Tulane @ Memphis: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2023)

Fri, Oct 13, 2023, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Memphis · Conference game

Weather at kickoff77°F8 mphgusts 20DryWeather watch ›

Tulane

4-1 · Power #55

▲ winner

Final

Memphis

4-1 · Power #50

final

Closing spread

TULN -4.5

✓ TULN W

Total

54.5

▼ Under · 52 pts

Model before kickoff

TULN 27–24 MEM

✓ TULN (59%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

Opennot available

CloseTULN -4.5

Total54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseTULN -4.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close54.5

Line context

Road favorites of 2.5–6.5 since 2023: won 59%, covered 41% (41 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

Opennot available

CloseTULN -4.5

Total54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TULN as a 4.5-point road favorite at MEM, the favorite won 6, covered 6, and 4 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: TULN won 31–21; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 52 points stayed under 54.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 61%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3 against an average line of 3.2; 60.2 points a game (usually 54.2). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	NCST @ BC 2021 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & rest	-3	33–7	W	U51
Very close	BAY @ WVU 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar total & situation	-3	40–43	L	O55
Very close	UTAH @ ORST 2021 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & spread	-3	34–42	L	O57.75
Very close	FRES @ WYO 2021 · Week 7 · very close · similar total & situation	-3	17–0	W	U53.5
Very close	UTSA @ UAB 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & season form	-2.5	44–38	W	O53.25
Very close	APP @ UL 2021 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & situation	-4.25	13–41	L	U57.5
Close	WAKE @ ARMY 2021 · Week 8 · close · similar total & season form	-3	70–56	W	O53.75
Close	TTU @ WVU 2023 · Week 4 · close · similar total & spread	-6	13–20	L	U54.5
Close	BSU @ CSU 2021 · Week 9 · close · similar situation & total	-2	28–19	W	U51.5
Close	UL @ UAB 2020 · Week 8 · close · similar season form & situation	-2.5	24–20	W	U50.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TULN WLWLL	2-3	40%	1-0	2-2
MEM LWLLP	1-3-1	25%	0-2-1	0-1

Venue/role: TULN away, as favorite; MEM home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TULN –UUUU	0-4	0%	4-1
MEM OUOOO	4-1	80%	4-1

Stayed under: it needed 17 in the 4th quarter and got 14. 49% of games with totals 50.5–58.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TULNlast 5	4-1 80%	2-3 40%	0-4 0%
MEMlast 5	4-1 80%	1-3-1 25%	4-1 80%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

TULN 17–25 MEM (1 tied) MEM leads · 43 games since 1954 · TULN has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TULN+6.3 →+3.1▼ 3.2#43

MEM+6.5 →+2.6▼ 3.9#47

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

TULN

Longer bar = better

MEM

#69

Offense

MEM better ▶

#41

#38

Defense

Even

#48

+0.2 #57

Turnovers

Even

+0.2 #56

63 plays #108

Pace

MEM faster ▶

71 plays #28

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TULN has the ball

Advantage: MEM defense

	TULN off	MEM def	Edge
Points / game	29.8 #69	21.4 #43	MEM
Yards / play	6.22 #45	5.67 #80	TULN
PPA / play	+0.08 #91	−0.03 #21	MEM
Success rate	42% #69	39% #47	MEM

When MEM has the ball

Even matchup

	MEM off	TULN def	Edge
Points / game	36.6 #18	17.4 #22	Even
Yards / play	6.17 #50	4.91 #27	TULN
PPA / play	+0.18 #50	+0.03 #44	Even
Success rate	44% #47	39% #57	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

TULN scoring against the MEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TULN scored	9.6 #19	8.2 #77	17.8 #40	8.2 #36	3.8 #121	12.0 #89
MEM allowed	6.2 #95	5.4 #31	11.6 #62	2.8 #16	7.0 #80	9.8 #39

MEM scoring against the TULN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MEM scored	6.0 #67	12.0 #18	18.0 #39	9.8 #17	8.8 #30	18.6 #14
TULN allowed	2.0 #11	7.4 #76	9.4 #34	3.4 #29	4.6 #34	8.0 #20

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.