Temple @ Tulsa: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 5, 2023)

Thu, Sep 28, 2023, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 5 · at Tulsa · Conference game

Weather at kickoff82°F6 mphDryWeather watch ›

Temple

2-2 · Power #128

final

Final

Tulsa

2-2 · Power #118

▲ winner

Closing spread

TLSA -3

✓ TLSA W

Total

▲ Over · 74 pts

Model before kickoff

TEM 25–28 TLSA

✓ TLSA (58%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseTLSA -3

Total56

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseTLSA -3

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close56

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseTLSA -3

Total56

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TLSA as a 3-point home favorite against TEM, the favorite won 3, covered 3, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: TLSA won 48–26; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 74 points went over 56, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 3 against an average line of 2.8; 50.4 points a game (usually 54.2). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	WMU vs EMU 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar total & season form	-4.5	23–45	L	O55.5
Very close	TXST vs GASO 2021 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & season form	-2	30–38	L	O52
Very close	BALL vs M-OH 2021 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3.5	17–24	L	U53
Very close	NIU vs TLSA 2023 · Week 4 · very close · similar total & spread	-4	14–22	L	U54.5
Very close	CMU vs BUFF 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & total	-2.75	31–27	W	O54
Very close	BUFF vs M-OH 2022 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3	24–20	W	U50.25
Very close	BALL vs EMU 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & total	-2.5	16–20	L	U57.5
Very close	USF vs TEM 2021 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & total	-1.5	34–14	W	U55
Very close	RICE vs UNT 2021 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & total	-1.5	24–30	L	U55
Very close	MD vs RUTG 2020 · Week 15 · very close · similar spread & total	-3	24–27	L	U54.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TEM LLWL	1-3	25%	0-1	0-2
TLSA LPLW	1-2-1	33%	0-2	0-1

Venue/role: TEM away, as underdog; TLSA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TEM –UUO	1-2	33%	2-2
TLSA UUOU	1-3	25%	2-2

Went over in Q4. Of 55 earlier overs in games with totals 52–60, 42% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TEMlast 4	2-2 50%	1-3 25%	1-2 33%
TLSAlast 4	2-2 50%	1-2-1 33%	1-3 25%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TEM+1.0 →−7.8▼ 8.8#99

TLSA+3.9 →−8.9▼ 12.8#107

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW4

TEM

Longer bar = better

TLSA

#94

Offense

Even

#95

#97

Defense

◀ TEM better

#120

−1.0 #120

Turnovers

Even

−1.0 #114

68 plays #60

Pace

TLSA faster ▶

71 plays #35

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TEM has the ball

Advantage: TEM offense

	TEM off	TLSA def	Edge
Points / game	19.8 #118	32.5 #114	Even
Yards / play	5.41 #88	6.46 #122	TEM
PPA / play	+0.10 #81	+0.23 #119	TEM
Success rate	40% #89	48% #124	TEM

When TLSA has the ball

Even matchup

	TLSA off	TEM def	Edge
Points / game	22.8 #96	26.8 #86	Even
Yards / play	4.99 #110	5.87 #101	Even
PPA / play	−0.01 #118	+0.21 #113	Even
Success rate	44% #54	42% #87	TLSA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

TEM scoring against the TLSA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEM scored	3.5 #104	7.8 #82	11.3 #102	4.0 #109	4.5 #101	8.5 #119
TLSA allowed	12.3 #132	6.3 #62	18.5 #116	10.5 #127	3.5 #21	14.0 #97

TLSA scoring against the TEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TLSA scored	1.3 #131	12.3 #25	13.5 #77	3.3 #118	6.0 #75	9.3 #112
TEM allowed	5.3 #85	11.0 #115	16.3 #102	3.5 #35	7.0 #78	10.5 #63

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.