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NCAAF · 2023

NCAAF Week 1 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 1: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
53 finalFavorites 24-29 ATS12 upsetsO/U 13-8Model Favorite 41-12Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games5353 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS24-2945% covered
Upsets12outright
Over / Under13-862% over
Model Favorite41-1277% won
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Saturday, Aug 26

7
Final · Neutral
Navy
0-0 · #108
3
Notre Dame
0-0 · #6
42
Spread
ND -20
✓ ND W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
18–34
✓ ND won
Model: NAVY by 20 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
UTEP
0-0 · #115
14
Jacksonville State
0-0 · #69
17
Spread
UTEP -1.5
✓ JXST W ATS
Total
54.5
▼ Under 31
Projected
27–27
✗ UTEP lost
Model: JXST by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Massachusetts
0-0 · #127
41
New Mexico State
0-0 · #84
30
Spread
NMSU -7
✓ MASS W ATS
Total
45.5
▲ Over 71 · Q4
Projected
23–30
✗ NMSU lost
Trend: NMSU ATS ✗ Model: MASS by 1 ✓ Model: Over 7 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Ohio
0-0 · #63
13
San Diego State
0-0 · #112
20
Spread
SDSU -3.5
✓ SDSU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
24–27
✓ SDSU won
Model: SDSU by 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
San José State
0-0 · #60
28
USC
0-0 · #23
56
Spread
USC -30.5
✓ SJSU W ATS
Total
63.5
▲ Over 84 · Q4
Projected
14–39
✓ USC won
Model: SJSU by 28 ✓ Model: Under 10.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida International
0-0 · #131
17
Louisiana Tech
0-0 · #116
22
Spread
LT -10
✓ FIU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
23–31
✓ LT won
Model: FIU by 7 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Hawai'i
0-0 · #123
28
Vanderbilt
0-0 · #111
35
Spread
VAN -17
✓ HAW W ATS
Total
54.5
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
20–34
✓ VAN won
Model: HAW by 11 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Thursday, Aug 31

4
Final · Non-conf
Kent State
0-0 · #133
6
UCF
0-0 · #31
56
Spread
UCF -33.5
✓ UCF W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
13–41
✓ UCF won
Model: KENT by 31 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
NC State
0-0 · #38
24
UConn
0-0 · #125
14
Spread
NCSU -17
✓ CONN W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
34–20
✓ NCSU won
Model: CONN by 19.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Florida
0-0 · #36
11
Utah
0-0 · #33
24
Spread
UTAH -8
✓ UTAH W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
23–30
✓ UTAH won
Trend: UTAH ATS ✓ Model: FLA by 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Nebraska
0-0 · #62
10
Minnesota
0-0 · #79
13
Spread
MINN -6.5
✓ NEB W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
23–29
✓ MINN won
Model: NEB by 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Sep 1

5
Final · Non-conf
Central Michigan
0-0 · #122
7
Michigan State
0-0 · #98
31
Spread
MSU -15
✓ MSU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
21–33
✓ MSU won
Model: CMU by 12.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Miami (OH)
0-0 · #78
3
Miami
0-0 · #25
38
Spread
MIA -17.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
19–33
✓ MIA won
Model: M-OH by 15 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Neutral
Louisville
0-0 · #21
39
Georgia Tech
0-0 · #53
34
Spread
LOU -9.5
✓ GT W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
31–23
✓ LOU won
Model: GT by 9.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Missouri State
0-0
17
Kansas
0-0 · #24
48
Spread
KU -32.5
✓ MOST W ATS
Total
60.5
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
14–40
✓ KU won
Model: MOST by 30 ✓ Model: Under 7 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Stanford
0-0 · #106
37
Hawai'i
0-1 · #123
24
Spread
STAN -9.5
✓ STAN W ATS
Total
58.5
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
29–22
✓ STAN won
Model: HAW by 14 ✗ Model: Under 7.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Saturday, Sep 2

