UNLV @ Michigan: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2023)

Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Michigan

Weather at kickoff70°F5 mphgusts 14DryWeather watch ›

UNLV

1-0 · Power #68

final

Final

Michigan

1-0 · Power #3

▲ winner

Closing spread

MICH -38

✓ UNLV W

Total

57.5

▼ Under · 42 pts

Model before kickoff

UNLV 10–44 MICH

✓ MICH (99%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseMICH -38

Total57.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UNLV W	1-0	100%	—	—
MICH L	0-1	0%	0-1	0-1

Venue/role: UNLV away, as underdog; MICH home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UNLV U	0-1	0%	1-0
MICH U	0-1	0%	1-0

Stayed under: it needed 23 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 52% of games with totals 53.5–61.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UNLVlast 1	1-0 100%	1-0 100%	0-1 0%
MICHlast 1	1-0 100%	0-1 0%	0-1 0%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

UNLV

Longer bar = better

MICH

#49

Offense

Even

#41

#73

Defense

MICH better ▶

#39

−1.0 #104

Turnovers

MICH better ▶

+1.0 #30

64 plays #86

Pace

Even

62 plays #97

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UNLV has the ball

Even matchup

	UNLV off	MICH def	Edge
Points / game	44.0 #29	3.0 #8	MICH
Yards / play	6.16 #57	4.27 #41	Even
PPA / play	+0.35 #38	−0.03 #59	UNLV
Success rate	42% #72	34% #48	MICH

When MICH has the ball

Advantage: MICH offense

	MICH off	UNLV def	Edge
Points / game	30.0 #69	14.0 #47	UNLV
Yards / play	6.48 #46	5.76 #92	MICH
PPA / play	+0.59 #10	−0.07 #46	MICH
Success rate	50% #40	47% #105	MICH

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.