Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Maryland
Closing spread
MD -24.5
✓ CLT W
Total
50
▲ Over · 58 pts
Model before kickoff
CLT 14–35 MD
✓ MD (93%) won
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseMD -24.5
Total50
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
CloseMD -24.5
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close50
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseMD -24.5
Total50
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
No recent game is a close match for
MD as a 24.5-point home favorite against CLT. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.
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History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Charlotte has 1 game with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Totals
Over/under before kickoff
Went over in Q4. Of 27 earlier overs in games with totals 46–54, 37% had cashed by the end of Q3.
When games like this go over ›Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | |
| 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams
Longer bar = better
#81
Offense
MD better ▶#44
#8
Defense
◀ CLT better#41
−1.0 #105
Turnovers
MD better ▶0.0 #63
66 plays #74
Pace
MD faster ▶79 plays #16
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| CLT off | MD def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 24.0 #88 | 6.0 #15 | MD |
| Yards / play | 5.23 #89 | 4.25 #40 | MD |
| PPA / play | +0.09 #85 | −0.01 #64 | MD |
| Success rate | 44% #63 | 34% #45 | Even |
| MD off | CLT def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 38.0 #44 | 3.0 #10 | CLT |
| Yards / play | 5.68 #74 | 3.05 #6 | CLT |
| PPA / play | +0.42 #25 | −0.39 #6 | Even |
| Success rate | 53% #31 | 20% #8 | CLT |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
71° · 6 mph
gusts 13 mph · at kickoff
Rest
CLT7d
MD7d
Even
Tempo
Fast 145 plays
slowavg 135fast
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

