Sat, Sep 2, 2023, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Alabama
Closing spread
ALA -39
✓ ALA W
Total
—
Model before kickoff
MTSU 11–43 ALA
✓ ALA (99%) won
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseALA -39
Total—
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
CloseALA -39
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close—
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseALA -39
Total—
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
No recent game is a close match for 
ALA as a 39-point home favorite against MTSU. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.
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History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Middle Tennessee have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
ALA +2.5home-field points in the model
Weather
78° · 6 mph
gusts 9 mph · at kickoff
Rest
MTSU1st game
ALA1st game
Even
Schedules, links & other games
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