SMU @ Temple: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2023)

Fri, Oct 20, 2023, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Temple · Conference game

Weather at kickoff60°F7 mphgusts 18DryWeather watch ›

SMU

4-2 · Power #22

▲ winner

Final

Temple

2-5 · Power #128

final

Closing spread

SMU -24

✓ SMU W

Total

▲ Over · 55 pts

Model before kickoff

SMU 39–16 TEM

✓ SMU (95%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseSMU -24

Total53

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseSMU -24

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close53

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseSMU -24

Total53

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SMU as a 24-point road favorite at TEM, the favorite won 9, covered 6, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: SMU won 55–0; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 55 points went over 53, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 92%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 46%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 22.5 against an average line of 22.8; 54.9 points a game (usually 55.1). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	HOU @ TEM 2021 · Week 11 · very close · similar total & season form	-25.5	37–8	W	U52.5
Very close	UTAH @ ARIZ 2021 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & rest	-24	38–29	L	O54.5
Very close	OKST @ KU 2020 · Week 5 · very close · similar total & rest	-21.5	47–7	W	O53
Close	KSU @ KU 2021 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & rest	-24	35–10	W	U55.75
Close	FRES @ NEV 2022 · Week 12 · close · similar total & rest	-22.5	41–14	W	O54
Close	ND @ STAN 2021 · Week 13 · close · similar total & rest	-20.75	45–14	W	O53
Close	TROY @ ULM 2021 · Week 4 · close · similar spread & rest	-23.5	16–29	L	U49.5
Close	APP @ TXST 2020 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & situation	-21.5	38–17	L	U58.5
Close	CIN @ USF 2021 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & rest	-24	45–28	L	O58.5
Close	MSST @ VAN 2021 · Week 8 · close · similar total & situation	-20.5	45–6	W	U53

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SMU LWLLW	3-3	50%	1-2	3-1
TEM WLLLL	1-6	14%	1-3	0-5

Venue/role: SMU away, as favorite; TEM home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SMU UOUUU	1-4	20%	4-2
TEM UOO–U	2-3	40%	2-5

Went over in Q4. Of 99 earlier overs in games with totals 49–57, 36% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SMUlast 6	4-2 67%	3-3 50%	1-4 20%
TEMlast 7	2-5 29%	1-6 14%	2-3 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

SMU 4–2 TEM (2 tied) SMU leads · 8 games since 1942 · SMU has won the last 3 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SMU+10.7 →+6.2▼ 4.5#32

TEM+1.0 →−14.0▼ 15.0#124

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

SMU

Longer bar = better

TEM

#64

Offense

◀ SMU better

#98

#17

Defense

◀ SMU better

#118

−0.3 #96

Turnovers

◀ SMU better

−1.6 #134

70 plays #43

Pace

TEM faster ▶

73 plays #16

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SMU has the ball

Advantage: SMU offense

	SMU off	TEM def	Edge
Points / game	33.3 #39	35.6 #125	SMU
Yards / play	5.99 #57	6.50 #127	SMU
PPA / play	+0.16 #55	+0.29 #129	SMU
Success rate	39% #106	43% #91	Even

When TEM has the ball

Advantage: SMU defense

	TEM off	SMU def	Edge
Points / game	21.9 #111	17.0 #18	SMU
Yards / play	5.18 #105	4.49 #16	SMU
PPA / play	+0.07 #94	−0.02 #19	SMU
Success rate	41% #80	35% #15	SMU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

SMU scoring against the TEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SMU scored	10.3 #12	9.2 #53	19.5 #15	5.2 #89	8.7 #31	13.8 #63
TEM allowed	8.0 #117	11.7 #124	19.7 #128	5.4 #65	10.4 #124	15.9 #107

TEM scoring against the SMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEM scored	5.4 #78	6.4 #107	11.9 #101	4.4 #107	5.6 #93	10.0 #110
SMU allowed	2.3 #14	4.5 #20	6.8 #9	4.3 #41	5.8 #56	10.2 #42

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.