Bowling Green @ Liberty: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2023)

Sat, Sep 2, 2023, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Liberty

Weather at kickoff77°F4 mphgusts 14DryWeather watch ›

Bowling Green

0-0 · Power #80

final

Final

Liberty

0-0 · Power #32

▲ winner

Closing spread

LIB -12

✓ BGSU W

Total

—

Model before kickoff

BGSU 22–32 LIB

✓ LIB (77%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseLIB -12

Total—

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseLIB -12

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close—

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseLIB -12

Total—

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LIB as a 12-point home favorite against BGSU, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 2 went over the total.

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This game: LIB won 34–24; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 78%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

2 of 922%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 12.7 against an average line of 10.7; 52.1 points a game (usually 56.4).

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	DUKE vs CLT 2020 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & situation	-10.75	53–19	W	O55
Very close	BOIS vs FRES 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-10.5	40–20	W	O45
Very close	NCST vs FSU 2020 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread	-11.5	38–22	W	U61
Very close	JMU vs MRSH 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar team ratings	-9.5	12–26	L	U48.5
Very close	NU vs DUKE 2022 · Week 2 · very close · similar situation & spread	-10	23–31	L	U56
Very close	UVA vs ILL 2021 · Week 2 · very close · similar situation & spread	-10.5	42–14	W	U57
Very close	NW vs MD 2020 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread	-13	43–3	W	U52.5
Very close	FLA vs MIZ 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread	-10.75	24–17	L	U53.5
Close	BC vs RUTG 2022 · Week 1 · close · similar situation & team ratings	-9	21–22	L	U47
Close	OKST vs TLSA 2021 · Week 2 · close · similar spread & situation	-11.5	28–23	L	P51

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found