% #86	48% #126	TEM

When UNT has the ball

Advantage: UNT offense

	UNT off	TEM def	Edge
Points / game	33.8 #36	34.0 #121	UNT
Yards / play	6.37 #38	6.42 #122	UNT
PPA / play	+0.18 #51	+0.28 #126	UNT
Success rate	44% #53	43% #95	UNT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

TEM scoring against the UNT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEM scored	5.2 #82	6.3 #108	11.5 #107	5.2 #89	6.5 #79	11.7 #91
UNT allowed	5.6 #81	13.2 #129	18.8 #122	10.0 #129	11.0 #127	21.0 #132

UNT scoring against the TEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UNT scored	10.8 #12	10.2 #39	21.0 #9	5.6 #83	7.2 #66	12.8 #82
TEM allowed	7.0 #106	12.0 #126	19.0 #124	5.2 #57	9.8 #121	15.0 #102

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.