Wisconsin @ Washington State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2023)

Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Washington State

Weather at kickoff81°F4 mphDryWeather watch ›

Wisconsin

1-0 · Power #42

final

Final

Washington State

1-0 · Power #46

▲ winner

Closing spread

WIS -5

✓ WSU W

Total

▼ Under · 53 pts

Model before kickoff

WIS 29–26 WSU

✗ WIS (59%) lost

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseWIS -5

Total58

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseWIS -5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close58

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseWIS -5

Total58

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WIS as a 5-point road favorite at WSU, the favorite won 5, covered 4, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: WSU won 31–22 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 53 points stayed under 58, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 61%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 46%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.1 against an average line of 4.4; 60.7 points a game (usually 54.1). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	TEX @ ARK 2021 · Week 2 · close · similar total & rest	-6	21–40	L	O57.5
Close	BYU @ BSU 2020 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & rest	-4.5	51–17	W	O62.5
Close	ORE @ WSU 2022 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & total	-6.5	44–41	L	O57.25
Close	PITT @ GT 2021 · Week 5 · close · similar total & rest	-3	52–21	W	O57.5
Close	ISU @ KU 2022 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & total	-3.5	11–14	L	U59
Close	UCF @ FAU 2022 · Week 3 · close · similar situation & rest	-7.5	40–14	W	U61.5
Close	SMU @ HOU 2021 · Week 9 · close · similar rest	-1	37–44	L	O61.5
Close	LIB @ SYR 2021 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & spread	-6.5	21–24	L	U54
Close	ASU @ ORST 2021 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & total	-3	10–24	L	U59
Close	MIAMI @ LOU 2020 · Week 3 · close · similar rest & situation	-2.5	47–34	W	O65.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WIS L	0-1	0%	—	0-1
WSU W	1-0	100%	—	—

Venue/role: WIS away, as favorite; WSU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WIS O	1-0	100%	1-0
WSU O	1-0	100%	1-0

Stayed under: it needed 13 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 44% of games with totals 54–62 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WISlast 1	1-0 100%	0-1 0%	1-0 100%
WSUlast 1	1-0 100%	1-0 100%	1-0 100%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

WIS

Longer bar = better

WSU

#52

Offense

Even

#40

#57

Defense

Even

#53

−2.0 #120

Turnovers

WSU better ▶

0.0 #68

71 plays #41

Pace

WSU faster ▶

87 plays #5

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WIS has the ball

Even matchup

	WIS off	WSU def	Edge
Points / game	38.0 #43	24.0 #86	WIS
Yards / play	7.08 #30	5.58 #87	WIS
PPA / play	+0.16 #64	−0.23 #16	WSU
Success rate	42% #71	30% #22	WSU

When WSU has the ball

Even matchup

	WSU off	WIS def	Edge
Points / game	50.0 #15	17.0 #59	WSU
Yards / play	6.39 #52	4.45 #49	Even
PPA / play	+0.22 #51	−0.11 #36	Even
Success rate	49% #42	41% #83	WSU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.