Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Maryland
Weather at kickoff71°F6 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›
1-0 · Power #124
20
final
Final
@
1-0 · Power #27
38
▲ winner
Closing spread
MD -24.5
✓ CLT W
Total
50
▲ Over · 58 pts
Model before kickoff
CLT 14–35 MD
✓ MD (93%) won
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseMD -24.5
Total50
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseMD -24.5
Total50
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

No recent game is a close match for MD as a 24.5-point home favorite against CLT. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.

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History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
Charlotte has 1 game with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams
CLT
Longer bar = better
MD
#81
Offense
MD better ▶
#44
#8
Defense
◀ CLT better
#41
−1.0 #105
Turnovers
MD better ▶
0.0 #63
66 plays #74
Pace
MD faster ▶
79 plays #16
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When CLT has the ball
Advantage: MD defense
CLT offMD defEdge
Points / game 24.0 #88 6.0 #15 MD
Yards / play 5.23 #89 4.25 #40 MD
PPA / play +0.09 #85 −0.01 #64 MD
Success rate 44% #63 34% #45 Even
When MD has the ball
Advantage: CLT defense
MD offCLT defEdge
Points / game 38.0 #44 3.0 #10 CLT
Yards / play 5.68 #74 3.05 #6 CLT
PPA / play +0.42 #25 −0.39 #6 Even
Success rate 53% #31 20% #8 CLT

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
MD +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
71° · 6 mph
gusts 13 mph · at kickoff
Rest
CLT7d
MD7d
Even
Tempo
Fast 145 plays
slowavg 135fast

Schedules, links & other games

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