Massachusetts @ Auburn: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2023)

Sat, Sep 2, 2023, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Auburn

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Massachusetts

1-0 · Power #127

final

Final

Auburn

0-0 · Power #40

▲ winner

Closing spread

AUB -39

✓ AUB W

Total

53.5

▲ Over · 73 pts

Model before kickoff

MASS 11–43 AUB

✓ AUB (99%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseAUB -39

Total53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MASS W	1-0	100%	1-0	1-0
AUB	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: MASS away, as underdog; AUB home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
MASS O	1-0	100%	1-0
AUB	0-0	—	0-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MASSlast 1	1-0 100%	1-0 100%	1-0 100%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 92 FBS teams

MASS

Longer bar = better

AUB

#45

Offense

AUB better ▶

#17

#80

Defense

AUB better ▶

#54

+0.5 #42

Turnovers

AUB better ▶

+2.0 #16

53 plays #85

Pace

AUB faster ▶

69 plays #41

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When MASS has the ball

Even matchup

	MASS off	AUB def	Edge
Points / game	27.5 #53	14.0 #36	AUB
Yards / play	6.57 #30	5.90 #66	MASS
PPA / play	+0.20 #40	−0.06 #32	Even
Success rate	40% #56	50% #80	MASS

When AUB has the ball

Advantage: AUB offense

	AUB off	MASS def	Edge
Points / game	59.0 #7	44.5 #83	AUB
Yards / play	7.13 #21	7.18 #82	AUB
PPA / play	+0.38 #24	+0.24 #72	AUB
Success rate	57% #15	53% #84	AUB

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.