Florida International @ Louisiana Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2023)

Sat, Aug 26, 2023, 9:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Louisiana Tech · Conference game

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Florida International

0-0 · Power #131

final

Final

Louisiana Tech

0-0 · Power #116

▲ winner

Closing spread

LT -10

✓ FIU W

Total

—

Model before kickoff

FIU 23–31 LT

✓ LT (73%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseLT -10

Total—

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseLT -10

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close—

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseLT -10

Total—

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LT as a 10-point home favorite against FIU, the favorite won 5, covered 3, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: LT won 22–17; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 74%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 4.8 against an average line of 9.9; 51.8 points a game (usually 55.2).

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	JMU vs MRSH 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & situation	-9.5	12–26	L	U48.5
Very close	BOIS vs FRES 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & situation	-10.5	40–20	W	O45
Very close	BC vs RUTG 2022 · Week 1 · very close · similar spread & situation	-9	21–22	L	U47
Very close	STAN vs COLO 2020 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-9.5	32–35	L	O55
Very close	DUKE vs CLT 2020 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread	-10.75	53–19	W	O55
Very close	SYR vs UVA 2022 · Week 4 · very close · similar spread & situation	-9.5	22–20	L	U53.75
Very close	NU vs DUKE 2022 · Week 2 · very close · similar spread & situation	-10	23–31	L	U56
Very close	FLA vs MIZ 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & situation	-10.75	24–17	L	U53.5
Very close	UVA vs ILL 2021 · Week 2 · very close · similar spread & situation	-10.5	42–14	W	U57
Very close	ARMY vs GAST 2022 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread	-8.5	14–31	L	U54

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
FIU	0-0	—	—	—
LT	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: FIU away, as underdog; LT home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
FIU	0-0	—	0-0
LT	0-0	—	0-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 12 FBS teams

FIU

Longer bar = better

#11

Offense

LT better ▶

Defense

LT better ▶

+1.0 #4

Turnovers

◀ FIU better

−1.0 #9

44 plays #12

Pace

LT faster ▶

83 plays #1

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When FIU has the ball

Advantage: LT defense

	FIU off	LT def	Edge
Points / game	17.0 #9	17.0 #5	LT
Yards / play	4.14 #11	4.14 #2	LT
PPA / play	−0.05 #12	−0.05 #1	LT
Success rate	33% #12	33% #1	LT

When LT has the ball

Even matchup

	LT off	FIU def	Edge
Points / game	22.0 #6	22.0 #7	Even
Yards / play	5.39 #7	5.39 #6	Even
PPA / play	+0.04 #7	+0.04 #6	Even
Success rate	40% #8	40% #5	FIU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.