Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 5:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Washington
Closing spread
WASH -33
Push
Total
66
▼ Under · 53 pts
Model before kickoff
TLSA 15–44 WASH
✓ WASH (98%) won
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseWASH -33
Total66
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
CloseWASH -33
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close66
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseWASH -33
Total66
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
No recent game is a close match for
WASH as a 33-point home favorite against TLSA. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.
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History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Tulsa has 1 game with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams
Longer bar = better
#26
Offense
Even#18
#33
Defense
◀ TLSA better#68
−2.0 #118
Turnovers
WASH better ▶+2.0 #16
69 plays #56
Pace
◀ TLSA faster61 plays #105
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| TLSA off | WASH def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 42.0 #31 | 19.0 #68 | TLSA |
| Yards / play | 7.49 #23 | 5.36 #83 | TLSA |
| PPA / play | +0.33 #39 | +0.12 #89 | TLSA |
| Success rate | 61% #10 | 32% #33 | TLSA |
| WASH off | TLSA def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 56.0 #11 | 7.0 #16 | Even |
| Yards / play | 9.31 #4 | 3.65 #23 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.50 #16 | −0.05 #55 | WASH |
| Success rate | 50% #41 | 33% #39 | Even |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
72° · 7 mph
gusts 16 mph · at kickoff
Rest
TLSA9d
WASH7d
TLSA +2 days
Tempo
Average 130 plays
slowavg 135fast
Travel
TLSA 1,560 mi
2 time zones
Quarterback
TLSA backup QB started
Not the usual starter
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

