Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Virginia Tech
Weather at kickoff73°F7 mphgusts 17Wet0.1 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›
0-1 · Power #66
24
▲ winner
Final
@
1-0 · Power #41
17
final
Closing spread
Pick’em
✓ PUR W
Total
49
▼ Under · 41 pts
Model before kickoff
PUR 27–30 VT
✗ VT (57%) lost
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
ClosePick’em
Total49
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
ClosePick’em
Total49
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
Purdue has 1 game with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams
PUR
Longer bar = better
VT
#70
Offense
◀ PUR better
#84
#108
Defense
VT better ▶
#60
+1.0 #36
Turnovers
VT better ▶
+3.0 #10
60 plays #109
Pace
VT faster ▶
73 plays #30
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When PUR has the ball
Even matchup
PUR offVT defEdge
Points / game 35.0 #57 17.0 #65 Even
Yards / play 6.05 #61 4.34 #44 Even
PPA / play +0.12 #76 −0.15 #31 VT
Success rate 40% #85 44% #100 Even
When VT has the ball
Advantage: VT offense
VT offPUR defEdge
Points / game 36.0 #53 39.0 #115 VT
Yards / play 5.04 #95 5.94 #98 Even
PPA / play +0.07 #88 +0.28 #112 VT
Success rate 38% #101 47% #106 Even

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
VT +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
73° · 7 mph
gusts 17 mph · 0.079 in rain · at kickoff
Rest
PUR7d
VT7d
Even
Tempo
Average 133 plays
slowavg 135fast

Schedules, links & other games

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