Nebraska @ Colorado: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2023)

Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Colorado

Weather at kickoff69°F5 mphgusts 12DryWeather watch ›

Nebraska

0-1 · Power #62

final

Final

Colorado

1-0 · Power #72

▲ winner

Closing spread

COLO -2.5

✓ COLO W

Total

56.5

▼ Under · 50 pts

Model before kickoff

NEB 26–30 COLO

✓ COLO (61%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseCOLO -2.5

Total56.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseCOLO -2.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close56.5

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseCOLO -2.5

Total56.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like COLO as a 2.5-point home favorite against NEB, the favorite won 4, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: COLO won 36–14; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 50 points stayed under 56.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 1.5 against an average line of 3; 54.1 points a game (usually 54.6). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	NCST vs DUKE 2020 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & rest	-3.5	31–20	W	U59.5
Close	ORST vs WASH 2021 · Week 5 · close · similar spread & total	-2.5	27–24	W	U57.5
Close	MD vs RUTG 2020 · Week 15 · close · similar spread & total	-3	24–27	L	U54.5
Close	GT vs VT 2021 · Week 9 · close · similar total & spread	-3.5	17–26	L	U55.25
Close	WMU vs SJSU 2021 · Week 4 · close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	23–3	W	U61.75
Close	LOU vs UK 2021 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & total	-3	21–52	L	O57.75
Close	WAKE vs UVA 2020 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & total	-2.5	40–23	W	O57
Close	BSU vs NEV 2021 · Week 5 · close · similar spread & total	-3.5	31–41	L	O59
Close	TCU vs WVU 2021 · Week 8 · close · similar total & spread	-4.5	17–29	L	U58
Loose	MEM vs HOU 2022 · Week 6 · loose · similar total & spread	-1.5	32–33	L	O57.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NEB W	1-0	100%	1-0	1-0
COLO W	1-0	100%	—	—

Venue/role: NEB away, as underdog; COLO home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NEB –	0-0	—	0-1
COLO –	0-0	—	1-0

Stayed under: it needed 27 in the 4th quarter and got 20. 50% of games with totals 52.5–60.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NEBlast 1	0-1 0%	1-0 100%	0-0 —
COLOlast 1	1-0 100%	1-0 100%	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 135 FBS teams

NEB

Longer bar = better

COLO

#104

Offense

COLO better ▶

#43

#75

Defense

◀ NEB better

#94

−3.0 #130

Turnovers

COLO better ▶

+2.0 #12

60 plays #113

Pace

COLO faster ▶

79 plays #14

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NEB has the ball

Even matchup

	NEB off	COLO def	Edge
Points / game	12.0 #122	28.0 #95	COLO
Yards / play	5.34 #88	6.21 #107	Even
PPA / play	−0.23 #131	+0.05 #74	COLO
Success rate	42% #75	43% #99	NEB

When COLO has the ball

Advantage: COLO offense

	COLO off	NEB def	Edge
Points / game	40.5 #38	24.5 #88	COLO
Yards / play	6.45 #49	4.83 #61	Even
PPA / play	+0.36 #37	+0.12 #89	COLO
Success rate	47% #46	37% #60	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.