33
Final · Non-conf
East Carolina
0-0 · #110
3
Michigan
0-0 · #3
30
Spread
MICH -34
✓ ECU W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 33
Projected
12–40
✓ MICH won
Model: ECU by 31 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Neutral
Virginia
0-0 · #85
13
Tennessee
0-0 · #15
49
Spread
TENN -28
✓ TENN W ATS
Total
58.5
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
16–38
✓ TENN won
Model: UVA by 28 ✗ Model: Under 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Colorado
0-0 · #72
45
TCU
0-0 · #30
42
Spread
TCU -20
✓ COLO W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
19–35
✗ TCU lost
Model: COLO by 17 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Arkansas State
0-0 · #107
0
Oklahoma
0-0 · #9
73
Spread
OU -33
✓ OU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
13–40
✓ OU won
Model: ARST by 30 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Utah State
0-0 · #100
14
Iowa
0-0 · #54
24
Spread
IOWA -24
✓ USU W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 38
Projected
16–36
✓ IOWA won
Model: USU by 21 ✓ Model: Over 9.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Ball State
0-0 · #113
14
Kentucky
0-0 · #44
44
Spread
UK -25
✓ UK W ATS
Total
49
▲ Over 58 · Q3
Projected
17–37
✓ UK won
Model: BALL by 22.5 ✗ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Bowling Green
0-0 · #80
24
Liberty
0-0 · #32
34
Spread
LIB -12
✓ BGSU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
22–32
✓ LIB won
Model: BGSU by 9.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Fresno State
0-0 · #71
39
Purdue
0-0 · #66
35
Spread
PUR -5.5
✓ FRES W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
24–29
✗ PUR lost
Model: FRES by 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Louisiana Tech
1-0 · #116
14
SMU
0-0 · #22
38
Spread
SMU -17
✓ SMU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
19–33
✓ SMU won
Model: LT by 14.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Northern Illinois
0-0 · #94
27
Boston College
0-0 · #75
24
Spread
BC -8
✓ NIU W ATS
Total
50
▲ Over 51 · OT
Projected
23–30
✗ BC lost
Model: NIU by 5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Akron
0-0 · #130
21
Temple
0-0 · #128
24
Spread
TEM -10.5
✓ AKR W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
22–31
✓ TEM won
Model: AKR by 8 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Ohio State
0-0 · #4
23
Indiana
0-0 · #89
3
Spread
OSU -27.5
✓ IU W ATS
Total
60
▼ Under 26
Projected
38–16
✓ OSU won
Model: IU by 30 ✓ Model: Under 6.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Boise State
0-0 · #48
19
Washington
0-0 · #13
56
Spread
WASH -15
✓ WASH W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
20–33
✓ WASH won
Model: BOIS by 12 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Rice
0-0 · #90
10
Texas
0-0 · #8
37
Spread
TEX -34.5
✓ RICE W ATS
Total
59
▼ Under 47
Projected
12–40
✓ TEX won
Model: RICE by 31.5 ✓ Model: Under 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Buffalo
0-0 · #119
17
Wisconsin
0-0 · #42
38
Spread
WIS -29
✓ BUFF W ATS
Total
52.5
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
13–37
✓ WIS won
Model: BUFF by 25.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Massachusetts
1-0 · #127
14
Auburn
0-0 · #40
59
Spread
AUB -39
✓ AUB W ATS
Total
53.5
▲ Over 73 · Q3
Projected
11–43
✓ AUB won
Model: MASS by 35.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
South Florida
0-0 · #95
24
Western Kentucky
0-0 · #83
41
Spread
WKU -13.5
✓ WKU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
21–33
✓ WKU won
Model: USF by 10 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
California
0-0 · #57
58
North Texas
0-0 · #103
21
Spread
UNT -9
✓ CAL W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
23–31
✗ UNT lost
Model: CAL by 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Nevada
0-0 · #132
14
USC
1-0 · #23
66
Spread
USC -38
✓ USC W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
11–42
✓ USC won
