Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 6:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Oklahoma
Weather at kickoff90°F9 mphgusts 20DryWeather watch ›
1-0 · Power #22
11
final
Final
@
1-0 · Power #9
28
▲ winner
Closing spread
OU -16
✓ OU W
Total
70
▼ Under · 39 pts
Model before kickoff
SMU 21–37 OU
✓ OU (87%) won
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseOU -16
Total70
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseOU -16
Total70
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

No recent game is a close match for OU as a 16-point home favorite against SMU. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.

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History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
SMU has 1 game with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams
SMU
Longer bar = better
OU
#66
Offense
OU better ▶
#7
#36
Defense
Even
#28
+1.0 #37
Turnovers
Even
+1.0 #33
79 plays #15
Pace
Even
82 plays #8
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When SMU has the ball
Advantage: OU defense
SMU offOU defEdge
Points / game 38.0 #42 0.0 #1 OU
Yards / play 5.78 #69 4.16 #38 OU
PPA / play +0.25 #48 +0.02 #68 Even
Success rate 36% #104 18% #6 OU
When OU has the ball
Advantage: OU offense
OU offSMU defEdge
Points / game 73.0 #2 14.0 #45 OU
Yards / play 7.83 #18 4.72 #60 OU
PPA / play +0.68 #6 −0.21 #21 Even
Success rate 74% #2 26% #17 Even

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
OU +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
90° · 9 mph
gusts 20 mph · at kickoff
Rest
SMU7d
OU7d
Even
Tempo
Fast 161 plays
slowavg 135fast

Schedules, links & other games

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