Memphis @ Arkansas State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2023)

Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Arkansas State

Weather at kickoff79°F7 mphgusts 20DryWeather watch ›

Memphis

1-0 · Power #50

▲ winner

Final

Arkansas State

0-1 · Power #107

final

Closing spread

MEM -21

✓ MEM W

Total

57.5

▼ Under · 40 pts

Model before kickoff

MEM 41–19 ARST

✓ MEM (94%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseMEM -21

Total57.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MEM L	0-1	0%	—	0-1
ARST L	0-1	0%	—	0-1

Venue/role: MEM away, as favorite; ARST home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
MEM O	1-0	100%	1-0
ARST –	0-0	—	0-1

Stayed under: it needed 24 in the 4th quarter and got 6. 48% of games with totals 53.5–61.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MEMlast 1	1-0 100%	0-1 0%	1-0 100%
ARSTlast 1	0-1 0%	0-1 0%	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

MEM

Longer bar = better

ARST

#33

Offense

◀ MEM better

#121

#15

Defense

◀ MEM better

#132

−2.0 #121

Turnovers

ARST better ▶

−1.0 #97

81 plays #12

Pace

◀ MEM faster

50 plays #130

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When MEM has the ball

Advantage: MEM offense

	MEM off	ARST def	Edge
Points / game	56.0 #12	73.0 #134	MEM
Yards / play	6.80 #37	7.83 #128	MEM
PPA / play	+0.15 #68	+0.68 #132	MEM
Success rate	58% #15	74% #134	MEM

When ARST has the ball

Advantage: MEM defense

	ARST off	MEM def	Edge
Points / game	0.0 #133	14.0 #49	MEM
Yards / play	4.16 #119	1.90 #2	MEM
PPA / play	+0.02 #97	−0.56 #2	MEM
Success rate	18% #133	19% #7	MEM

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.