Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 6:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Oklahoma
Closing spread
OU -16
✓ OU W
Total
70
▼ Under · 39 pts
Model before kickoff
SMU 21–37 OU
✓ OU (87%) won
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseOU -16
Total70
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
CloseOU -16
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close70
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseOU -16
Total70
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
No recent game is a close match for
OU as a 16-point home favorite against SMU. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.
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History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
SMU has 1 game with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-0 — | |
| 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-0 — |
Recent meetings
The series
SMU 1–6 OU (1 tied)
OU leads · 8 games since 1925 · OU has won the last 5 meetings
All-time series from CollegeFootballData.
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams
Longer bar = better
#66
Offense
OU better ▶#7
#36
Defense
Even#28
+1.0 #37
Turnovers
Even+1.0 #33
79 plays #15
Pace
Even82 plays #8
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| SMU off | OU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 38.0 #42 | 0.0 #1 | OU |
| Yards / play | 5.78 #69 | 4.16 #38 | OU |
| PPA / play | +0.25 #48 | +0.02 #68 | Even |
| Success rate | 36% #104 | 18% #6 | OU |
| OU off | SMU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 73.0 #2 | 14.0 #45 | OU |
| Yards / play | 7.83 #18 | 4.72 #60 | OU |
| PPA / play | +0.68 #6 | −0.21 #21 | Even |
| Success rate | 74% #2 | 26% #17 | Even |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
90° · 9 mph
gusts 20 mph · at kickoff
Rest
SMU7d
OU7d
Even
Tempo
Fast 161 plays
slowavg 135fast
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