Model: NEV by 35.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
New Mexico
0-0 · #117
10
Texas A&M
0-0 · #17
52
Spread
TA&M -37.5
✓ TA&M W ATS
Total
48.5
▲ Over 62 · Q3
Projected
11–42
✓ TA&M won
Model: UNM by 34.5 ✗ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Army
0-0 · #104
13
UL Monroe
0-0 · #129
17
Spread
ARMY -7
✓ ULM W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
29–25
✗ ARMY lost
Model: ULM by 10 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Washington State
0-0 · #46
50
Colorado State
0-0 · #109
24
Spread
WSU -9.5
✓ WSU W ATS
Total
54
▲ Over 74 · Q4
Projected
30–23
✓ WSU won
Model: CSU by 14 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Texas State
0-0 · #73
42
Baylor
0-0 · #93
31
Spread
BAY -26
✓ TXST W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
16–38
✗ BAY lost
Model: TXST by 23.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UTSA
0-0 · #56
14
Houston
0-0 · #88
17
Spread
UTSA -2.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
59.5
▼ Under 31
Projected
27–26
✗ UTSA lost
Model: HOU by 5 ✓ Model: Under 6.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Middle Tennessee
0-0 · #99
7
Alabama
0-0 · #7
56
Spread
ALA -39
✓ ALA W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
11–43
✓ ALA won
Model: MTSU by 36.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
West Virginia
0-0 · #39
15
Penn State
0-0 · #5
38
Spread
PSU -20.5
✓ PSU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
19–35
✓ PSU won
Model: WVU by 18 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Neutral
North Carolina
0-0 · #34
31
South Carolina
0-0 · #47
17
Spread
UNC -2.5
✓ UNC W ATS
Total
63.5
▼ Under 48
Projected
28–26
✓ UNC won
Model: SC by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 9.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Toledo
0-0 · #58
28
Illinois
0-0 · #67
30
Spread
ILL -10
✓ TOL W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
23–31
✓ ILL won
Model: TOL by 7 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
South Alabama
0-0 · #49
17
Tulane
0-0 · #55
37
Spread
TULN -7
✓ TULN W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
23–29
✓ TULN won
Model: USA by 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Old Dominion
0-0 · #97
17
Virginia Tech
0-0 · #41
36
Spread
VT -16
✓ VT W ATS
Total
48
▲ Over 53 · Q4
Projected
20–34
✓ VT won
Model: ODU by 12.5 ✗ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Texas Tech
0-0 · #45
33
Wyoming
0-0 · #74
35
Spread
TTU -14
✓ WYO W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
32–22
✗ TTU lost
Trend: WYO ATS ✓ Model: WYO by 19.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Sam Houston
0-0 · #114
0
BYU
0-0 · #86
14
Spread
BYU -23
✓ SHSU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
17–37
✓ BYU won
Trend: BYU ATS ✗ Model: SHSU by 17.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Coastal Carolina
0-0 · #70
13
UCLA
0-0 · #26
27
Spread
UCLA -16
✓ CCU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
20–34
✓ UCLA won
Model: CCU by 11.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Sep 3

3
Final · Conf
Northwestern
0-0 · #65
7
Rutgers
0-0 · #51
24
Spread
RUTG -5
✓ RUTG W ATS
Total
39
▼ Under 31
Projected
24–29
✓ RUTG won
Model: NU by 2 ✗ Model: Over 14 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Oregon State
0-0 · #20
42
San José State
0-1 · #60
17
Spread
ORST -16.5
✓ ORST W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
33–20
✓ ORST won
Model: SJSU by 19 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Neutral
LSU
0-0 · #10
24
Florida State
0-0 · #14
45
Spread
LSU -2.5
✓ FSU W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
28–26
✗ LSU lost
Model: FSU by 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Monday, Sep 4

1
Final · Conf
Clemson
0-0 · #19
7
Duke
0-0 · #37
28
Spread
CLEM -13
✓ DUKE W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
32–22
✗ CLEM lost
Model: DUKE by 15.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total