Louisiana Tech @ SMU: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2023)

Sat, Sep 2, 2023, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at SMU

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Louisiana Tech

1-0 · Power #116

final

Final

SMU

0-0 · Power #22

▲ winner

Closing spread

SMU -17

✓ SMU W

Total

—

Model before kickoff

LT 19–33 SMU

✓ SMU (84%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseSMU -17

Total—

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseSMU -17

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close—

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseSMU -17

Total—

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SMU as a 17-point home favorite against LT, the favorite won 9, covered 7, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: SMU won 38–14; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 86%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 20.2 against an average line of 16.4; 53.2 points a game (usually 55.7).

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	AFA vs COLO 2022 · Week 2 · close · similar spread & situation	-17.5	41–10	W	O50
Close	JMU vs CCU 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & spread	-15.5	47–7	W	O53
Close	NEB vs BUFF 2021 · Week 2 · close · similar situation & rest	-13.5	28–3	W	U54.5
Close	MRSH vs FAU 2020 · Week 8 · close · similar spread	-19	20–9	L	U51
Close	WAKE vs LIB 2022 · Week 3 · close · similar rest & spread	-17.5	37–36	L	O64
Loose	WSU vs CSU 2022 · Week 3 · loose · similar spread & rest	-17	38–7	W	U52.25
Loose	ARIZ vs COLO 2022 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest & spread	-17.75	43–20	W	O58
Loose	WSU vs ARIZ 2021 · Week 12 · loose · similar rest	-14.75	44–18	W	O52.5
Loose	ASU vs WSU 2021 · Week 9 · loose · similar rest & spread	-16.5	21–34	L	O54.5
Loose	UNC vs NCST 2020 · Week 8 · loose · similar rest	-14.75	48–21	W	O61.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found