Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Virginia Tech
Closing spread
Pick’em
✓ PUR W
Total
49
▼ Under · 41 pts
Model before kickoff
PUR 27–30 VT
✗ VT (57%) lost
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
ClosePick’em
Total49
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
ClosePick’em
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close49
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
ClosePick’em
Total49
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Purdue has 1 game with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams
Longer bar = better
#70
Offense
◀ PUR better#84
#108
Defense
VT better ▶#60
+1.0 #36
Turnovers
VT better ▶+3.0 #10
60 plays #109
Pace
VT faster ▶73 plays #30
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| PUR off | VT def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 35.0 #57 | 17.0 #65 | Even |
| Yards / play | 6.05 #61 | 4.34 #44 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.12 #76 | −0.15 #31 | VT |
| Success rate | 40% #85 | 44% #100 | Even |
| VT off | PUR def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 36.0 #53 | 39.0 #115 | VT |
| Yards / play | 5.04 #95 | 5.94 #98 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.07 #88 | +0.28 #112 | VT |
| Success rate | 38% #101 | 47% #106 | Even |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
73° · 7 mph
gusts 17 mph · 0.079 in rain · at kickoff
Rest
PUR7d
VT7d
Even
Tempo
Average 133 plays
slowavg 135fast
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

